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Fair Grounds

Cox has two in six-horse allowance feature

Marcus Hersh|Jan 25, 2019
video is not availableRACE REPLAY IS NOT AVAILABLE

A rare Monday program at Fair Grounds (which exists because there’s no racing Super Bowl Sunday) features a six-horse field of 3-year-old fillies going six furlongs in the seventh race.

The feature, also open to $50,000 claimers, has Break Even as an 8-5 morning-line favorite, and perhaps a drop of value can be extracted by beating her.

Break Even sharply won her career debut, which is all well and good, but that easy victory Jan. 1 came in an off-turf 5 1/2-furlong maiden race in which Break Even went to the front and never was threatened, coming home five lengths the best.

Maybe Break Even, a Klein Racing homebred trained by Brad Cox, is a truly talented filly, but under the circumstances –she will be running on a dry track, facing winners, running a longer distance, and facing other speed –she could be worth opposing at a short price.

Cox has a second entrant, Carry the One, who makes her first start for the stable and first since a front-running $75,000 maiden-claiming win in October at Keeneland. She has speed, but perhaps not as much as rail-drawn Lunar Orbit, who’d hold some appeal at anything close to her 5-1 morning-line price.

Lunar Orbit led and faded to fourth in her debut, but trainer Dallas Stewart doesn’t typically push horses for their first start, and Lunar Orbit was part of a productive maiden race there. She came right back with a good-looking front-running Churchill maiden win over 6 1/2 furlongs and might not have been at her best racing in the slop when last seen in late November.

Furiously Fast is the filly to capitalize on a three-pronged pace battle, but the question with her concerns track surface. From the Mark Casse barn, Furiously Fast turned in two creditable performances late last year, but both came over Woodbine’s Tapeta track.

Savvy Ally is the only horse in the race in for the tag.

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