Gulfstream: Closer Looks for February 1, 2014

Race 2

Golden Friendships

Was beaten in double digits in a pair of recent optional claimers, and is plunging to a more realistic spot in this $25K seller; this familiar trainer/rider combo is 0 for 31 at the meet, but 14 of those runners made the board; Kaplan has solid numbers with turnbacks.

Yes Mz Olga

Took back-to-back events while racing on the lead at Calder in November, and was biting off more than she can chew in a subsequent Tampa stakes and an N1X; Olga broke her maiden over this oval, and has a chance to wire this field if the track favors speed like it did in the slop on Wednesday.

Da Wildcat Girl

Ran flat in her debut for Klesaris, who's scored at a good 20% clip second-time off the claim over the past five years ($1.32 ROI); the filly she ran second behind at this level Dec. 8 was subsequently third for $35K; can rebound with a competitive performance in this wide open contest.

Beccawhit

Her speed style conflicts with Yes Mz Olga, but will she be able to keep up with that rival off the layoff? trainer has a 17% strike-rate with new shooters returning from a 61-180 day break during the last five years ($1.25 ROI); trainer/rider duo is 0 for 3 at the meet; taking others.

Who Is This Lady

Just missed when she ducked into $25K non-winners of two company five weeks ago--the winner came back to run fourth in an optional event, and the sixth-place finisher returned to beat $12.5K stock; has maintained good form since last summer, and can hit the exotics with the capable Paco Lopez taking over.

City in Sky

Stakes-placed gal has been in a tailspin since returning from a fall layoff, and is dropping to a new low; Contreras, Woodbine's leading rider last year in number of wins, has had some success from limited action at the meet; she blew out a bullet, and could be rejuvenated.

Farewell Kiss

Contessa is 0 for 5 first-time off the claim at Gulfstream in the last five years, but this daughter of Montbrook is riding the wave of a two-race win streak; closer has some speed to chase here, and is an excellent fit from a Beyer Figure perspective; in the mix.

Emmabelle

Has been idle since she polished off $30K maidens Nov. 23 at Churchill, from which the second and fourth horses both exited to fare okay; has worked four times locally heading into this engagement, including a fairly quick 5/8 the other day; Catalano, who's had a subpar meet so far, has lured the gifted Rosario for the ride. - Ron Gierkink

Race 4

Pinball

New York bred tries open company in his turf debut while making his first start in more than 9 months; barn excels with its fresh runners and though there's not a lot of immediate turf pedigree here, this guy's sire does get 12% winners from his first time surface runners, and he clearly has ability; nice to see Rosario take interest.

Bold Challenger

Runner up in his last 2 returns from the freshening while looking to get back to the lawn; he does have course experience and the barn does well on the surface switch, but this guy's ceiling today figures to be a minor award.

Town Extension

He's been pretty good since moving back to the lawn in the fall and he worked a sharp half mile for his second crack with winners last week; gray did make a nice run to get up for second money last time, but the clip in front of him was pretty hot and don't know that he'll get that kind of setup in here.

Eriugena (IRE)

The drop back to conditioned claimers did the trick for this late runner in his local debut; gelding returned to work sharply for this and he will get an extra panel in which to make his run today; with a top pilot sticking for a barn that's going quite well at the stand, he looks to be a big repeat threat.

Target Sighted

Tries better after failing to get on track on the class rise a couple of weeks back; 8 year old did run down a weak bunch 2 back, but don't think he's good enough to step with the best these have to offer; maybe for a minor share.

My Name Is Michael

MTO gets a top pilot for his return from nearly 9 months on the shelf; he kept some pretty solid company last season and showed at Tampa that he can handle 2 turning on this type of footing; barn brings them back ready and this guy has run well fresh in the past; one to keep an eye on late if the rains come.

Ampersand

Late runner didn't have an impact when shades were added at a shorter trip in his local return from the freshening; barn does well second back from the break so this guy likely moves forward with his return behind him and the added panel should only help, but this guy doesn't win very often; nice to see Lopez take the call.

Secret Bid

MTO broke his maiden at one turn on dirt in New York this past fall and should appreciate getting back to similar footing here; dam was a champion dirt router and she dropped multiple G1 SW router and 654K earner Smuggler so it wouldn't be much if a surprise if this guy were to run to his pedigree at any time; can't be overlooked.

Wabbajack

MTO makes his first start in nearly 8 months after failing to factor in his stakes debut at Belmont; 4 year old's maiden score prior to that one was pretty solid and he does own local 2 turn experience; one to consider if this one gets moved off the lawn.

Hurricane Elvis

Canadian shipper is in for the optional tag while trying better in his local return; gelding didn't have much to offer against cheaper here last season and he'll likely find himself with a lot to do late at this shorter trip; just watching today.

Franklinpark

Returns to a course over which he's yet to hit the board in 10 career tries; gelding does go for a barn that's had some luck on the surface switch of late, but he's yet to run a recent number that would put him in the mix with these; have to pass on him.

Ay No Digas (GER)

German bred took to the added trip in his local debut and got through to break his maiden; 4 year old will tackle winners for the initial time here, but the barn does a nice job keeping them going second back from the break and a top pilot takes the call; lightly raced runner is worth a look.

Rei

Four year old worked sharply last week for his local return from better than half a year on the shelf; he has shown some ability but not so much on the lawn and now he'll break from a tough outside slot; limiting his use to underneath in exotics. - Steve Grabowski

Race 5

Madd Exchange

Trying to turn the tables from last month's debut loss vs. Ragtime; moves inside with a steady worktab for a 35%-winning 2nd-start trainer; added half furlong can help the cause on this 375K-two-year-old purchase who is trying to make amends.

Ragtime

Beat Madd Exchange in the debut loss for a trainer not known to win with 1sters making his late kick look that more impressive; another who should benefit from the extra half furlong today; see plenty of upside for this saving all the ground then making one-big run.

Greyfell

Even finish in his 1st race over the track but might be set for best here 2nd time back off the 76-day layoff; 2-back show runner Beyered 83 capturing a CD-Grade 2 stakes next out; the 3-back winner repeated in a CD-61K stakes with an 86 speed figure; beat the September show finisher a 60 Beyer-CD-30K-maiden-claiming next -out winner; his field-best Beyer was at 1 Mile on a synthetic surface seeking his 1st-dirt exacta finish.

Sassicaia

Sire is 26-for-228 with 1st-time starters; is the 1st foal out of a 3-for-25 dam (319K); cost 1.6M as a 2-year-old so high hopes for this one; working steadily at 1st asking but catches a field with some experienced runners seemingly all set to improve.

Va Banque

Sire is 157-for-934 with 1st-time starters; is out of an unraced dam who's only other foal to race is 4-for-21 Atinado (7K); the quick-4F workouts on the tab suggests he may show some gate speed here but will be taking a wait and see approach.

Strong Stipulation

Sire is 48-for-528 with 1st-time starters; is out of a 2-for-18 dam (121K) who produced 1 winner from 2 other foals to race (2-for-13 Leda's Swan 59K); has been outworked by the other 1sters signed on for this so would be a surprise.

Quiet Ruler

Sire is 9-for-115 with 1st-time starters; is out of a 1-for-11 dam (27K) who's only other foal to race is full Meghan W (1-for-5, 26K); steady workouts for a trainer who rarely wins 1st-time out.

Buck Magic

Should appreciate the cutback in distance as his debut sprint was solid then just missed on dirt 2nd-time out; in that October-KEE loss the runner-up finisher Beyered 69 in his next-out CD-MSW victory; the show runner Beyered 98 in his next-out FG-MSW graduation then repeated with a 97 taking an FG-Grade 3 event.

Pelekas Beach

Sire is 37-for-328 with 1st-time starters; is out of an unraced dam who's only other foal to race is 0-for-1 Cloud Bank; 160K-two-year-old purchase has outworked the other 1sters in the field but the trainer is winless with his last 8 debut runners. - Art Gropper

Race 6

Remebel

Two solid efforts thus far, the last one involving an extra-wide trip; her sire twice won the Breeders' Cup Classic and 6.42 million; the dam won 16 of 33 and 776K; among the winning siblings is 48K earner Bluecam; latest breeze was upbeat.

Beauty Surprise

Sired by G1 turf runner After Market who banked 903K (his progeny have won 15 percent of their initial starts); the dam went zero for 5 lifetime; among the winning sibs is 189K bankroller Trail This.

Bridled Heiress

This grey hails from G1 victor Wildcat Heir who captured 424K and whose descendants are 52 for 305 as far as winning their first test; the dam won 1 of 9 and 49K; this is her only foal to make it to the races.

West Coast Girl

Dangerous firster with Hall of Fame connections; her sire won multiple G1s and 5.57 million (progeny of Medaglia d'Oro have won 10 percent of their first attempts); the dam won 4 of 6 and 175K; this is her only foal to make it to the races.

Snowbell

Closed with a rush to capture the place in her Saratoga debut but was aided by a rapid early pace that day; her sire won a G1 and 557K while the mom won 4 of 5 and 170K; winning siblings include 71K earner Stratify.

Jenny's Rocket

A long series of half-mile breezes to consider; her sire won multiple G3s and 474K (progeny of Mr. Greeley have won 90 out of 824 debuts); the dam won 4 of 12 and 104K; winning siblings include 512K earner Laurie's Rocket.

Engaginglee

Note the excellent breeze on the morning of 1/6; her sire won the Kentucky Derby and 1.99 million overall; descendants of Fusaichi Pegasus have scored in 11 percent of their first tests; the dam won 15 of 60 and 153K; no winning sibs to mention.

Fine Candy

This filly's sire went undefeated, winning multiple G1s and 749K; offspring of Candy Ride have won 52 out of 397 initial starts; the dam won 1 of 10 and 33K; among the winning siblings is 68K earner Moreno's Mine.

Cali Star

Cross-reference her workout pattern with the other Mott trainee in this field; this filly's sire won multiple G1s and 5.15 million; descendants of Street Cry are 28 for 334 in the winning first out department; the dam won 5 of 17 and 338K; no winning sibs to report.

Angel Code

Only light workout activity on display; her sire won a G2 and 583K (progeny of Old Fashion have scored in 4 of 29 initial races); the dam won 1 of 6 and 67K; among the winning siblings is 84K earner Ali's Uncle. - Jim Kachulis

Race 7

Great Minds

Unlucky in defeat in the debut and the show horse that day graduated and took a Grade 3 since; show horse 2 back posted a winning 79 Beyer in this league to end 2013; he has a right to have a nice career as kin to grass winner and near $300K earner Regal Nurse; don't ignore.

Trecastle

Medaglia d'Oro has won with about 10% of his debuters in a 399-horse sample, with about 10% of his first-time turfers in a 279-runner survey; sire was 2nd in only juvenile out beaten just over 2 at TP with a 81 Beyer, earned over $5.7 million, never turfed; Grade 3 winning 5 for 14 dam earned over $250K, adored grass; all 6 siblings won including successful turfer and over $600K earner Karen's Caper; note no published moves in December.

Summer Cove

A bit more keen to run early in last and the race over the course has to help; dam's lone win was a dirt route; lone half bro lost twice; due to break through.

My Storm Trooper

Tropical Storm 0 for 16 with first-time turfers; sire didn't run at 2, won once sprinting on dirt, banked just over $30K; 5 for 20 dam earned nearly $200K, never turfed; 3 of 5 siblings won, none won on grass; over 3 clear in last, rates legit look.

Scat Leader

Scat Daddy about 14% of his debuters in a 165-horse sample, with about 15% of his first-time turfers in a 119-runner survey; sire took debut at 2, won multiple Grade 1s, earned over $1.3 million, never turfed; SW 2 for 12 dam banked nearly $50K, never turfed; both siblings won, the one that tried grass lost twice on the stuff; love the spacing of the drills.

Russian Humor

Distorted Humor has hit with about 10% with first-time turfers in a 481-horse sample; sire did not race at 2, won Grade 2s, earned over $750K, never turfed; dam 0 for 2; all 3 siblings won; 2 tried grass to no avail, one earned over $100K; can't boost.

Macagone

Artie Schiller about 8% of his debuters in a 188-horse sample, with about 13% of his first-time turfers in a 157-runner survey; sire won twice at 2 including the debut, banked over $2 million on grass as a BC Mile hero; dam's lone win came on grass; the one for 10 sibling that won cashed on turf; he looks fit enough.

Tequesta Storm

High Cotton 1 for 32 with first-time grass runners; sire won at 2, took a Grade 3, won 4 of 17, banked over $450K, was 0 for 1 on grass; dam lost only start; this is her first to race; look for him to flash speed right back.

Nauset Beach

Colt has trained okay since mirror races against maiden claimers; backers can hope he starts acting like 4-time grass winner and near $100K earner Outstanding Henny; could need softer to shine.

Tapitgold

Tapit about 13% of his debuters in a 460-horse sample, with about 8% of his first-time turfers in a 311-runner survey; sire was unbeaten in 2 juvenile starts, banked over $550K taking 3 of 6, was never on turf; G3 winning 7 for 25 dam earned over a million, won twice on grass; the sibling that won was dirt route only; drills ideally spaced. - Brian Mulligan

Race 8

Lelaps

Rain in the forecast could play havoc with this race but if it stays on the turf it is a loaded field; this half brother to Woodbine Mile winner Becrux showed plenty of promise in his first season in North America; his last race was almost 15 months ago but it was a key win: the 2nd place finisher went on to be stakes placed and 3 others from the event won their next races; an 'off' turf course would not be a problem but deep closers off long layoffs tend to need a race or two.

Unitarian

Consistently good colt is accustomed to racing at longer distances and he enjoys added yardage a bit more than the 9 furlongs he is offered; his 2nd career win was a key race as the 3rd and 4th place finishers both won allowance/opt. claiming events next time out with 89 and 88 Beyer Figures respectively; he will have to hurry.

Wonderful Breeze

Ontario-bred comes off his career best Beyer Figure in his first ever outing on the Gulfstream turf; he left Canada in good form on the Polytrack but that was easily his best grass outing; his stalking style can be useful in this race and if the event is moved to the main track, he won't mind that at all; actually like his chances a bit better if the race is moved to the dirt but he can get a share on turf too.

Inchcape

He was a popular one in 2013 as he changed barns numerous times and he started a winning streak in the fall; he is one of a few that will be offered for the claiming price and apprentice Davis rode him to a win in a recent off-the-turf event; this will be his toughest test to date but he is showing promise; check for any late updates on recent workouts; will be using in exotics.

Marine Patrol

Has only ever raced on the grass and each start was on a different turf course; since Fair Grounds has not been lucky with weather and many of its races have come off the turf, this newly stakes-placed guy has shipped further east in the hopes of getting grass; bright future for this son of a red-hot sire; factor.

Starship Zorro

All but one of his races came on the grass and he is a deep closing type who just filled the trifecta at huge odds, posting his best career Beyer Figure in the process; gets a bit more distance and should have some pace to run at and this may be an improving colt for a barn that is picking up steam; if race stays on turf, work him into exotics.

Draw Two

Picked up a pair of shares in graded stakes on turf in the summer of his 3yo season including a fringe share behind the very good Admiral Kitten; his first local start saw him get away to a step-slow start but he had momentum late; has breeding to handle the main track too and he is a win factor.

Offlee Fast

Comes off his second career win in an off-the-turf event at Calder and that race has produced 3 next out winners; the 3rd place finisher won an allowance/opt. claimer with a 75 Beyer Figure next time while the 5th and 6th place finishers won claiming races; has a speed-stalking style which is ideal for this race full of closers but there are questions about the distance and the company; outsider.

Sleepless Knight

Stakes winner has won more races than any other runner in the field and 2 came on this course but note his record at this distance; he is offered for the claiming price as he was in his last 2 starts when on the edges in tougher events; he did not have any pace to run at last time and may have a bit more this time; old-timer wants the race to stay on the grass but he may want it to be firm; keep him on the short list of contenders.

No Lift Shift

Versatile guy has won on dirt, a wet track and grass and the last score was in the summer on this course; he maintains some solid Beyer Figures from his last few outings but he tends to lose ground in the late stages and this distance may be a stretch; prefer others.

Bi Flash

He has not missed a purse share in his last 9 grass outings and he came off a short break for the Jan. 11 outing and was a head and neck away from 2nd place; he loves the course and handles the distance so expect him to go forward from that latest, even-effort; contender. - Jennifer Morrison

Race 9

Night Officer

He's a fine late running turf sprinter, and in a race that figures to have a fast and contested early pace, it wouldn't be a surprise if he was moving in on them in deep stretch; he might be primed for a top try after a useful performance after a layoff in his latest outing.

Spring to the Sky

He gave a solid account of himself when finishing behind a couple of these in his latest start, but he is going to need to dial up a career best effort to prove to be the one in this spot; prefer to side with others.

Tightend Touchdown

His form sprinting over turf has been very sharp and he was last seen coming up just a half-length shy in the BC Turf Sprint; have to be a little concerned about him getting involved in an early pace dispute, but going to look for him to be involved in the running every step of the way.

Wicked Tune

After a poor start, he ran every bit as well as the 1-2 finishers from his latest race, and he might be ready for a sharp try while making his second start of 2014; note that he's run well in all three of his starts over the Gulfstream Park turf.

Partyallnightlong

He beat a number of today's rivals in his latest outing and Prado did a really nice job of giving this veteran a stress-free trip that day; he looks like he can prove to be a legitimate threat in this spot whether this race is run over turf or the main track.

Varsity

Have to respect what he's done in his six starts over this turf course while winning four, and his best effort clearly makes him a candidate to walk away with the top prize, but a case can be made for him being a little bit disappointing in his latest race after taking charge at the top of the stretch, and it just seems like the old Varsity would not have been passed; regardless, he commands respect as a contender.

Bold Thunder

It's tough to ignore how sharp he's been in three of his last four starts sprinting over turf, but he is stepping up in class to make his first start against stakes competition, and even though he has a high degree of early speed, the early pace in here looks like it will be wildly fast.

Travelin Man

Sire wins with approximately 12% of his turf starters and dam won once from eight starts for 34k, including 0-for-1 over turf; G2 winner has been off form lately and he finds a tough spot to take his first turf test; maybe he's hoping to see this race get moved to the main track.

Buongiorno Johnny

Stakes winner has done some nice work sprinting over turf but he's in against a very sharp field of turf sprinters today and he's going to need to top his previous best effort if he's to have a say in the outcome; looking toward others.

Determinato

It would have been nice to have seen him show more through the stretch in his latest outing when finishing behind a number of today's rivals, but maybe he'll be ready for better while making the second start of his current form cycle; that said, this can prove to be a tough assignment for an early speed type.

Berlino Di Tiger (BRZ)

He's yet another in here with big early speed to employ and this G3 winner might have a tough time of it while contesting a fast early pace from the outside; note that he offered little resistance when chasing a number of today's rivals home in his latest outing. - Brian Pochman

Race 10

Spot

Crushed maidens with an 85 Beyer last out at Hawthorne--the runner-up came back to take a maiden special there with a 55 Beyer, and the seventh horse returned to beat $25K maidens with a 50 Beyer; the move up to G2 stakes company is steep, and it would be surprising to see this Pulpit gelding make an impact.

Pablo Del Monte

Well-regarded son of Giant's Causeway could only manage fourth as the chalk in the GP Derby, but didn't really disgrace himself in the process; he can be more prominent with a race over the track under his girth, especially with the aggressive Paco Lopez aboard; Ward was a close third in this stakes last year with Undrafted, who was shortening up off a third in the GP Derby.

Mighty Brown

Big Brown colt is making his 11th start and third of the year off a fifth in a minor stakes over the synthetic surface at the Ocala Training Center; captured the Pasco Stakes over this seven-furlong distance in his penultimate outing at Tampa for Summer Bird's trainer Tim Ice; simply isn't up to speed here from a Beyer perspective.

C. Zee

Put up a 90 Beyer when a clear second in the six-furlong Spectacular Bid Stakes; homebred is in capable hands, and seven-eighths should be in his wheelhouse; can make his presence known under Zayas, who's 1 for 5 at the meet when riding for trainer Stan Gold.

Wildcat Red

Battled for the lead during lively splits throughout the one-mile GP Derby, and came up a head short in a heart-breaking loss; has earned a Beyer in the low 90s twice on this track, a feat which none of his rivals has accomplished; perhaps the one to fear most with leading rider Castellano taking over from second-leading rider Lopez, who's on Pablo Del Monte.

Gambler's Ghost

Woke up second-time out in his local debut, when he aired it out on the front end in a six-furlong maiden special; $150K 2yo purchase by the great Ghostzapper is out of a stakes-placed sprinter; his new rider Lanerie is 0 for 4 at the meet for this capable conditioner; not sure that he belongs with these just yet.

Long On Value

Was a non-threatening sixth in a pair of G1 stakes last year, behind the likes of future BC Juvenile runner-up Havana, Honor Code and Strong Mandate; precocious colt notched two minor stakes last summer, before being sold to his current connections; watch this time to help determine where he belongs in the scheme of things.

Trail Blaze

Tired to finish a distant fourth behind C. Zee when favored in the Spectacular Bid Stakes; son of Indian Charlie has since worked fast at Palm Meadows for leading trainer Pletcher, who continues to grind out the winners here on an almost daily basis; Rosario, who broke his maiden, is 1 for 10 at the meet aboard Pletcher charges.

Tashir

Didn't beat much in a recent seven-furlong allowance at Calder, but looked good doing it, and the Beyer (93) came back big; a bounce seems probable in this acid test, as he returns on fairly short rest for his second race following a three-month layoff; vulnerable.

Vinceremos

This Pletcher runner figures to be a longshot off his slow (73 Beyer) second-out maiden victory going a mile Jan. 4; son of the hot young sire Pioneerof the Nile cost a hefty $340K at a juvenile sale at Keeneland; note that he was cross-entered in the G3 Sam F. Davis at Tampa Saturday. - Ron Gierkink

Race 11

Browns Gap

His sire has had just 1 turf debut winner from 25 turf starters according to DRF stats but the mare's 2 career wins came on the turf and she was stakes placed; this is a half brother to champion Roxy Gap, a sprinter who liked grass; may handle the switch in surfaces but the distance remains a question.

Charlie the Boss

Shortened up in distance for his grass debut 16 days ago and he was sent to do battle early and he tied for 3rd place; has some stamina points in his pedigree but still has to re-program himself from his last outing if he is going to negotiate this trip; minor player.

Strike 'n Spare

Grey colt is by a Kentucky Derby winner who is 14% as an overall debut sire and about 16% as a grass sire; the mare was a winner on turf and the main track and of her 2 foals to try grass, one was a winner; prep times have been average.

Gaining Ground

He had his best finish when he got back to the main track after the grass try thus he is a main track only entrant and there is rain in the forecast; the blinkers will be off as he seemed to go too quickly up front last time and that winner is in a stakes race at Tampa Bay on this day; class drop is significant but he looks like a bit player.

Bull Market Richie

Sizy type had a long, reaching stride when he worked one furlong in :10.40 for that 2yo sale last April; his sire is 15% as a debut sire and 16% as a grass sire; 3rd foal of an unraced mare and her first foal was a 4-tme sprint winner; shows tons of prepping for a trainer who has a high rate of debut winners from starters; note that with debut runners at 1 mile or over, the barn is just 10% in last 5 years.

Dolan's Joy

Dips in for high claiming off a decent debut outing when on the edges behind a winner from the Todd Pletcher barn; while barn has yet to pick up steam at this meeting, it has a lofty rate of winning with the MSW to maiden claiming move; consider.

Bracigliano

Gets some class relief with the big drop to maiden claiming and he was on a soft grass course last time and did not seem to enjoy it; his dam was strongest in main track races at a distance of ground; has a 4th different jockey; not yet.

Seeker of Truth

Hard Spun is about 12% with debut winners from starters and 14% with grass winners from starters; his main track winning dam has had 4 runners, all winners and 1 of 3 that tried grass won on the surface; like the workout times on the Gulfstream main track.

Dig Alittle Deeper

He was a private purchase from Ontario interests following another good stakes outings last summer; note that Conquest Titan and My Conquestadory are big guns in the Mark Casse stable; his career since then has been flat, however, and he beat nobody behind a fancy winner last time; now in Mott barn and one of its go-to riders is named; still need to see some signs of life.

Atlantic Spring

His world class sire is above average with turf debut winners from starters at about 14%; the dam won 5 races and 4 were on the grass including a stakes race; gelding has 4 siblings and all won or placed on turf; British apprentice Ryan Tate won some 30 races in 2013; worth a look.

Thunder Run

He gets a big class drop to maiden claiming after an outing on a very soft turf did not work out well for him; he could face the same type of surface if the rains come or he may enjoy the race coming off the turf; Rosario has done well for this barn so give this pair consideration on firm turf or the main track.

Classic Sense

Expensive 2yo purchase is offered for claiming and he is reunited with Castellano who rode him when favoured for that debut on grass; his high percentage barn is not wasting any time getting this one in a spot where he has a chance to win but he has some manoeuvring to do from this post; keep him in bets. - Jennifer Morrison