BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, October 6, 2018 by Bob Fierro & Jay Kilgore
Let us not discuss how embarrassing last week’s Pick was. Instead, we will concentrate on the 17 BreezeFigs juveniles who broke their maidens during the week, several of them kicking off nice gimmicks. These winners came at Belmont (three, including two BreezeFigs trifectas), Churchill (a BreezeFigs trifecta), Finger Lakes, Gulfstream (four, including a BreezeFigs exacta), Indiana (two, including a BreezeFigs exacta), Parx (two), Penn (three) and Santa Anita. Saturday's card is all over the place, especially with firsters who might make an impact on gimmicks. We found a sneaky one, see below. Good luck!
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreezeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.
Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Santa Anita, 3rd Race, Maiden Claiming ($75,000), 6 Furlongs (Dirt)
Two first-time BreezeFigs maidens and one who disappointed in his only start make for some interesting possibilities in a short field. Lagoon Macaroon and Manhattan Up come out of OBSAPR with somewhat similar profiles but different morning lines. Lagoon Macaroon posted a four-over-Par Group 1 profile with a 25.23 foot stride length (SL), just over a foot longer than average for colts that day at a furlong; he’s at 15-to-1 in the morning line. The day before Manhattan Up posted a two-under-Par Group 3 ticket with a 25.48 foot SL, which was almost a foot and a quarter longer than average; he’s at 5-to-1 in the morning line. Listed at 4-to-1 is Haydens Havoc, who disappointed in his debut despite having gone into it with a three-over-Par Group 1 performance at OBSMAR where his 25.09 foot SL was a half-foot longer than average that day. But he was not sold (RNA) for 165k and is being dropped here so there may be an issue. None of these three is poetry in motion, but each of them has a chance to knock off the field, and all of them look like good gimmick plays. Problem is which one do you pick in a six horse field as your key? Try Lagoon Macaroon, but watch the board. Good luck!