Gulfstream: Closer Looks for December 13, 2013

Race 1

Pio's Passion

He wasn't completely ignored in the wagering for his career debut and Bravo sees fit to take the call, but this gelding is obviously going to need to show up with a much improved performance to prove to be a player in this spot.

Kenai Warrior

A. P. Warrior has been a poor influence as a turf sire, but based on what this colt showed us in his first start over turf with the addition of Lasix in his latest outing, he commands respect as a contender; Saez does get his share of live calls from this barn.

Seattle Brook

Sire wins with approximately 9% of his turf starters and dam won 2 of 9 starts for 23k, including 2 of 8 turf starts for 22k; this colt is a 1/2 to Alpha Slew (2-6, 45k over turf); he tired badly to finish sixth and last in his career debut after going to post at over 20-1.

Prague

Sire wins with approximately 6% of his turf starters and dam was unraced; this gelding is a 1/2 to Alamanda Drive (11-64, 231k, including 6 of 26 turf starts for 137k); this barn can jump up with one on turf when least expected and Solis is a go-to rider for this outfit.

Lincoln Zypher

He's had a number of starts to show us what he can do, including a couple of turf starts, and he's going to need to show more to get the job done against these; this barn has had some recent success with starters wearing blinkers for the first time, and over the past year, Rispoli has won with 12 of 48 (29%) mounts for this outfit.

Glenstal Abbey

Sire wins with approximately 10% of his first-time starters and with approximately 15% of his turf starters, and this is the first foal from a dam who won 3 of 6 turf starts for 59k; this barn can have one ready to go two-turns and 7 1/2f at first asking and they see fit to call upon Rosario.

Better Than You (KOR)

Limited available data on sire with regard to his turf starters, but he was a G3 winner while winning 7 of 31 starts for 399k, including 0-for-2 over turf; this is the first foal from an unraced dam; he was sent to post at just over 65-1 for his career debut and his connections will hope for better with a move to turf.

High Bidder

He showed a little bit of early interest in his turf debut at second asking, but when seen the way he tired to finish 10th of 12, it makes it difficult to give him a favorable push in this spot; he has the look of an outsider.

Triple Play Kitten

This colt has a fine pedigree for turf and he was backed to favoritism against 11 rivals in his career debut against maiden special weight competition at Churchill Downs; feel that there's a good chance that this Ramsey-homebred shows up with a much improved performance this time around.

Forest Friends

From a small sample, sire wins with approximately 9% of his turf starters, and multiple stakes placed dam won 3 of 52 starts for 107k, including 1 of 23 turf starts for 49k; turf is a question, but he did produce an improved performance when stretched out in distance in his latest outing.

Prospector John

Sire wins with approximately 11% of his turf starters and dam was unraced; he's hard to recommended in his turf debut after being outrun at every point of call in his first two starts.

Larcenyinmyheart

The added distance and additional turn are questions for this colt, but like to see the improved performance he showed up with in his turf debut in his latest outing; Lopez has won with 5 of 17 (29%) mounts for this barn in 2013.

Windtalker

He needs to see a scratch from the main body of this race in order to draw in, but feel that he deserves another chance to see what he can do racing over turf, and the drop in class should agree with him; this colt is a 1/2 to Dawn Raider (7-40, 123k over turf) and Rios has won with 8 of 26 (31%) mounts for this barn in 2013.

Wondrouswager

He wasn't able to get much going in his career debut and it's going to take a sharper performance than that to prove to be a threat in this spot; however, if there is a positive to consider, its that this barn has had success with horses making their second career start in maiden races.

Race 3

I Ain't Gonna Lie

Respect hot claim box item; like fact she handled the rail just fine two back and the place horse in last won 11/30 at Calder in a $25K N3L claimer with a 71 Beyer; miss comes to race relatively fresh with just the 4 starts since August; top last-race Beyer in the resume; respect.

Apologize

In good hands, she has more speed than she just showed; proven fresh and note she overcame being grouchy that day when having trouble getting into the gate; there are runners that can duel here so he could sit a nice stalk and pounce runner; don't ignore.

Celebrity Star

She has fired every time; winner of the Chicago finale took a $30K optional in next, then dropped a pair; Brown Sugar exited the last race to graduate in a maiden $50K CD claimer; like fact she has been stabled here for awhile and that s a nice move 8 days ago; back to the original pilot; contention goes deep.

Quay

With limited speed, shades could be a good thing today; runner that got DQ ed in last got revenge taking a $25K optional with an 84 Beyer; cut out to be a nice horse as a $250K purchase; backers have to hope a pace duel unfolds and this gal find a lane to rally into in time.

Silver Sashay

Game in the win but we really don t know how much it may have taken out of her; nothing with hitting the exacta half the time and note the place horse in last was nearly 6 clear; miss obviously likes this layout and must be given valid look off that fact alone.

Nasty Cat

Fact she overcame trouble in the debut gives her a right to fire fresh; tough beat 2 back but then she really stopped on a dime; Plesa and Lopez have collaborated for a ton of wins; toss anything from a 36% barn at own risk.

Currency Union

The mile experiment lasted exactly one race; that was enough; tough beat two back when well clear, she is drawn right and has much more zip than she just showed; may like it here.

Starship Serena

Just a brief threat last time and note she regressed on the Beyer scale in the last second off the layoff run; miss got the ideal 3-hole trip in the win this year but did show renewed zest in the move a week ago; needs a rebound effort.

Dixie Hot Shot

Turf to dirt and a major drop did the trick for this gal giving her confidence to graduate; never simple to beat winners right back and don t be oversold by the margin in last as it was slop aided; would think long and hard before taking too short a number.

Race 4

Leathers Slappin

Did not recover from a troubled start in his first attempt; his sire won a G1 and 570K while the dam scored in 5 of 17 appearances earning 92K; among the winning siblings is 55K earner I Know It's True.

Talented Cat

Flashed good fighting speed in that October getaway race; draws comfortably again and should be a pace force with the sharp reduction in company; trainer/jockey combination has established a solid record.

Mr. Bully

Newcomer hails from 599K winner Hear No Evil whose offspring have won 3 of 40 initial attempts; the dam won 3 of 18 and 61K; among the winning siblings is 31K earner Finalmont; modest work tab on view.

Now Hear This

Despite serious trouble, he earned a decent check in his first run; see the previous runner for information about the same sire; the dam involved was unraced; winning siblings include 14K bankroller Say Grace.

Double Click

The grey has displayed the ability to break alertly but his endurance levels remain questionable; might get into an early tussle with Talented Cat and others and that would compromise his chances again; may need some key late scratches.

Kid Pichongo

Overmatched last time at Calder, he is realistically placed here; his sire won a G2 and 562K while the dam was without a tally in 16 attempts; winning siblings include 117K earner Harbor Ridge.

Confederate Money

Earned a minor share 4 starts back but has accomplished little since; returns to blinkers and moves way down the ladder; wheels back very quickly and note the trainer has won a few times with turf-to-dirt types such as this; puzzling item.

Touchdown Tom

Legitimate excuse in that initial defeat; his sire won 1 his only race and 25K while the dam was without a victory in 6 tries; this is her sole foal to make it to the starting gate; may surprise with clean, stalking trip

Race 5

Al's Gal

Draws the fence again while making her first start since failing to offer much in her turf debut at Saratoga; filly is in for a tag here and she lures a top pilot, but there's not a lot of turf success in the states on the dam's side of the pedigree as her 2 winning foals in the states, the better of which being G3 SP, 139K earner Ann of the Dance, combined to go 0 for 26 on the green.

Temper Too

Filly tries claimers for the first time off a solid drill for a barn that does a decent job with this type of drop; late running filly did show that she can handle the green with a couple finishes within 4 lengths of the winner and maybe the move to this level helps get her going; one of her 2 sibs to try the green won twice over the stuff.

Analog Girl

Exits a troubled debut run against MSWs in Kentucky and now she'll get a top pilot for her first crack in the claiming ranks; barn does ok with the applicable angles and both of this gal's sibs to race are winners including a SW dirt sprinter and a first time surface winner.

Takeoff Your Hat

New York bred showed a nice late kick in each of her turf starts against restricted runners up there; barn does a better job with runners second off the break and this gal is kin to a couple of surface winners; don't know that the pace in front of her will be hot, but she looks to be the one they'll have to hold off.

Stormin' Jorja

Showed speed sprinting on the Churchill dirt first out with cheaper and now she'll stretch out for the move to the green; filly goes for a barn that boasts weak numbers both on the surface switch and with runners who have had a race; sire has seen 6 of his first 18 turfers win first time over the stuff and the dam never tried the footing prior to dropping 3 surface winners, so she's got the pedigree to take to the lawn.

Hot Sirachi

Beaten last out chalk returns to the lawn and her lone crack over it came in the stakes ranks; she'll be in for a tag for the first time today and the barn does boast some recent luck with the move; new pilot is quite good on this surface and the barn has had its limited starters ready here; consider.

Lucky Black

Makes her turf debut after proving little match for the runaway winner in the local slop a couple of weeks back; expect she'll offer some early trip on the stretchout here and her sire goes get a decent 9% first surface winners; unraced dam's lone foal to try the green was 0 for 1 over the footing.

Joy's Kitten

Sire gets 16% winners with both his overall newcomers and his initial turf starters; dam was a turf winner prior to dropping this gal; barn hasn't had much recent luck right out of the box and this gal has yet to record a drill past a half mile.

Royal Spaces

Sire gets 11% overall debut winners but less than 4% of his runners win first time over the green; dam never tried the lawn but was a main track route winner and 2 of her 3 foals to race were route winners; barn is profitable with newcomers of late though they've hit the winner's circle just once of late with this type; she's another who hasn't drilled too far in preparation for this.

Mountain Sprite

Ran well late in her surface sprint debut in Maryland before getting caught in a wide spot on the stretchout second time out; drop in for a tag can help and she does have a right to be better second time going long; dam has dropped a handful of route winners though they are a combined 0 for 11 on the lawn.

Jamaica Bay

Tries claimers off another freshening after offering little in the second out sprint in New York; filly's debut from the Saratoga fence wasn't much either but the barn does solid work with its fresh runners and she's had some time to get acclimated down here.

Principessa Gina

Top barn names their go-to pilot for this filly's debut run from this outside slot; she's got a few recent 5 panel drills on her tab and her sire gets 13% first out winners from his offspring as well as 16% winners with his initial turf starters; dam was winless from 9 starts, none of which came on the green, prior to dropping 3 winners, one of whom tried the lawn and was 0 for 1 on it.

Race 6

Chief Carlson

Fully extended for the lone win this year; last race came back okay as the place horse took a $10K starter next out and the winner repeated in a $40K optional, both at Philly; he figures not to be intimidated by the rail; note he was just beaten a neck from the shore fence last year; runner has more speed than he just flashed; don't ignore.

Evolution Rocks

Seven clear in the tough beat last time; he may have just went a tad too fast early; best when sent along but he doesn't need the lead to succeed; drill 6 days ago suggests he is feeling pretty good about himself; respect everything from this potent barn.

Able Baker Charlie

Not the easiest spot for just a maiden winner; he needs a hot pace but should get it today; off poorly three back and checked early in last but these things happen when a runner has limited speed; not seeing it.

Defend

This is his venue but he is looking at valid splits this time; love the spacing of the return drills and he was over 3 clear on a surface he may have hated in last; backers have to hope a duel occurs and the leaders come back to the pack.

Black Karma

Six and half furlongs could have just been pushing the envelope in the lone loss; note he was over 10 clear that day; fact he won the debut gives him a right to fire fresh; improved energy in the drill 5 days ago; major threat.

Zaikov

Bet like a good thing and he sure didn't disappoint; place horse in the debut has won twice since and was 2nd beaten a nose in an N1X 11/28 at Calder; he's been drilling like the proverbial Swiss clock; the one to deny.

Noble Prince

Toss the turf effort three back; that was probable farther than he wanted to go anyway; fit enough to drill a couple of times since the last try and you can never dismiss this kind of speed; must be left in the exotic mix at least.

Red Hot Randy

Proven locally with the help of the stewards; he wants no part of grass at this point in time and did catch fast splits in last; best of 10 bullet locked and loaded; needs a rebound run.

Fleet Beat

Trainer has spotted them just great with limited opportunities; proven for this price and he was game the process; winner of the PID finale cashed next out in a $30K Woodbine seller, then was 4th beaten less than 2 in a $40K claimer; the hotter the pace the better for this runner.

Megalith

A third of his wins have been local; nice; runner handles any kind of going and seems to move up on the wet stuff; snappy move on the 30th screams off the canvas and could envision him getting trip where he will sit 5 or 6 off a legit pace hoping the leaders wilt; out to make amends for the flop as chalk.

Race 7

Endowment Manager

Twice beaten favorite rallied well in his last assignment at Aqueduct on the turnback despite a slow getaway; breaking from the fence may pose problems but he still warrants respect under expert rider.

Rocboo

Fair breeze pattern for this new face; his sire won a pair of G3 stakes and 413K; progeny of Elusive Quality have won 94 out of 611 debuts; the dam was unraced; among the winning siblings is 54K earner Advertisement.

Piloting

Offspring of Tapit, a G1 winner who netted 557K, have been victorious in 56 out of 449 initial starts; the dam won 1 of 16 attempts and 58K; winning siblings include 265K bankroller Silver Cloud.

Concorde's Cat

Fair breeze pattern for high-percentage connections; the colt's sire won a G1 and 1.69 million; descendants of Discreet Cat are 23 for 174 as far as winning their first test; the dam won 5 of 18 and 271K; sib to 51K earner I am Discreet.

Flat in Charge

Made up decent ground after breaking slowest of all first time out of the box; his sire won 4 of 6 and 148K; the dam won 10 of 25 and 150K; among the winning siblings is 44K earner Kristy N Charge.

Big Guy Ian

New face hails from multiple G1 victor Birdstone who captured 1.57 million and whose progeny have won 9 percent of their debuts; the dam won 8 of 30 and 327K; winning sibs include 134K earner Run Smart One.

Monteamira

Displayed good fighting speed until the half-way point in his first outing; his sire won multiple G3s and 373K; the dam won 2 of 16 and 88K; among the winning sibs is 25K earner Our Republic; very fine breeze turned in 9 days ago; consider.

Cajun Kiss

Canadian invader has been a consistent performer and the turnback in distance today can help his cause; draws directly outside one of the probable pacesetters and that can give him a major tactical advantage.

Sheket

Beginner was sired by multiple G1 winner Langfuhr who annexed 698K and whose offspring have won nearly 10 percent of their first races; the dam won 4 of 11 and 113K; sib to 156K earner Silent Moon.

Flag On the Play

Very steady workout regimen on view for this son of multiple G1 Bernardini who earned a total of 3.06 million; his descendants have won their first attempt at a rate of 12 percent; the dam won 2 of 12 and 60K; sib to 666K earner Little Belle.

Downtownleroybrown

Some upbeat breezes from the gate for this newcomer; his sire won multiple G1s and 1.65 million; progeny of Leroidesanimaux have won 17 out of 133 initial outings; the dam won 5 of 40 and 71K; this is her only foal to compete.

Borseggiatore

Yet to hit the board but he has flashed some fair early speed at times; switches to apprentice handling for the first time and perhaps can work out a better trip here; interesting arrival may be worth some play.

Wild Z Z Z Z

A pair of tough beats for this grey who was claimed in his unveiling in the summer; his sire won a G2 and 282K while the dam never competed; among the winning siblings is 50K earner Mount Dollberg; note fine half-mile breeze only 5 days ago.

C. Zee

Just missed in an all-out first run; was involved in a strong pace all the way around and can be a major player today; his sire won both career starts and 127K; the dam won 2 of 5 and 74K; sib to 16K earner Diamonds for Marie.

Storm Viper

Rounds out a very tough field to unravel; he has an important race over the track, however, where he held on very well in a large field just over a month ago; worthy of serious consideration if escaping the AE list.

Race 8

Stately Defence

Not wild about what this filly showed in her turf debut in her latest outing when finishing behind a couple of these, and the trouble she encountered at the top of the stretch was basically insignificant as she wasn't showing any signs of putting together a stretch bid.

Union Prayer

She put together a solid performance to break her maiden in her latest outing but she benefited from a favorable early pace scenario that day and she figures to see a much quicker early tempo in this event; prefer to look toward others.

Room Service

She's run well in back-to-back starts to begin her career and feel that she's eligible to be ready for her sharpest performance to date after being given some time off prior to this; she's out of a multiple graded stakes placed dam who won 4 of 17 starts for 230k, including 4 of 15 turf starts for 223k, and this miss is a 1/2 to stakes winner Oscar Party (2-11, 177k, including 2 of 8 turf starts for 106k).

Elle Starlight

Have to respect the improvement she showed in her turf debut in her latest outing and this filly is out of a stakes winning dam who won 4 of 30 starts for 402k, including 3 of 22 starts for 358k; perhaps this Live Oak-homebred still has more to show us.

Fazed

Sire is 0-for-7 with his turf starters and dam won 9 of 38 starts for 96k, including 0-for-1 over turf; Chamafi has won with 4 of 11 (36%) mounts for this barn in 2013; respect her early speed but turf and distance are concerns.

Lemon Point

She enters this race fresh off of a stakes placing, and even though she gave up a long late lead in that race, that's a decent looking runner who beat her that day, and she did outfinish a couple of today's rivals in that race; Vegso-homebred has a fine pedigree for turf and this will be her first start with Lasix.

Cambiata

Tough to give her the nod over Lemon Point in here after seeing what they did against each other over this turf course on November 9 and it might be worth noting the presence of Lopez aboard another in here.

Ten Easy Street

She had everything her own way in breaking her maiden in her latest start, but that was still a solid performance for a 2-year-old filly making her second career start, and can't ignore the fact that she's making her first start for a high win percentage barn that does very well with new acquisitions; runner up from latest won next out at KD on 9/18 going 1m over turf vs. MSW rivals with a 66 Beyer.

Marnesia Wild Heir

She wasn't able to get anything going in her one start over turf prior to this and this has a chance to prove to be a tough spot for her to meet up with winners for the first time after beating a field of 35-30k MCL's in her latest outing.

Countess Bling

Sire wins with approximately 14% of his turf starters and dam won once from nine starts for 16k, including 0-for-1 over turf; this filly is a full to stakes winner License to Bling (5-14, 108k, including 1 of 2 turf starts for 7k); turf is a question, but she deserves credit for the way that she was able to take down a nice purse in her dirt debut in her latest start.

Danalin

It's fair to question the strength of the field she beat in her career debut, but she looked like an old pro in getting the job done from off the pace going 1 1/16m; she goes form one top barn to another and she goes out for the same owner.

Be Nice Or Leave

She showed a little something racing over turf in her first two career starts and you can just ignore her latest outing where she stumbled and lost her rider; this is a very capable turf barn and Leparoux gets plenty of live calls from this outfit.

Bella Traviata

Sire wins with approximately 13% of his turf starters and dam won once from five starts for 12k, including 0-for-2 over turf; she might prove to be better off sprinting, but she enters this race off of a minor stakes placing, and she certainly deserves a chance to see what she can do over turf.

The Best Love

Half-sister to English Crossing (3-15, 132k over turf) and stakes placed Marine Patrol (2-5, 85k over turf) made her turf debut a winning one when suprising a field in her latest start, but if she draws in, she'll be faced with an extreme outside post in her first attempt against winners.

Duff One

Even with an outside post in play, she'll have the look of a top contender based on what she's shown us in her four starts over turf; this is the first call for Rosario and this miss is a 1/2 to Giulio's Jewel (3-4, 70k over turf); must consider.

Fingers Crossed

She's another live looking filly sitting on the Also Eligible list and she's run very well in both of her starts since being placed over turf; her most recent workout looks sharp and Saez has won with 16 of 54 (30%) mounts for this barn in 2013.

Race 9

B E Boston Strong

Canadian shipper failed to finish his Woodbine finale, the third straight time in which he failed to factor; his maiden win on dirt at Suffolk this summer was pretty solid, but he did it with speed and his early lick does look to have been dulled signficantly since; just watching him here.

Broome Street

Gelding is in for the optional tag after being beaten as the chalk at the trip on the class drop; he's earned some solid numbers in the past and his effort over the track 4 starts back this summer was rather good, but he doesn't look to be the same runner anymore; have to side with others.

Imperial Robyn

Turns back after chasing a 23+ length slop winner in his return from the freshening; he's been better at 2 turns and though he's been ok on a dry dirt strip, don't think he's good enough to go with some of these; looking elsewhere for the winner.

Storm Warnings

It's been a while since this guy's most recent score and he'll return from a brief freshening for this one; he did earn a decent number in the third place finish prior to the time off and maybe he's again able to factor for a share, but others look better on the win end.

Chee

Lightly raced 4 year old changed hands since a couple of solid efforts to behind his career when last sighted here last winter; proved in his debut run that he's capable of firing fresh and this 8 panel trip didn't pose him much difficulty last time out; consider.

Majestic Cause

Earned a nice number while breaking his maiden sprinting second out here last month and now he'll get a switch to a top pilot for the stretchout in his first with winners; 700K auction buy is kin to a route winner and he's proven he can pass runners; with a couple of solid interim breezes in tow he's a big threat to repeat.

Holdin Bullets

Speedy gelding is offered for the optional tag here and that's less than they paid for him 2 starts back and over 10 months ago; expect he'll again be prominent from the bell and he has a right to be tighter with his last crack behind him; most recent score did come at this trip.

Belvin

Beaten chalk in his return from 4 months on the bench was again given some time after a weak try in that comebacker; he was quite good out West earlier in the year and as evidenced by his big figure maiden score on dirt, it wasn't just synthetic footing that moved him up; contender.

Defense Article

Backed out of it after leading early in his return from the brief freshening and now he shows up for the optional tag; colt is just 2 starts removed from a huge Beyer score over a wet track and the barn does do great work with runners second time back from the break; concern is the outside draw and the presence of other lick which will make him have to earn this one from the bell.

Sweet Lew

Settled and ran past the leaders in breaking her maiden first out over synthetic footing in Canada last month and now he'll stretch out in trying winners first time on dirt; barn boasts excellent numbers with runners tackling added ground and this guy worked pretty well at Palm Meadows for his local debut; kin to a route winner, his pedigree suggests he'll love the added ground; not one to overlook.

Tizracer

Rode the inside path to an impressive debut score at this trip second out, but that was 15 months ago and his 2 spaced, beaten chalk starts since were each pretty poor; colt's effort over the track prior to the freshening was weak and his steady interim drills aren't much, but the Pletcher barn is going well here and their top pilot gets aboard.

Race 10

Oh So Gia

50 days since showing improved-gate speed 2nd-time out 1st off the claim; cuts the original purchase price in half today seeking stamina answers; adding distance onto 1st pair does not help the confidence level; know her early then hopes to hang on late.

Runaway Bridle

Ran to the 50-1-debut odds when passing a few when well beaten throughout; the way she ran in the career debut over the track it appears a lot more distance than 6F would be needed to see very-best form; most runners move forward 2nd-time out and she has plenty of room to move forward for this.

Feloya

88 days since just missing in West Virginia; new trainer is just 2-for the last-28 first-time out with newly-acquired runners and 0-for-13 with runners off similar layoffs; ended up on the lead in last for the 1st time in career when hammered down to even-money odds; she was nearly able to go all the way but has plenty of other early zip to battle with today; the 3-back winner repeated in a CRC-starter alw. with a 69 Beyer.

Benne First Baby

Declining-Beyer speed pattern for her 3-race career; rallied well in the debut but then not much in last pair flashing gate speed 2-back in a race loaded with other early zip today; displayed front wraps for the 1st time ever in last then produced a career-low Beyer; must show more.

Sweet Kaleah

All 8 defeats were by double-digit defeat margins; stalked the speed in most-recent loss without offering any stamina again; the rider carousel continues as she is slated for her 9th different rider in her 9th start not a good-win angle; view as a pace presence for part.

Oro Pequena

Wokeup 1st time ever on dirt in last when catching a sloppy-race track; while the Beyer produced was not very impressive she showed the ability to pass horses which is a key element today in a race loaded with suspect-gate speed; the 2-back runner-up finisher Beyered 68 in her next-out PID-MSW win; contender.

Baby Butterscotch

Her 2-back debut loss represents the field's best Beyer speed figure but she regressed in last when stretched out to today's 6F distance; the debut winner repeated in a TAM-83K event with a 71 Beyer; wish the workout for this impressed more for a 1-for-19 two-year-old barn; new rider yields 31% winners for the trainer since 2012.

Broadway Secret

62 days since her wakeup call on GP dirt coinciding with 2nd-time Lasix; the trainer since 2012 owns a super 3-for-8 record with similar-layoff winners; has been working well for this; the 3-back show runner Beyered 36 in her next-out GP-16K-maiden-claiming win; see some upside.

Reina Mary

Sire is 9-for-146 with 2-year-old debut starters; is out of a 7-for-38 dam (124K) who produced 1 winner from 2 other foals to race (5-for-29 Crazy Luke 125K); wish the worktab stood out more but catches a field lacking superstars for an 11%-debut trainer.

Bright Promise

Knocking on the door for a victory pressing the pace well in last 2 races; the added half furlong for this is clearly the biggest concern noting her 3-back loss at 6F to Broadway Secret; 111 pounds is the lighest-weight assignment of career; has gate speed in a race filled with it.

Our Tigress

23%-winning 1ster trainer adds to the appeal in an event lacking superstars; sire is 2-for-12 with 2-year-old debut starters; is out of a 1-for-10 dam (11K) who produced 6 winners from 6 other foals to race including stakes-placed Sleek John (10-for-51, 270K); seems the one to beat.

Dreaminofcarmela C

Trainer is an amazing 46% winners with 1sters; sire is 2-for-26 with 2-year-old debut starters; is out of a 2-for-8 dam (45K) who produced 8 winners from 9 other foals to race including stakes winner Rocky River (4-for-13, 127K); the pick.

Ready to Lead

New trainer off the zero Beyer; brief speed in many of her defeats likely pressing the pace wide for this; been best at shorter than 6F today's distance is a big concern; the July off-the-board DEL finish looks better since the show runner Beyered 69 in her next-out DEL-MSW graduation.