BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, October 4th by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore

Nostra culpa, we made a mistake in last week’s Pick by referring to Devine Aida as Devine Diva, but even though she did not win, she completed a $22.20 BreezeFigs exacta with Odachi, while another BreezeFigs filly, Look into My Eyes, filled out a $60.60 trifecta. This was one of six BreezeFigs gimmicks during the week, three exactas and three trifectas (which, of course, included three exactas, so we could say nine gimmicks). There were nine other BreezeFigs horses on the cards this week who broke their maidens without kicking off gimmicks, plus BreezeFigs stakes winners at Belmont, Emerald Downs, Indiana and Remington. In addition to the one at Gulfstream above, here is the round-up chronologically:

At Belmont on Friday the 26th, Unbridled Sonya and Lismore ran up an $81 exacta..

Same day at Gulfstream, Who’s That Chick and Miss Margaret combined for a $110.80 exacta.

Saturday at Monmouth, Honest and Total Joint returned a modest $11 exacta.

Tuesday at Parx, El Guero Guantero and Tasunke Wilco generated a $15.60 exacta and Mine the Store finished off a $39.20 trifecta.

Wednesday at Remington saw Farnell beat out Gasupthejet for a $67 exacta with Super Stroke getting up to complete a $408 trifecta.

In addition, there were non-gimmick BreezeFigs maiden winners at Delaware (2), Gulfstream (2), Indiana, Parx, Penn National, Remington and Woodbine. BreezeFigs horses obviously figure strongly in 2-year-old maiden races across the country. Today’s card is somewhat overwhelming but we’ve been waiting for a horse to make his first start and we found him, see below. Good luck!

Remember to pay attention to two changes we’ve made over the past several years. First, there have been changes in the CLASS EDGE category (at the bottom of the BreezeFigs card) because one sale was eliminated (OBSFEB) and FTFFEB is now in March (FTFMAR), and that moved OBSMAR into a higher class. Also, in the SALE & HIP column: the “HIP” refers to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://static.drf.com/PDFs/breezefigs/BreezeFigs2009Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here http://static.drf.com/PDFs/breezefigs/StrideLengthStudy-1.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.
Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.

Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Keeneland, 4th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 1 1/16 Miles (Dirt)
Back to the dirt at Keeneland, and you will see some really nice BreezeFigs horses on the card but none more interesting, perhaps, than Don’t Hold Me Back. This is a huge colt who posted a three-over-Par Group 1 profile at OBSAPR with a 25.38 foot stride length, more than a foot and three quarters longer than average for colts that day at a furlong. He is a natural two-turn horse and if he can settle into stride he might grind the rest of them into the ground. We picked Frammento when he made his debut at Saratoga and commented the next week that he would need more ground, and he gets it here. This colt posted a one-over-Par Group 2 profile at FTFMAR with a 24.13 foot SL, a bit longer than average for colts that day at a furlong. That was on the dirt. He might upset here but we like the big horse better. Good luck!