DRF Plus Graded Stakes Analysis: Charles Town Oaks

G3 Charles Town Oaks at CT (race 11, post 10:30 p.m. ET)

With three straight runner-up finishes in those graded races in New York gracing her form, there’s little doubt that Miss Behaviour (#2) is the one to beat in here – and with her inside draw and willingness to rate, there is even less doubt that she’ll be considerably lower than her 5-2 morning line.

So is even-money an acceptable price? Well, that depends on if you can hit the gimmick – which we very much intend to do.

Who for key “under” plays? Stormy Novel (#1), off a terrific Jersey triumph, should be able to save ground and rate just behind a fast pace, too. We’ll depend on her to be part of the verticals by playing these trifecta and super tickets:

2 w 1 w 6/7/9/10/11 w those same numbers
2 w 6/7/9/10/11 w 1 w the same sprinklings