BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, September 6 by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore
With the 3-year-olds now gone, we can concentrate on the 2014 sales and it was a serious week for BreezeFigs maidens. Though our Saratoga Pick, Frammento, didn’t quite get there (tab him back at a mile or longer), Cruisingtheharbor blew the doors off with her 27+ foot stride length to pay $12 in her debut at Del Mar. She was one of two dozen BreezeFigs 2-year-olds to break their maidens last week, including: two more at Del Mar, two at Arlington, three at Gulfstream, one each at Canterbury, Delaware, Ellis, Indiana, Monmouth, Penn National, Parx and Thistledown….and, oh, yes, eight (8!) at Saratoga! Wow. Tons of stakes on today’s card, but we found two maiden races to sniff around, see below. Good luck!
Remember to pay attention to two changes we’ve made over the past several years. First, there have been changes in the CLASS EDGE category (at the bottom of the BreezeFigs card) because one sale was eliminated (OBSFEB) and FTFFEB is now in March (FTFMAR), and that moved OBSMAR into a higher class. Also, in the SALE & HIP column: the “HIP” refers to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.
The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://static.drf.com/PDFs/breezefigs/BreezeFigs2009Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.
Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.
If you click here http://static.drf.com/PDFs/breezefigs/StrideLengthStudy-1.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.
Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.
Here’s Saturday’s Pix:
Churchill Downs, 2nd Race, Maiden Special Weight, One Mile (Dirt)
Two in here, one yes, one not so much. Husker Clipper displayed a 25.30 foot stride length at OBSAPR, 1.6 feet longer than colts that day at one eighth, on his way to a two-over-Par Group 2 rating. He’s not the world’s most graceful mover, but he has the stuff to get up in time at this distance. Hero of Humor, on the other hand, was a five-under-Par Group 3 number at OBSJUN with a 22.44 foot SL—1.41 feet shorter than average that day for colts at a quarter mile. Husker Clipper could be a play in a number of ways, watch the board.
Parx, 5th Race, Maiden Special Weight (Pa-Breds), 5 Furlongs (Dirt)
Let’s find out if Think Big is properly named. He comes into this state-bred affair off of a six-over-Par Group 1 profile at EASMAY where his 24.40 stride length was almost a foot longer than average for colts that day at one-eighth. He’s in the right barn and looks to be at the right price. Pounce. Good luck.