Del Mar: Daily Gameplan for Sunday, July 20
Race 1
| L T Reckless |
| Speedster's won 3 of 4; she has to fend off Screamin Earlienne early then the stalkers/closers late; good sign that she rated just off the speed in her March victory; 7 weeks since posting a field-best Beyer speed figure when scoring on the lead on SA dirt; the high-percentage fresh trainer adds to the appeal; returns to DMR synthetic where her only race here last summer represents the 2nd-lowest Beyer of career; the 2-back win looks better since the runner-up finisher Beyered 68 in a next-out SA-$12,500-claiming victory; is the one to beat. |
| When I'm Calling U |
| Late runner should be aided by a projected hot-pace setup by Screamin Earlienne and L T Reckless; the obvious concerns are she often races well in defeat with 11 minor awards during career and can she handle DMR synthetic racing on it for the 1st time? |
| Among the Stars |
| 65-day absence since fading on grass; she is clearly best on fast dirt (2-for-4) and gets only her 2nd chance to compete on a synthetic surface for this; was no match for L T Reckless 3 back sprinting then she won going long which may be her best game?; will be taking a wait and see approach. |
| Golden Celestial |
| The winner and 6th-place finishers from last Beyered 64-57 in next-out SA-25K-claiming and PRX-10K-claiming victories; same owner/new trainer off the long absence; the 2-back show finisher Beyered 51 in a next-out BHP-starter alw. win. |
| Screamin Earlienne |
| 50 days since running up the score on the lead on SA dirt defeating the runner-up finisher who Beyered 71 in a next-out SA-20K-maiden-claiming win; a synthetic surface and L T Reckless' gate speed are the 2 biggest knocks against; not sure she will like an all-weather oval either; she began 2014 with less-than-dazzling synthetic surface workouts. |
| She's Flush |
| The 0-for-9 record with 1 exacta finish racing on synthetic-surfaces leaps off the form at you; faded badly the last time racing on an all-weather strip; off the 2-back loss to L T Reckless is ranked a notch or 2 below the top contenders for this. |
| Yodel Up a Storm |
| Prefer this one over the trainer's other starter uncoupled Among the Stars; she did not want any parts of conventional dirt in last; her DMR graduation score was at shorter last summer but saw her rate just off the speed to win; 7 weeks since latest which should be excused facing much quicker and older rivals on the main track; the pick. - Art Gropper |
Race 2
Vulnerable Favorite
TIGAH (#5, 7-2) certainly has some class (won the Grade 3 San Francisco Mile in April 2013), hence the reason he’s opened as the ML favorite here. However, after a so-so run here last August he wasn’t seen again until this past May 25 when dropped in for a $75K tag. He ran so-so again (finished 4th) and now plummets further on the claiming scale ($40K). They don’t give anything away out here and the successive drops, both coming after layoff are cause for pause, particularly if you have to embrace a short price. It’s not as if this spot came up soft, either. -Michael Hammersly
| Zimmer |
| Stakes placed veteran has run well in three of his five starts this year, including a couple of victories, and he's run well enough at today's distance in the past to suggest that he can handle the added ground; he draws a favorable rail post, and Van Dyke gets plenty of live calls from this barn. |
| Tones (IRE) |
| He's a stakes winner racing on grass and like to see what he's done in back-to-back starts prior to this since being returned from a layoff; he's more of an early speed type, but he has shown the ability to tap the brakes a little bit if need be. |
| Pulpit's Express |
| He's clearly a good fit at this level of competition and it's easy enough to forgive the sub par performance against G1 competition in his latest start; he ran well over this turf course last year and going to look for him to be ready to give a solid account of himself against these. |
| What Goes Around |
| He's run pretty well in his six starts this year, but just looking at this as being a tough spot for him to be making his first start over the Del Mar turf course; third-place finisher from latest won next out at GG on 5/24 going 1m over turf vs. N1X rivals with an 84 Beyer. |
| Tigah (GB) |
| If this G3 winner can bounce back from a performance that was well below par for him he does have the ability to leave these behind to battle it out over the place prize; the 40k claiming tag might be a negative to consider, but he has the look of a top contender. |
| Trelawny |
| 11-time winner sports fine overall turf form and he's been keeping the claims clerk busy in his starts this year; in a race that might have a fast and contested early pace, he'll be happy to sit out the early running and make one late move. |
| Would You |
| If you're looking for the best last race Beyer Speed Figure in here, he has it, and the third-place finisher from that race returned to win next out at SA on 2/14 going 1 1/2m over turf in a 40k OPC with an 86 Beyer; note what this barn has been doing when returning horses from this type of a layoff. |
| Mr T Bird |
| He's displayed solid form since the beginning of 2013 and like the idea of dropping him in with 40-35k claimers for his first start since February, if if this is a pretty tough looking bunch; at the very least, he worthy of consideration underneath in the gimmicks. |
| Proud Boss |
| Like to see the way that his form has improved since being placed back over turf a few starts back, but this does look like it might prove to be a tough step up in class for him after facing 25-22.5k claimers in recent starts. |
| Hurricane Lake |
| Consistent performer makes his first start after a claim for a barn that scores well in that category and they see fit to call upon Bejarano for this; Bejarano has won with 5 of 17 (29%) mounts for this outfit in 2014; runner up from latest won next out at Sac on 7/12 going 1m vs. starter alw. rivals with a 77 Beyer. |
| Midnite View |
| Sire wins with approximately 12% of his turf starters and G3 stakes placed dam won once from three starts for 56k, and she didn't make a turf start; he's run well over dirt and synthetic surfaces but this is a tough spot for his first turf test. |
| Hog's Hollow |
| Grade 2 stakes placed veteran got the job done with Smith aboard when last seen, and if his most recent workout is any indication, then he's ready to give a good account of himself in his first start since the end of May; must respect. - Brian Pochman |
Race 3
| Hero's Marine |
| Tries open claimers in her local return after offering little against the top 3 finishers off the break at Santa Anita; move to the fence won't benefit a runner without early foot and none of her synthetic spins was very much; can't make a case for her in this spot. |
| Silk in Silver |
| Tired after chasing the pace in her turf debut and now she'll move back to synthetic footing for the first time since her sprint debut late last fall; filly was pretty sharp on the front end on the Santa Anita dirt 2 back and though there are stretchout sprinters signed on for this the inside draw should help; thinking they'll have her to catch. |
| Lady Vivien |
| Beaten Los Al chalk is back in for a tag in his second start off the barn's claim; maybe the stretchout helps but she's been off the board in all 5 career synthetic spins at Golden Gate; effort 2 back at Santa Anita suggests the added trip could help her get back on track if she takes to this footing. |
| Thermal Nermal |
| Drops and stretches out while moving to synthetic footing for the first time after trying the Santa Anita hill in each of her last 3 starts; mare brings early lick to the table and she's shown that she can track and fire while sprinting; expect she'll be involved from the outset here and should feel a bit of class relief but the gal drawn to her immediate outside today did finish in front of her in each of her last 2 starts. |
| Joeandbetty'sbaby |
| Owns some solid recent turf numbers down the Santa Anita hill and now she'll stretch out; late runner didn't offer much in her lone synthetic try, but she encounters a field that looks to feature a lively pace and figures to get a great setup; expect we'll see her rolling in the lane. |
| Magic Number |
| Four year old was right there at the finish while tackling better on the Santa Anita dirt 2 starts back; filly prefers to make her run from off the pace and she finds a field that looks to contain pace; she's taken her last 2 synthetic spins so she shouldn't have much trouble with the surface switch; contender. |
| Ghost N Your Heart |
| Steps back up to this level while making her first start off the claim by an outfit that hasn't had much recent luck with the move; maybe she's tighter second back from the break and she is capable of handling 2 turns, but a minor award looks to be her likely ceiling in this spot. |
| Sapphire Breeze |
| Shipper makes her first local start while switching surfaces for this sharp outfit; beaten chalk in her Arlington turf finale earned a career best number in victory 3 back over synthetic footing and maybe the return to that type of surface will benefit her as she gets the services of a hot bug today; giving this fresh face the nod. |
| Itz a Saint |
| Outside drawn filly should be tighter second back from the freshening while dropping a notch in her first off the claim by an outfit that boasts recent luck with the move; she ran well on synthetic footing up North earlier in the year so maybe she takes to the local surface and she does figure to like the setup. - Steve Grabowski |
Race 4
Spot Play
Windy Forecast (#9, 7-2) is training like a good one with two bullet gate works in her holster, and should offer a square price with Baffert having a horse in this maiden special weight; the Baffert first timer breaks from the fence, an intimidating position for a young horse; this one, on the other hand, will be one of the last to load toward the outside -Byron King
| Maybellene |
| Filly cost $140K in September of '13; sire Lookin At Lucky has gotten off to a hot start as a sire and was a G1 winner over the DMR polytrack ('09 Futurity); dam Greathearted was unraced and her only foal to date is 3 for 39 lifetime; Baffert hits at a nice 22% (9 for 41) over the past two years with 2-year-old filly first time starters. |
| Miz Penelope |
| Daughter of Mizzen Mast was sold for $100K in September of '13 and again in March of '14 for $70K; sire doesn't do very well with juveniles on synthetic surfaces (5 for 84 over the past five years); dam was unraced but her only foal to date is $237K earner Mezzano (5 for 16 lifetime, 1 for 2 synth); trainer Palma is 11% (9 for 83) over the past five years with juveniles. |
| Pure |
| Hot new sire Quality Road is off to great start at stud (3 for 7 overall, 2 for 3 on synthetic); sire was a multiple G1 winner routing on dirt and earned $2.2 million; Banjo Lesson was 0 for 2 in her career, and this is her first foal; filly sold for $60K in October of 2013 and again in April of 2014 for $100K; trainer Cassidy is 1 for 14 over the past five years with 2-year-old fillies starting for the first time. |
| Tara's Tango |
| Ubridled's Song filly goes out for Hall of Fame trainer Jerry Hollendorfer, who is 36% (13 for 36) over the past year with first time starting fillies; sire was multiple G1 winner including '95 BC Juvenile and earned $1.3 million lifetime; Scarlet Tango did nice things on the track (4 of 18, $99K earned), and her offspring have combined to go 15 for 92 (1 for 17 on synthetic). |
| Zip Baby |
| City Zip was a nice runner on the track (multiple graded stakes winner), but he's been a fantastic sire (36 for 166 with juvenile sprinters on synthetic); dam didn't do much running during her career (1 for 13), but she's produced a reasonably successful runner to date (Lady Aragorn, 7 for 30 lifetime); filly sold for $45K in January of 2013 and again in Septermber of 2013 for $110K. |
| Daddy's Duo |
| Filly debuted at Arlington in June and ran very solidly; got involved in the running on her own headed into the far turn and ran a decent second behind a much the best winner; big concern is that the race has come back relatively weak to date; trainer Keith Desormeaux is a lackluster 2 for 37 over the past five years with horses at Del Mar. |
| Southern Lady |
| Daughter of Yes It's True was sold for $45K in September '13 and again for $130K in April '14; sire was multiple graded stakes winning sprinter (11 for 22, $1 million earned); dam Silver Strings wasn't much on the track (1 for 9) and her offspring haven't been much, either (3 for 63, 0 for 3 on synthetic); trainer Cody Autrey can get juveniles ready, but the two week gap between last two workouts is a minor red flag. |
| Diva Express |
| Miss sold for $260K in April; by 2010 Travers winner Afleet Express, who has only had five foals hit the track so far; dam Phi Beta Diva was 0 for 2 on the track, but her only other foal to date is Frat Man (Tiz Wonderful), who has gone 5 for 21 and earned $147K; four furlong bullet out of the gate on 7/14 jumps off the page. |
| Windy Forecast |
| Filly was sold in September of 2013 for $72K and again in April of this year for $260K; her dam Scapegoat has been incredibly productive as a broodmare, producing two runners that banked over $240K and another that earned $196K; sire was a stakes winner sprinting (6 of 15, $148K); some nice things going in the pedigree. |
| Queen of Kings |
| Sire Pioneerof the Nile has been fantastic early as a stallion, and although the sample size is small he appears to do well with synthetic runners, too (2 for 7 with juveniles); dam was 0 for 1 on the track, but her offspring have combined to go 24 for 133 lifetime (0 for 2 on synth); miss sold for $75K in September '13 and $130K in March '14; O'Neill is 5 for 50 over the past three years with 2-year-old fillies at Del Mar. - Matt Bernier |
Race 5
Eddie Read Stakes by Michael Hammersly
You have to give credit to trainer Christophe Clement for his timing. Yes, he has a very good horse in SUMMER FRONT, and when he decided to ship that guy here for this Grade 1 race he knew he’d be taking on some of the West’s best. But he must see fortune smile on him as likely the two best SoCal turf milers – Obviously and Winning Prize – did not show up for this, leaving SUMMER FRONT as surely the horse to beat. Again, Clement isn’t coming to see the beach, or eat at Bucky’s or for the camaraderie. He’s coming to try and win a tough race so he knew it was going to be a tall task. Nonetheless, he shipped anyway so that should speak volumes as to how he feels about his horse. After all, there are plenty of options back east right now, namely Saratoga. And yet, Clement opted to come West. Of course, he’s had success before with such a move, and obviously SUMMER FRONT is a good shipper. The 5-year-old is a proven commodity and after a three-month layoff has come back seemingly sharp as ever. He rallied from well back to run second in the Grade 3 Fort Marcy at Belmont May 3, then finished smartly again to be second to the aforementioned top-class Obviously in the Grade 1 Shoemaker Mile at Santa Anita June15. He’s never raced here, yes, but this guy has run well on Arlington turf, Belmont turf, Gulfstream turf, Calder turf, Monmouth turf, Hollywood Park turf and Santa Anita turf, so there’s little concern he won’t handle this place. Style-wise he has some versatility. The bulk of his work has been from off the pace but he’s by no means some one-dimensional deep closer. He has just enough tactical speed to get position early so he’s not at the mercy of pace and traffic. With this smallish field traffic shouldn’t be an issue. Pace, on the other hand, could be. There is not much speed signed up, with HORIZONTALYSPEAKIN appearing to be the lone and primary speed. That guy figures to go, and it’s possible SPRING UP may sit close, and maybe UNBRIDLED COMMAND. TOM’S TRIBUTE has speed, yes, but his connections have said they think his blossoming has been a result of taking him back and making one big run, so there’s no reason to believe he’s suddenly going to go toe-to-toe with HORIZONTALYSPEAKIN.
So Joe Bravo on SUMMER FRONT can see what develops, and if others balk and let HORIZONTALYSPEAKIN go it wouldn’t be a surprise at all to see ‘FRONT edge just a bit closer to keep that rival in his sights. This distance (1 1/8 miles) also seems to play to SUMMER FRONT’s strength.
While the absence of Obviously and Winning Prize are good news for SUMMER FRONT in terms of the depth of the competitive water here, it’s bad news in another regard for those of us who like him: the price. Whereas those other two would have taken ample month their absence likely means SUMMER FRONT goes favored, likely in the 8-5 range.
However, the right exotics sequence can take that short win payoff and maybe turn it into a 4-1 or so exacta payoff.
While HORIZONTALYSPEAKIN isn’t nearly as accomplished as some of his rivals he is, as noted, the main speed and that’s never something to wag your finger at. He has won at this trip leading all the way so it’s not out of the question he can go out there, dictate tempo and have gas left in the tank for furlongs 8 and 9 when the closers come to him. It’s no reach at all to see him hang around to play a supporting role in the exotics.
TOM’S TRIBUTE was a nice horse when he used his tactical speed but he’s stepped up his game of late with the change to being a deep closer. Rider Mike Smith will likely employ such tactics again here so looks for this guy to be coming, as he likely possesses the strongest late burst of the bunch.
| Spring Up |
| Doesn't seem to be in the same class as these; he comes off a win against starter $25,000 runners and was fifth when racing in an easier stake two back; is an honest horse but doesn't seem up to the Grade 1 level. |
| Summer Front |
| Occasionally doesn't run to his potential - such as in the GP Turf Handicap in February - but his other races are excellent; he has won 8 of 16 on turf, and his second in the Shoemaker was a fine race; plus, now he gets a little more distance - and there is no Obviously in this 1 1/8m lineup; choice. |
| Cogito |
| Was last seen in this race last year; have doubts about this one off such a long layoff against a field of this caliber; would have preferred to see him return in a second-level allowance, but guess the short field inspired his connections to give the race a shot. |
| Horizontalyspeakin |
| Form leaves something to be desired, but take note of the blistering pace he set last time out; no wonder he quit; now he catches a field with far less speed and should enjoy a much more comfortable trip; opposing riders in here are likely to just let him go, not viewing him as a legitimate threat; even with an easy pace, expecting him to come back in the lane. |
| Unbridled Command |
| He is a difficult to access; he was obviously a very good 3-year-old, a horse that capped his year in 2012 by winning the Hollywood Derby; he even ran third behind Point of Entry and Animal Kingdom in the GP Turf in February of 2013; but then came a lengthy layoff and his comeback was poor; the pace was furious but he couldn't pass any horses; could move forward off that race but difficult to tell if he can be the horse he once was; inclined to wait for a positive race before backing. |
| Tom's Tribute |
| Was just a half length behind Summer Front last out when third in the Shoemaker Mile; logical that he is the second choice on the line since he was behind 'Front most recently and because this one isn't as experienced as that one going longer distances. - Byron King |
Race 6
| Stylistic |
| Cyclotron 3 for 19 with firsters; sire took one of 4, banked almost $50K; 3 for 18 dam won about $90K; 1 of 4 siblings won; that runner, Atta Boy Pete, took 6 of 28, earned almost $200K; drills fast and ideally spaced. |
| Sea Royalty |
| Stormy Atlantic about 12% with debuters in a 928-horse sample; sire lost only start at 2, won in third start, earned almost 150 grand; dam out of the money 4 times; family is solid as all 6 siblings won including Bulletproof Spirit, who earned nearly $100K in a long career; she looks fit enough. |
| Jennakins |
| Was in the hands of cagey trainer Michael Larson early in her career; tough beat in last and note show horse was 3 clear; not thrilled with the defeat for a tag; off a career Beyer, respect. |
| Bilger's Sapphire |
| Was an ice cube on the board when seeing all the heels; 1 for 8 dam earned over $50K; lone half bro was out of the money twice; tough to pull the trigger the way she stopped. |
| Shysheisnot |
| Off a career Beyer and bug off to a good start here on opening day; dam was unraced; this is her first to race; speed was potent opening day, she could be compromised here. |
| Jessie's Storm |
| Stormy Jack 6 for 115 with first-timers; sire took debut at 2, won several stakes, earned nearly $600K; 3 for 12 dam earned over $80K; 2 of 3 sibs won including SW, 5 for 24 racer and over $550K earner Sugarinthemorning; |
| Steel Lady |
| Iron Cat about 19% with debuters in a 109-horse sample; sire; Iron Cat himself graduated in third start at 2, passed the N2X level; dam was unraced; this is her first to race; |
| Fast Magoo |
| Even the Score about 10% with debuters in a 231-horse sample; sire won 9 times, took a G2, banked over $750K; stakes winning 9 for 19 dam banked over $160K; 1 of 3 siblings won and that one only cashed once; |
| Dutch Chocolate |
| Been given time since the live debut; 6th finisher in opener beat $50K maiden claimers next out and the place horse won in this league by over 9 lengths; SP 4 for 15 dam banked nearly $200K; a couple of siblings won but neither was special; - Brian Mulligan |
Race 7
| Brother Pete |
| A couple of his better races have been run when he's fresh, so the layoff might not be of much concern, but still feel that this is a tough group fo rhm to be meeting up with while trying to secure his second career win. |
| Van Fraassen |
| Son of top turf influence Giant's Causeway has run a couple of his better races in his two most recent starts, but he's going to need to be ready to take his game to another level to challenge the top contenders in this one. |
| Heat Flash |
| He needs to be careful to avoid falling too far out of it through the opening stages, but like to see the way that his game has improved in 2014, and not going to be surprised if he's moving in on the leaders through the lane. |
| Snaps |
| This gelding has a bit of quality to his pedigree and his form has steadily improved from day one; however, he finds himself in against a tough group of 40k OPC's and he might have a tough time trying to catch an early breather. |
| Monument |
| Stakes winner boasts the best last race Beyer Speed Figure in here but he was claimed away from the Sadler barn from his latest start and he might be more comfortable sprinting than routing. |
| Press Baron (GB) |
| He's G2 stakes placed racing over turf and and his career best Beyer Speed Figure was earned in a winning performance over this turf course; runner up from latest won next out at Mth on 7/6 going 1 1/16m over turf vs. 30k OPC's with an 88 Beyer. |
| Poshsky |
| He's tough to ignore in this spot when seeing the improvement in his form since moving into this barn, and he owns enough positional speed to fall into a good spot soon after the start; obvious contender. |
| Tropical Heat |
| He has just one win in his last 21 starts going back through 2013 and his recent form hasn't been fast enough to suggest that he can keep up with the top contenders in this one; he has the look of an outsider. |
| Valley Cat |
| He appears to be going better than ever at the age of seven, and even though his recent starts have been over dirt, he's done some nice work over turf in his career; Bejarano has won with 24 of 83 (29%) mounts for this outfit in 2014. |
| Greeley Awesome |
| He very nearly won a stakes over this turf course in 2013, and even though post ten can be a problem at this trip, he can't be ignored in this spot; note the success that Desormeaux has had riding for this barn from limited starters this year. - Brian Pochman |
Race 8
| Backstreet Lisa |
| Filly sold in November '12 for $70K, August '13 for $100K and March '14 for $155K; City Zip has proven to be a fantastic sire (36 for 166 with juvenile sprinters on synthetic); dam Moneigh Lisa was a stakes winner routing on dirt who went 4 for 19 lifetime; this is her first foal; trainer Peter Miller is 21 for 78 ($3.46 ROI) over the past five years with fillies making their first career starts. |
| Majestic Presence |
| Daughter of Mejestic Warrior sold for $100K in September of 2013; sire only hits at 6% (3 of 50) over the past five years with 2-year-olds on synthetic; dam was a subpar 2 for 23 lifetime, and while her offspring have accumulated a decent amount of wins none of them have run really fast (top Beyer of 73); can never sell Hollendorfer too short in baby races. |
| Conquest Archangel |
| $350K purchase in April was sired by 2010 BCClassic winner Blame; heavily bet in her debut at Churchill last month, and she didn't run poorly; horse that defeated her in debut returned Friday in Schuylerville at Saratoga, so take a look back and see how Take Charge Brandi fared at The Spa to gauge effort. |
| Partyin |
| Filly sold for $35K in September of 2013; sire Henny Hughes has been strong over the past five years with juveniles (94 of 507); dam went 3 for 11 lifetime, earning $103K in the process; trainer Bonde is 3 for 20 over the past five years with 2-year-old first time starters that are fillies on synthetic. |
| Sheza Lucky Strike |
| Sire Lookin At Lucky has gotten off to a hot start as a stallion and it doesn't hurt that he won a G1 here at Del Mar in '09; the dam was 1 for 9 on the track in her career, but that one victory did come on synthetic; this filly is the dam's first foal; trainer Molly Pearson is 1 for 6 over the past five years with 2YO first time starters at Del Mar. |
| Finest City |
| Nice to see this daughter of City Zip get a workout over the polytrack here last week; see Backstreet Lisa for sire information; dam Be Envied won 3 of 17 lifetime, with one of those being over a synthetic surface; trainer Kruljac's numbers with 2-year-olds over the past two years aren't very strong (3 for 42). |
| Lanie Britt |
| Filly sold for $160K in September of 2013; debuting in a stakes race is never easy, and although this daughter of Hard Spun was well beaten on paper, the race she ran was actually pretty encouraging; sire is only 6 for 61 with juvenile synthetic sprinters over the past five years; dam was 0 for 1 in her career and this filly is her first foal. |
| Luminance |
| Daughter of Tale of the Cat commanded a hefty price tag last September ($320K); Baffert first time starters are generally ready to give a good account of themselves at first asking (20 for 72 over the past year with first time starters); the dam was a weak 0 for 10 lifetime and this is her first foal; sire has done well with juveniles over the past five years (109 for 633); like to see that her last drill from the gate came over the polytrack. |
| Mucho Blessings |
| Sire Mucho Blessings has done very well with 2-year-old first time starters over the past five years (16 for 76); dam banked $115K in her career, but she was by no means a superstar and her only other foal to date has gone 0 for 5; Peter Eurton is 0 for 27 over the past two years with fillies that are first time starters; tread lightly. |
| Megyns Gold |
| Sire Zensational has hit at a 22% (5 for 23) win rate over the past five years with juveniles on synthetic; the dam was unraced and her only other foal to date has gone unraced, which makes the $160K sale price in March even more intriguing; trainer Cody Autrey knows how to have babies ready to go out of the box (3 for 9 over the past three years with an ROI of $7.31); interesting to say the least. - Matt Bernier |
Race 9
| Shakeitupbetty |
| Reunites with the win rider who yields 27% winners for the trainer since 2013; toss latest a grass-stakes debut where overmatched; she rallied sharply after a slow gate break in her career debut the only other time racing on an all-weather strip; saves ground then makes one-strong run; view as an exotics possibility. |
| Dancinginthestreet |
| Fresh winner on dirt with 50 days idle to face winners for the 1st time; the main knock is that she's already lost to several of these when trying to graduate at SA; her only other synthetic-surface start was a debut loss vs. Georgia; win-rider Talamo ends up on D'ya Knowwhatimean for this. |
| Georgia |
| Just 3 races so still has some upside but obviously latest was a huge disappointment bet down to even money then beating one home; raced well in her debut on today's DMR synthetic; her best race was going long on dirt 2 back defeating the runner-up finisher who Beyered 78 in a next-out SA-MSW win. |
| Courageous Call |
| Worked a bullet on BHP synthetic in 2013 so plenty of upside that she will like today's all-weather oval; win rider sides with Mum's Truckee for this after posting her 2nd-lowest Beyer ever in last a race she needed off a 55-day break. |
| Satirical |
| Declining-career Beyer pattern after winning her career debut; she has been overmatched vs. stakes rivals and is better spotted for this; mild workout 1 year ago on DMR synthetic represents her lone race or work on an all-weather oval. |
| Twelve Folds |
| Is the one to catch; returns to DMR synthetic where she's shown little in 2 prior starts here; was claimed off a gate-to-wire score on dirt which looks better since the runner-up finisher Beyered 82 in a next-out SA-OPC win; the 2-back show finisher Beyered 82 in a next-out SA-$22,500-claiming win; her field-best speed figure was produced January, 2012, when graduating in an SA-MSW event at 5.5F on dirt. |
| Big Break |
| Not much since claimed off the debut win at shorter; today marks her 1st time racing on a synthetic surface; did not show much in the mornings when working out on BHP synthetic to begin 2014; has 51 days since latest where nowhere on dirt chasing the winner who repeated in an SA-97 stakes with an 87 Beyer. |
| Mum's Truckee |
| Attracts a new rider who seemingly had other options; rider from last sides with Satirical; have mixed reviews from her worktab but the trainer is superb 22% winners with long-layoff starters since 2013; the runner-up finisher from last Beyered 73 in a next-out BHP-OPC win. |
| Provenance |
| Posted a new Beyer Top racing 1st time for the trainer/same owner; owns up and down-career form but when she's on the top of her game like last watch out; heading back to a synthetic surface does not help the cause noting the end of her 2-year-old season was a fade; the 2-back show finisher Beyered 83 in a next-out OPC win; she beat the 3-back show runner who graduated next out with an 76 then took a GG-OPC with another 76 Beyer. |
| Senza Fina |
| Toss the turf races on her form and it is rock solid; lone synthetic-surface start was the maiden breaker where defeating the show finisher who Beyered 64 in a next-out SA-30K-maiden-claiming win; dangerous because she can be effective racing close to the lead or rallying from 7th like last; contender. |
| Sweet Profit |
| Saw her rate nicely from just off the speed in a professional-looking unveiling where ridden out suggesting she could have raced quicker or won by more if not geared down late; tons of upside off the SA-dirt career debut win which is a best-last-race Beyer speed figure; that victory looks better since the show finisher Beyered 61 in her next-out SA-MSW win; the change from dirt to a synthetic surface is the lone concern on the pick. |
| D'ya Knowwhatimean |
| Reunites with the 2-back near-miss rider and the jockey of his career-best Beyer; Talamo seemingly had other options so a good sign that he's here; debut win was an eye-cathcing score on a synthetic surface and finally gets back on all-weather oval for this; the one to beat. |
| Band of Amber |
| Debut winner when expected to score bet down to 6-5 odds 1st-time out; the race looks better since the runner-up finisher Beyered 67 in a next-out OTP-MSW win; would feel more confident if the debut-win rider showed back up here to pilot. - Art Gropper |
Race 10
Spot Play
REDRESSTHEBALANCE (#9, 3-1) came into her own at SA this spring with a big win at this level May 16, then a solid 3rd (behind 2 stakes gals) there June 5. That was enough to earn a shot at the Grade 2 Royal Heroine. OK, so those waters proved too deep but today she returns to a much better level (her claimed level) and a smart 4f work July 11 (:48.60) indicates there are no ill effects from being overmatched last time. -Michael Hammersly
| Elegant |
| Not sure about the step up in class for him today, but he's gotten the job done in three of his last five starts, and he should sit a comfortable ground saving trip after breaking out of post one. |
| Smooth Talker |
| He looked like he was heading in the right direction after a sharp maiden score last July, but he's kind of struggled in his six attempts against winners since that time; however, he is dropping in class and this is a barn and rider that team up with success. |
| Noise of the Crowd |
| The 84 Beyer Speed Figure he earned for his latest effort represents the best last race figure in this field and he's shown enough in his starts at today's distance to suggest that he can handle the stretchout; Smith has won with 4 of 10 mounts for this barn in 2014. |
| Warren's Gussie |
| His sharpest performance to date was his one start over turf and he's out of a G3 stakes placed dam who won 3 of 11 turf starts for 140k; however, this has to be considered a tough spot for his first start since April of last year. |
| Prettypriceygirl |
| She's been a pretty consistent performer racing over turf but feel that it's fair to question if her best effort is strong enough to get over on the top contenders in this spot; leaning toward others. |
| Always a Chance |
| She might actually appreciate stretching back out in distance for this, but she must improve over her recent form in order to have a say in the outcome; not counting her out if it, but others entice more. |
| Boller Bomb |
| If she can reproduce the type of performance that she showed up with in her first start of 2014, she can prove to be a serious player in this spot, and perhaps the rider switch to Talamo is a positive indicator. |
| Lady's Plan |
| She appears to be well meant while getting a rider switch to Bejarano for this, and with the probablility of a fast and contested early pace, her ability to run her race from off the pace is a plus. |
| Redressthebalance (IRE) |
| Like to see this minor stakes winner being returned to the level of her most recent claim, and just going to draw a line through that G2 attempt in her latest outing; she's clearly a good fit at this level of competition. |
| Plaza de Indias (CHI) |
| Feel that she's another interesting option to consider in here while removing blinkers, but don't care to see that she hasn't recorded a victory in her last 11 starts going back through 2013. |
| Silver Hustler |
| If she can rediscover some of the better form she showed in 2013, she can prove to be a threat in this spot, but her recent form just hasn't been that sharp; third-place finisher from latest won next out at Lrc on 7/13 going 1m vs. 40k OPC's with a 75 Beyer. - Brian Pochman |
Race 11
| Burning |
| Out to make amends as he exits a race that earned him his top Beyer; he goes from outside to the inside; he has a shot to grow into his skin as kin to Grade 2 place 2 for 12 $145K earner Treasury Bill; colt looks well intentioned. |
| Kaepernick |
| Forty Niner fans have a vehicle here but this racer has yet to run in the money; connections would love to see him mature like top kin Starship Truffles, who took a Grade 1 and banked nearly $450K; look for him late if at all. |
| Secret Command |
| The old Dad to son handoff as gelding had an educational debut; dam was unraced; 3 of 4 siblings won; top earner Inner Groove took 8 of 42, banked over $220K; in for $55K less than purchase price; respect. |
| Juliet's Tizzy |
| Gelding clearly does better for a tag; he was nearly 6 clear in last and the 5/8 show horse took a maiden $30K seller, then lost next pair; both siblings did win including an over $150K earner; should be around the wire again. |
| Mahalo Arturo |
| He's trained steadily for this and considering the drop, if he can run at all, the figures to show it here; dam was 0 for 11; this is her first to race; best of 16 bullet in the holster; interesting. |
| Bamuel Toi |
| Finally got a slice and the winner was clear; the hotter the pace the better for this runner; needs very best. |
| Lucky Jack |
| Homebred shows in career cheap spot; note 2/2 race came back live and the show horse in last graduated next out in a maiden $30K seller, lost next pair; backers can point to fact key sibling took a stakes, won over $150K; fresh and dangerous. |
| Tribal Mystery Man |
| Three solid drills since being claimed; maybe he hated the rail in the debut; place horse in opener graduated next out at this level at Los Al with a 61 Beyer; dam out of the money 3 times; all 4 siblings won; top earner Blazen All Star took 3 of 15, earned nearly $70K; respect everything from this barn. |
| Play Maker |
| At least racer has the 2 races to draw from now; there are several winners in the tree, but none were special; gelding is starting to figure it out. |
| Gilmar |
| Drops some floors but he only cost $7,700; dam lost only start; all 6 siblings won; top earner Queen Of the Catsle took several stakes including a G3, banked over $400K; has to find a way to maintain contact early on. |
| Broadcaster (IRE) |
| Richard Laird was named as owner for the last race; runner went :21 and change in the stateside debut but has not been able to duplicate that zip; family on weak side as the lone sibling to win was just one for 14; like fact he blewout over the surface; upset special. - Brian Mulligan |

