Goldfeder: How I’d play Del Mar on Wednesday, Aug. 19

Playing Del Mar has been fun so far this meet, and as we head into the weekend of the Pacific Classic, I expect the good times to continue . . .

Race 2

(1) Bella Sierra (ML 4-1): Exits key race where four horses have come back to win recording Beyer Speed Figures of 79, 72, 68, and 58. Drops in class to a spot where the Beyer par is 72. Adds blinkers for her second start and should improve. Although it’s a small sample size, over the last two years Javier Sierra is 2 for 5 when adding blinkers for the first time with an ROI of $18.16.

(2) Appealing Lady (ML 5-1): Improved when switched from synthetic to dirt and showed good spurts in both dirt starts. Has been working well for her 3-year-old debut. Well bet in first three starts. The addition of blinkers didn’t help get her closer to the pace last out, so expect a late run making her more of an exotic play.

(5) Lynn’s Chancie (ML 6-1): Broke well in debut, tracked the pace, and then fell back on the turn only to show some late run to get up for third. Okay gallop-out suggests with some focus she can improve, and the addition of blinkers might do the trick.

(6) Cadet Roni (ML 5-2): Ran a good second on May 24 to impressive maiden winner Super Majesty (91 Beyer) who followed up her debut score with an impressive victory (100 Beyer) in allowance company. In her next start, Cadet Roni was wide and flattened out in the stretch. Her last start was a turf route that may have been more of a conditioner than anything else. Mark Glatt is 3 for 7 (43 percent) with an ROI of $4.65 in the past year when going turf to dirt and route to sprint. She sports two of the best lifetime Beyers of anyone in the field and is the horse to beat.

(8) Analysis Paralysis (ML 3-1): First start since November for a solid barn. Watch the board.

The play:

Bella Sierra to win at 7-2 or better

Exacta Box 1-6

Exacta key for less 1/2-5-8

DD: 1-6/4

Pick 3: Leg 1-A’s: 1-6 B’s:2-5 C’s:8
Leg 2-A’s: 4 B’s: 5-6
Leg 3-A’s: 2

:: See Lonnie Goldfeder’s pick three play in DRF TicketMaker and bet it with DRF Bets

Race 3

(4) Image of Joplin (ML 7-2): Has tactical speed and a win over the Del Mar turf course, which came second off a layoff on Aug. 13, 2014. Additionally, he has run respectable races at the distance, which makes him a player. Mathew Chew is 8 for 15 (16 percent) with an ROI of $3.01 in the last three years second off a layoff.

(5) Follow Me Crev (ML 3-1): Wide trip in last with good late run followed by good gallop-out suggests he might be okay with the added ground. Showed improvement after the claim by Cerin. Heading in right direction.

(6) Lime Rickey (ML 5-2): Veteran has been in the money in all turf efforts at Del Mar and could handle the distance. Will need pace, but will be running late.

The play:

Image of Joplin to win at 7-2 or better

DD: 4/2 and 5-6/2 for less

Race 4

(2) War Destiny (ML 4-1): Won a maiden race after being dropped from MSW to 20K maiden claimer in a gutty performance in the mud at Del Mar in last start. Ran an 88 Beyer last year, so it’s not like the wet track moved him up. Layoff lines and drop indicate there were physical issues, and the move to a 25K claiming race looks like a positive sign. John Sadler is 5 for 18 (28 percent) with an ROI of $2.98 with maiden winners last out on the dirt.

Play to win at 4-1 or better.