BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, September 15, 2018, by Bob Fierro & Jay Kilgore

Apologies for a lack of a column last week—technical difficulties ran into a tight flight schedule for travel to Keeneland September. But if you followed the cards during the week and bet accordingly, you should have done OK. That’s because 20 BreezeFigs maidens won all over the place, with five kicking off BreezeFigs exactas. The wins came at Belmont (three), Belterra, Emerald Downs, Finger Lakes, Gulfstream (three), Kentucky Downs (three, including two BreezeFigs exactas), Los Alamitos (two, both BreezeFigs exactas), Monmouth, Parx (two, including a BreezeFigs exacta), Penn and Woodbine (two). There’s a whole lot of first-timers on Saturday's card, but we found a sneaky play that might be worth pursuing, see below. Good luck!

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreezeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.

Here’s Saturday’s Pick:

Churchill Downs, 4^th Race, Maiden Special Weight, One Mile (Dirt)

The lone BreezeFigs entrant here, Better Charge It, might be a sneaky play because his performances at the sales this year indicated he wants to go a mile or more. He stunk out the joint at FTFMAR with a four-under-Par Group 4 effort that featured a 23.87 foot stride length (SL), almost three quarters of a foot below average for colts that day at a furlong. He failed to sell (RNA) at 145k and was sent back at EASMAY where he was a different horse, racking up a three-over-Par Group 1 effort with a 24.53 foot SL, about equal to the average that day. The fact that he sold for only 65k indicates it was time for the owner to move on. This colt needs to settle and then roll along, and if he is within striking distance at the quarter pole, he should be able to get into a gimmick at a nice price—and might even win. Good luck!