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Freehold Raceway

Freehold: Analysis for Friday 11/1

Larry Fox|Oct 30, 2024
freehold.jpg

MEET STATS: 142-55-33-21/ $255.20 (-$28.80)

BEST BETS: 15-10-2-0 / $25.00 (-$5.00)

SPOT PLAYS: 15-3-4-2 / $28.60 (-$1.40)

BEST BETS: #2 LADYCZAR (9th Race)

SPOT PLAY: #2 ANNE BONNEY N (7th Race)

Race 1: F&M TrackMaster 68.5

(1) CUTTING HUMOR has been disappointing as of late but does have four wins this year and meets possibly the weakest field she has seen in a while There’s no reason this one won’t be on the lead or in the pocket. She got parked to the quarter last week at 6:5 odds but she should be able to make amends in here. (8) JUST MY MAMA draws the eight post for the second consecutive week but she is probably the best horse in this race. She has a win, two second place finishes and a third in her last six tries at Freehold and she consistently shows the fastest last quarters among this group. (2) GOINROUNDNCIRCLES has hit the board in 9-21 races this year and was second two back at this level. There’s a chance this 14-year-old finds herself in the pocket in here and she is definitely the sentimental choice as she looks for her 40th career win.

[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]

Race 2: TrackMaster 68.5 (Trot) (Pick 4)

(4) KING CAST is a great-looking 10-year-old gelding whose good looks have drawn me in before just to disappoint me. He is the main speed in here and has tried wiring fields at this level twice in the last four, finishing second both times. He should get comfortable fractions in here and may be able to hold on this time. (3) FASHION FOREVER has the highest TrackMaster in this field and makes his second start since 8/1. Improvement can be expected. (2) NOTMEITSYOU has hit finished third three times in his last six races, earning checks in five of them and has a shot in a pretty weak field.

RACE 3: F&M TrackMaster 68.5

(4) HOT STUFF finally drew well last week and put in a solid effort finishing second at 7:5 odds. She draws the same four post again and is well positioned to flaunt her early speed again. She went wire-to-wire at this level from the seven post on 9/27 and has 10 exacta finishes in 34 races this year. (2) EDEN PAIGE N has strong early speed and has hit the board in 8-16 starts this year but with just one win. Two back, she fired out from the eight post and finished second missing by a nose and last week she got stuck coming uncovered and had to settle for third. (5) SWEET FEAR won at this level here three back in 1:56 1/5 which would put everyone in this field back on their heels. Last week with provisional driver Bryan Quevedo driving for his brother, trainer, Edwin Quevedo, she was a bit disappointing finishing fourth and she picks up Bryan again.

Race 4: F&M NW 1

(5) SHOPPING SPREE shipped in from Batavia last week and put in a solid effort after having the lead in the stretch and then settling for second. She did some good work earlier this year on the fair circuit and this is a very weak field. This field is 2-98 overall and she has both wins, but she gets in here because they were both fair wins. (4) T H MRS MCMURRY has not lived up to expectations and usually gets minor spoils at best but this field is so weak that her recent slight improvements and decent draw put her in contention. (7) BROWNSVILLE ships back in from Philly after going against much tougher NW1 stock and does have two third place finishes in five career races including a solid third here on 10/4 at 9:5 odds in 1:58 1/5.

Race 5: F&M TrackMaster 68.5/$5,000 Claiming (Pick 5)

(5) MADDY N MAGGIE move in off the also eligible list after dominating this field last week wire-to-wire at 2:5 odds. It is a bit of a head scratcher why this mare is being tagged so cheaply so she must have some soundness issues but she will be a tough customer in here again and the odds will be very low. (7) QUEEN SUN RYSER continues to draw poorly. After four consecutive eight posts, she landed in post five last week and was a solid uncovered second to the choice in here. She draws horribly again but this horse has ability and she beat much better than these earlier this year. (2) DREAM PILLAR has won six times at this level at Freehold this year and is well positioned to be on or near the lead early. She’s won two of her last three at this level but the this is a pretty tough field for this level.

Race 6: NW $2500 L5/TrackMaster 75.5 (Trot)

(1) PARODY is typically a completely different horse when landing inside but has failed to convert the last two weeks with good posts. I expect him to be on the lead or in the pocket, which will give him a good chance to make amends and a nice price. (4) ROBERT MICHAEL keeps getting hammered at the betting windows and putting in nice efforts. Last week he finished second, losing by a nose and he has hit the board in each of his last four races. (5) HEADOVERBOOTS AS ships back in from Yonkers to Freehold. He was a strong second last time here on 10/4 at this level at 6:5 odds from post six where he was on the lead the whole mile until the final 100 yards and settled for second.

RACE 7 : F&M NW $2500 L5/TrackMaster 75.5 (Pick 4)

(2) ANNE BONNEY N ships back to Freehold after a lack of success against tougher the last four out of town. When last seen at Freehold, she was a dominant wire-to-wire winner at this level in 1:54 4/5 and on 9/13 she was parked twice and finished second, missing by a half length. The price should be juicy. (5) WESTERN ROSIE has been a dominant wire-to-wire winner here three weeks in a row and keeps dropping in for a tag with no takers. She has been a prohibitive favorite in the last four weeks and the last three wins were never in doubt. They have her as the target to chase. (1) PARTY CRUISER makes just her second start since late April and broke last week but has a ton of back class. She was racing in the Open at Harrington earlier this year and has 27 wins in 76 career starts. The board should tell a lot. (4) CORSINI A is one of the hardest trying mares you will find. She’s cashed checks in six of her last seven, including three second-place finishes and rarely gets respect at the betting windows.

Race 8: TrackMaster 68.5

(5) BOURBONS COURAGE has earned checks in six of his last seven and was a game uncovered second last week. He hasn’t shown much early speed so he could be trip dependent but with the right set up, he will have a major say. (3) IDEAL TYSON A won four back at this level going wire-to-wire and then tried the same tactics a week later at one level higher but tired late to finish third. He will likely be on the lead but you have to accept the fact that he has just one win and three exacta finishes in 27 starts this year. (6) ULLIAM is an improving 3-year-old and has three second place finishes and a win in his last seven races. On 9/26 he left strongly from the same six post and converted a pocket trip to victory at this level.

[DRF HARNESS: Sign up for our FREE DRF Harness Digest Newsletter]

Race 9: F&M NW $2500 L5/TrackMaster 75.5

(2) LADYZAR has looked super sharp the last three with a win and two seconds. She is very quick off the gate and finds the easiest field she has seen in a long time. She looks faster than these and she should go wire to window! (3) TWO MORE DREAMS was a dominant wire-to-wire winner last week at a level below after drawing her best post in a long time. She has cashed checks in eight consecutive starts, lands inside again and she’s the main contender. (6) SHORTYS GIRL has some back class and makes just her third start of the year and was a very solid second last week from the inside.

Race 10: F&M TrackMaster 68.5

(1) FUSSPOT draws the rail after three consecutive seven posts, where she earned checks in each. There are very few in this field that look like they can step up and win and it really looks like a “now or never” proposition. (2) BRICKYARD BEACON makes just her second start of the year. She was an impressive second in her first start after going three wide by the 3/4 pole and had no chance last week from the outside. She should be up close early and has a shot. (4) MYSTIQUE GIRL has continuously disappointed me and has just one win in 45 starts but often shows glimpses of hope and typically earns some minor checks. One of these days she is going to pop at a price against a weak field like this.

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