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DRF's Horse Racing Playbook for Saturday, April 15, 2023

DRF Staff|Apr 14, 2023
Tampa Bay Downs01.2-18-23.TK_.jpg
Tom Keyser First post for Gulfstream racing is scheduled for 12:18 p.m. ET on Saturday.

Daily Racing Form has served as the most trusted source of news and information about the sport since 1894, and moving forward we have decided to provide a free daily playbook – something that both hardcore horseplayers and casual observers can reference to get informed of each day’s action.

1:24 LRL 3rd It's fair to wonder if LOVELY LIZA (#3, 4-1) took advantage of a pace collapse when picking up pieces over sloppy going. Tracked three wide, was outpaced on the turn, dropped inside to save ground, then rallied to grab the place in a race where the top three finishers were sixth, fifth and seventh after the first quarter. -Dan Illman | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

1:58 TAM 4th FLIPPING FISH (#2, 6-1) is a DRF Best Bet (Kenny Peck). | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

2:31 TAM 5th HURRY UP DEAR (#3, 6-1) seems to be cycling toward her top form, as that last effort was much better than the running line might indicate; she was off the board there but she was running well through the wire while in among several horses, and the gallop out suggests she has a forward move in her. -Kenny Peck | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

2:36 KEE 4th GEAUX YOSHKA (#2, 12-1) was beaten a nose for $50K going this distance last October at KEE and ought to hit harder for this $30K tag. Listed at 12-1 despite clearly fitting the spot, and likely has been aimed here for quite some time after struggling in a couple starts over the OP surface early in that meet. -Marcus Hersh | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

2:56 AQU 4th ONE MORE SCORE (#7, 8-1) sat a perfect trip close to a modest pace when posting that fast win last March at Parx; faced much tougher horses in his next two starts, including that return from the long layoff this year, and thought he ran better than it looks at this level two back while getting bumped several times at the start and then moving up after a solid pace early; threat of he can rebound after stopping in another fast-paced race last time. -Mike Beer | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

3:02 TAM 6th DAWGMENTALITY (#6, 15-1) goes two turns for the first time since last August, which was his only other try going long, and he ran quite well there to save the place after dueling for the lead from the break; he clearly has some speed but if he can rate and make one run he may be ideally spotted off the speeds. -Kenny Peck | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

3:59 LS 4th MAMA'S NIGHT OUT (#4, 10-1) is the value...we think. She has worked at least twice since her most recent so there is that. She has never run poorly and broke her maiden in her second start as the favorite. Connections find a logical spot to face first time winners. Race flow is fine and this filly wants to pass runners even at this shortened sprint distance. Trainer stats are good across the board. We would take half the 10-1 morning line. -Scott Ehlers | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

4:00 AQU 6th MAGNIFICENT CHROME (#7, 8-1) was in excellent form here through last winter and into the spring and summer while winning a couple of times and then holding his own while steadily moving up in class; hasn't quite recovered that form since starting back from the layoff in January; raced wide and weakened when dropped to this level last time off the claim; one more chance at a price. -Mike Beer | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

4:12 KEE 7th PRINCIPE D'ORO (#4, 6-1) is a DRF Best Bet (Marcus Hersh). | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

4:27 LS 5th DOUGH BOY (#5, 8-1) beat over half the field home in his first three starts and they all came here. His last few don't look so hot but they were first time winners and two turns on the turf so there are your excuses. Notice that connections find a spot where this guy can't be taken. A return to the dirt should help and we like that team Pish want two turns right back. We are expecting a solid price. -Scott Ehlers | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

4:34 AQU 7th STARTS NOW (#4, 12-1) is a DRF Best Bet (Mike Beer). | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

4:37 TAM 9th ONE VIOLENT AFFAIR (#9, 8-1) ran a big race in that last one, prompting the issue from the start before fading late, and the fact that that sprint came up fast (winner posted a 77 Beyer, average winning figure for the class and distance is 65) only adds to the appeal; makes her turf debut here but the dam posted both of her two career wins on the grass. -Kenny Peck | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

4:44 KEE 8th Maybe OPENING BUZZ (#7, 15-1) is only a synthetics performer, but she did win well enough making her turf debut at Del Mar, and it could be important to note than when much less effective over the KEE course in her only other grass start, BB was contesting an average-to-strong pace. One wonders why. She has since learned to settle and finish, and if she can bring that style and her best Tapeta showings to turf, she's got a shot to upset the Giant's Causeway. -Marcus Hersh | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

4:54 TUP 2nd This is our first two year old race of the meet. BIG MOONIE (#1, 10-1) is by a 15% debut sire (all sire stats are for 2YO's only). His dam went 30-5-7-2 and earned 172K. Both sibs beat winners including full brother Cat Burglar who is 1 for 1 and earned 40K. -Scott Ehlers | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

4:55 LS 6th CLIFF DIVER (#1, 8-1) is a DRF Best Bet (Scott Ehlers). | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

5:06 AQU 8th BLINDING LIGHT's (#11, 8-1) lone win to date came on turf but his dirt form is solid and he draws perfectly here in a race that might get competitive early; bumped into a much-improved winner in a race that wasn't coming back to him last time. -Mike Beer | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

5:23 LS 7th DOC'S BUD (#3, 5-1) is by a 0 for 5 debut sire. Her dam went 32-2-8-8 and banked 55 large. This is her first foal. We spy some quick works. Homebred can place wherever they want so no worries about this level to start. We like that Elliott gets a leg up and he is 21% for this barn. A better price than some we would think. -Scott Ehlers | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

5:48 KEE 10th WHITE FROST (#9, 8-1) was 100% done in by her trip last time. She has positional pace but fell much, much too far behind the winner's slow tempo, unable to get up despite going her final quarter in a robust 22.35 seconds. I think she works out a good trip here, and I do like that Mott and co. are going for it in G1 company. -Marcus Hersh | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

6:25 TUP 5th POLITICAL RIOT (#9, 8-1) is a DRF Best Bet (Scott Ehlers). | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

6:34 OP 10th JOE FRAZIER (#2, 4-1) ran a big race off the bench last out when second in a starter allowance that went in good time. He has reason to move forward in his second out since September. -Mary Rampellini | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

7:38 GG 8th ONE FAST BRO (#3, 5-1) has not only been facing tougher in SoCal, he invades with good form having rallied to win a nice starter allowance tilt at SA March 19. He must deal with new surroundings but this spot may not be as tough so as long as he shipped well and handles the course he figures tough. -Michael Hammersly | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

7:59 TUP 8th STITZY (#8, 8-1) adds distance today and that might be the key. This gelding got an 80 Beyer in his only start at this marathon distance. We have always thought this guy was talented. This barn is 24% with their stakes runners. The price will entice. Berrios gets a leg up and is 60% for this barn. -Scott Ehlers | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

8:08 GG 9th BOB'S BLUE MOON (#6, 4-1) is a DRF Best Bet (Michael Hammersly). | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

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