BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday, October 8th, 2016, by Bob Fierro & Jay Kilgore
The colt with the filly name we liked last week, Comma Sister, did part of his job by completing a paltry $14 (for one buck) trifecta, while the other two finished up the track. The very good news is that there were 25 BreezeFigs maidens that won last week, plus three BreezeFigs horses that won stakes who were right there on the cards. The wins came at Belmont (four, plus a stakes winner), Belterra, Churchill (three, including a BreezeFigs exacta), Gulfstream (three, including a $134 bomb plus a BreezeFigs exacta in a stake), Indiana (two), Laurel, Meadowlands (two), Parx (a BreezeFigs exacta), Presque Isle (two, including a BreezeFigs excata), Thistledown (a BreezeFigs exacta), Santa Anita (three, including two BreezeFigs exactas plus a stake), and Woodbine. Saturday's card is all over the place and some may be threatened by weather, but we’ve found a potentially pleasant one, see below. Good luck!
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreezeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.
Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Belmont Park, 3rd Race, Maiden Special Weightt, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)
Son of a Saint comes into his debut having shown well in two breeze shows this year. First time he was RNA’d (not sold) for $180k after he posted a three-over-Par Group 1 profile at FTFMAR where his 24.85 foot stride length (SL) was more than three-quarters-of-a-foot longer than average for colts that day at a furlong. He came back at EASMAY with a three-over-Par Group 2 profile which featured a 25.35 foot SL, which was almost a foot-and-a-quarter longer than average for colts that day, also at one eighth. Both of those breezes were on dirt, which is what he gets here. Dupree has had problems at the start in both his races, but he will be a threat (and probably favored) if he can frank the form of his two-over-Par Group 2 effort at OBSMAR where his 24.70 foot SL was about a third-of-a-foot longer than average for colts that day at a quarter mile. Cause of the Royal ran poorly in his debut, and his Group 4 profile at OBSAPR, though just one-under-Par, featured a 23.53 foot SL, about a third-of-a-foot shorter than average that day for colts at a furlong—and he was RNA’d for only 14k. We think both Son of a Saint and Dupree can give us a BreezeFigs exacta here, so you may want to box and key them. Good luck!