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Santa Anita

Free: How I'll play Santa Anita on Sunday, Feb. 12

Brad Free|Feb 11, 2017
Click Here for video

ARCADIA, Calif. – Options are limited Sunday at Santa Anita. Blame the rain.

Three races are scheduled for grass; the status of the turf sprints, races 1 and 5, and the turf route, race 8, is uncertain. That leaves six races on dirt; the average field size Sunday is seven starters per dirt race. It is tough to find value in small fields, and virtually impossible with races such as Sunday’s.

Race 2 is a maiden-$20K in which the favorite, Latino Mo, tries for the 12th time to win a maiden race. Her last-start Beyer Speed Figure was a 37. No thanks.

Race 3 is a route for older maidens; the stretch-out Magic Miracle is the horse to beat. He started once, losing a sprint by nine lengths. But he earned a credible figure and is likely to improve second out at the longer distance. He is the 5-2 second choice, an underlay.

Race 4 is the Grade 2 San Vicente Stakes for 3-year-olds; Battle of Midway is solid. His debut was fast (88 Beyer) and visually impressive. He figures to win the seven-furlong stakes, which is essentially a first-level allowance. In a five-horse field, Battle of Midway is the 7-5 favorite.

Race 6 is a sprint for 3-year-old maiden fillies. First-time starter Selcourt is bred to win early; sire Tiz Wonderful gets 19 percent debut winners. Selcourt has fast works for John Sadler, who has won with 4 of his last 12 maiden special weight debuting fillies. Selcourt is 5-2.

Race 7 is a maiden-$30K for 3-year-old fillies; Aura Rose is favored. She washed out in the post parade last time and ran accordingly. She can improve. But a longshot named Patti Kinsella lurks. Her seventh-place debut was possibly better than it looks.

She was off slowly, hard held, uncomfortable running into the kickback, and faltered. The suspicion is that she has more speed than she showed. Not thrilled about Patti Kinsella’s program odds, but she could drift up from 6-1.

Bottom line: Battle of Midway (race 4) and Selcourt (race 6) are solid favorites. Second-start longshot Patti Kinsella looms an upset candidate in race 7.

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