Harrah's Philadelphia: Analysis for Friday 11/13

Witherite - PHL (through Oct. 11 – 66 days)
Top Selections – Overall - Win %: 351 for 927
ITM: 648 for 927 - Win Dividends: $1,542.00 - $2 ROI: $1.66
Pick-4: 3,8/1,3,/2,3,5/4,6,7,8 ($24)
Best Bet: Rockin The Blaze (Race 1)
Spot Play: Captain Disomma (Race 7)
Race 1 - Non-Winners 3 Races or $30,000
1 - ROCKIN THE BLAZE remains in like class and is ideally drawn today. Made amends in last after an in-touch but struggling to gain appearance in the Simpson. Excellent slot for this young descendant of Rocknroll Hanover with his best career form at present. Emphatic call and doubles key. 5 - FULL SEND was a little better in the Simpson, closing attractively to catch third. Outer post last week but still a good, leaving second all the way through the mile. Appealing, should readily share with a win chance. 4 - BIPBOPNALLIE chased outside some after early leaders and saved fourth last week. Capable to pass rivals and proven versatile across his last several miles. Useful addition; can win with best.
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Race 2 - Non-Winners $4,600 Last 5 Starts
7 - IDEAL WHEEL drops back to a level where he pressed into a narrow but hard-earned victory on Oct. 30. Since then, he nearly lasted against a level tougher, but was overpowered by the stakes-tested Gingras Beach. Nap's choice. 2 - IDEAL FLIP demonstrated good gains on arrival last week to take third in a similar event. Pressing and stalking ability noted; don't discount wide gains at Rosecroft two back. 1 - NORTHWEST YANKEE almost succeeded in fending off pressure at Dover against like rivals last week after traffic trouble hampered his earning ability here in prior starts. Pole keeps him close; clear sailing a must.
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Race 3 - Non-Winners 1 Race (2YO Non-Winners 2)
2 - BETTOR OF THE WEST is my slim call in this contest due to remarkable late speed in recent miles. Outperformed his price in stakes action and returns to us after over two weeks rest. May be well refreshed and has performed reliably in all his recent Pennsylvania action. 5 - HIS BEATS HANOVER won in his Simpson division and faces more moderate company today. Similar rest days to our top call in this contest and on the right trajectory. Also a capable closer. Best value might occur in exotics; weigh the differences on the board. 6 - STAR SPEAKER has reliably performed in this class yet seeks a first victory. This more outer post does not concern. He figures to readily share. Speed developing ahead of him presents his best situation.
Race 4 - Non-Winners 3 Races or $30,000
6 - KHEDIVE was just upended by an extremely game Fly Eagle Fly last week, but he stands a strong possibility of stealing this one on the point. Great potential to end up lone speed; consistent player at this level faces more manageable foes today. 1 - DOODLE HANOVER draws inside after even or better chasing efforts from astern in two tries since returning. She figures to have less ground to make up by virtue of the draw. 4 - BOOM CITY rose to this level after breaking maiden on Oct. 30, and he certainly did not lack for late trot after being hemmed in on the final turn. He amply proved his potential earlier in the fall. Minor option.
Race 5 - Non-Winners $7,050 Last 5 Starts
6 - WORTH THE MONEY AS has reclaimed better form in recent weeks, with a markedly strong and wide close two starts prior. One of the most versatile of the lineup, and a slim call over 7 - FUSION POWER, who has been wiring fields at Freehold in recent weeks and refreshed solidly after a minor class drop and now tries our oval. He'll almost be certain to leave. 8 - REMARKABLE DE VIE has offered some noticeable late speed yet must accept a very tough post challenge today. Must include. 4 - CHRISTOPHER CRAZO also just wired a low-level field at Pocono and returns back to us where he outperformed tote expectations two starts prior. 2 - LEAP YEAR LUCKY is worth inclusion off two promising miles with us at lower levels. Drawn well to preferred racing style.
Race 6 - Non-Winners $4,600 Last 5 Starts
5 - ANYTHINGFORLOVE A almost lasted on the lead in bottom-level company last week after wide exertion left him gasping late at this level the start before. Kinder circumstances await. 7 - LYONS AMUSEMENTS rises as well from a narrow defeat in bottom-level company and can credibly boost exotic value if able to overcome the wide draw. 1 - IMKEEPNTHISGUY drops markedly from upper-level claimers in Delaware after his earning ability was hampered most by severe traffic trouble. Far easier await; a clear trip makes him a major threat.
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Race 7 - Non-Winners $2,500 Last 5 Starts
3 - CAPTAIN DISOMMA is a strong spot play for me today given that he drops from a pair of strong efforts against tougher company. He consistently outperforms his odds, and his two-move win over similar six back was mighty impressive. He won't have to work as hard in this field. 8 - OUTCRY chased OK for fourth in his last two. A repeat of last week's 1:52 1/5 mile is ample to contend here. 2 - FOX VALLEY INFERNO makes his second straight drop in class after gaining mildly and flattening off the home turn last out. Chasing ability two levels above this one noted; be most mindful of value.
Race 8 - Non-Winners 1 Race
3 - IDENTITY POLICE hit the board in his first two career starts and overcame tough journeys to do so. Week-over-week improvement is extremely clear. Lots to like. 1 - HIT THE BOARD finally did just that last week, chasing mildly out of mid-race traffic to save third at 27-1. Pole helps him stay close with minimal exertion. 5 - CHINCHILLA HANOVER invaded from the fair circuit last month, and has demonstrated improved staying power in recent weeks. Three back, she posted a strong middle half after breaking, and two back, she saved third out of traffic. Price player in exotics.
Race 9 - Non-Winners $10,000 Last 5 Starts
2 - STATEMENT MADE A is my tissue-thin call and returns to us after spending much of the fall in Dayton and joining us most recently from Yonkers. Two good recent wins in a class that appears transferrable and like to this event. Price drift potential. 5 - BEACH BOOGIE has a win at the level in October. Consistent on our oval and plenty of speed for the class. Will either likely leave or float up to the vanguard. Most of the recent wins came from this precise post! 3 - MCERLEAN has nudged at his rivals in recent, bidding strongly in his last before a mild fade, and is reliably catching at least a minor purse all through his fall in Philadelphia. Drawn ideally and enjoys leading fields. Must use.
Race 10 - F&M Non-Winners 1 Race
6 - KRISPY GINGER returns after a couple months off, and she does so following a pair of refreshed qualifiers. Improvement well noted; Tetrick takes over. 7 - MARIE HAS MOORE adds Lasix this time around after nearly lasting on the lead. She's hit the board in two-thirds of her starts; wide draw is her main obstacle. 4 - SHINING JEWELS just missed in her local debut last week after enjoying a successful run in Iowa. Morgan's choice proved her abilities well; mind value.
Race 11 - Non-Winners 3 Races or $30,000
1 - FLY EAGLE FLY won at the level last week and remains eligible both in wins and purse to return. Drawn well to dictate terms, fine form of late, and enjoys high-percentage conditioning. Good anchor to the late double. 7 - ANDELA has been reliable in the class all through autumn and can overcome the post challenge. I don’t believe you'll get the same three-digit mutuel win offer today, but you can expect continued ITM production from this candidate. A must-use in vertical exotics and a terrific presser-stalker. 5 - MASS FLOW perked up to improve at large odds last week and returns once again to like company. Like Andela, a regular player in the level, but showing his best mile last week in well over a month. A prime benefactor of any excessive early speed should it arise. One more to think about.
Race 12 - Non-Winners $2,500 Last 5 Starts
4 - DEALMAKER was a good third at 48-1 at this level last week after a failed pressing bid the start before. None else in the field have hit the board in either of their last two starts. 2 - BOMBAY HANOVER can benefit from this inside draw after staying on OK for fourth in his last two. He does well enough when on the lead or just off the front flight. 1 - YUPPER Looks to benefit from class and post relief alike. Worth including in exotics noting fast miles of late.

