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BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, October 25th by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore

webmaster|Oct 24, 2014

Last week’s Pick looked pretty good for a while there as Lady Shipman roared to the lead but was pressed too hard by our second choice, Member, so both tired, Lady Shipman to complete a fairly generous $96 trifecta (considering she was 6-to-5), while Member faded off the board. But the good news was that four BreezeFigs maidens won on that card, including back-to-back BreezeFigs exactas at Santa Anita. Overall, 23 BreezeFigs maidens won last week across the country with 10 of them hooking up with another BreezeFigs horse in the exacta. These results occurred at: Belmont (two wins, both exactas, $13.40, $35.20); Delta Downs ($16.90 dollar exacta); Finger Lakes and Golden Gate (one each); Gulfstream West (five wins, two exactas on the same day at $15 and $12.20); Indiana (one); Keeneland (three wins, including a $19.20 exacta); Penn National (one) and Remington (one, a $55.60 exacta). Santa Anita (five wins, including three dollar exactas at $34.30, $99.20, and $49); and Thistledown and Woodbine, one each. This week’s card is bursting at the seams with opportunities, including the one below. Good luck!

Remember to pay attention to two changes we’ve made over the past several years. First, there have been changes in the CLASS EDGE category (at the bottom of the BreezeFigs card) because one sale was eliminated (OBSFEB) and FTFFEB is now in March (FTFMAR), and that moved OBSMAR into a higher class. Also, in the SALE & HIP column: the “HIP” refers to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://static.drf.com/PDFs/breezefigs/BreezeFigs2009Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here http://static.drf.com/PDFs/breezefigs/StrideLengthStudy-1.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.

Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Belmont Park, 2nd Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Turf)
There are nine (count’em, nine) BreezeFigs fillies entered in this one which may or may not stay on the weeds. You can check the ones that already started (some of which we’ve touted in their debuts) on our card with Nellinger, Greywalls and Chickaletta all Group 1 that have disappointed so far, and Consumer Credit and Lismore (on the AE), both Group 2 with more promising PPs. But we are interested in the four first-timers, one of which, More Than Rainbows, scores lowest as a six-under-Par Group 4 at OBSAPR where she had a 21.71 foot stride length, a foot and three quarters shorter than average that day for fillies at an eighth. At the same distance are three Group 2 fillies: Resilient was three-over-Par at the same sale, with a 23.55 SL that was a half-foot longer than average; Gigi’s Kitten was one-over-Par at OBSJUN with a 23.95 foot SL that was almost a foot longer than average; and Silent Ronin was even-Par at OBSMAR, her profile showing a 23.55 foot SL, just a bit longer than average. Any of these three can pop up and win but we would key them in gimmick when the surface, scratches, and sneaky mutual moves sort themselves out, with the strongest nod to Resilient. Good luck!

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