BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, October 22, 2016 by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore
Last week’s Pick (and several other races during the week) demonstrates how important BreezeFigs runners can be in maiden race—even if the Pick of this column doesn’t win. We liked first-timer Takeoff very much but he ran like a one-paced horse to eventually get up for third, while Rockshaw, another BreezeFigs horse with a much shorter stride, but racing experience and a good speed, held on to win. The horse in the middle of that trifecta was not a BreezeFigs horse but he was a huge longshot and if you’d boxed our Pix with him your trifecta was worth over $6,600. Of course, not many bettors did that, but we can dream, eh? In the meanwhile, eleven other BreezeFigs maidens won, kicking off some good gimmicks across the land: Belmont (two, including a trifecta), Delaware, Gulfstream West (four, including a superfecta), Keeneland (two more including an exacta), Laurel and Santa Anita (a trifecta). Saturday's card has some interesting plays, but we have decided to return to the scene of last week’s crime to see if we can make up for it, see below. Good luck!
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreezeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.
Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Keeneland, 5th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 7 Furlongs (Dirt)
She’sagraciouslady comes out of the much less tony OBSJUN sale than the other two BreezeFigs fillies in here, but what she showed there was good enough for us to like her—especially at the price. She posted a two-over-Par Group 1 performance at that sale with a 24.40 foot stride length (SL), more than three-quarters of a foot longer than average that day for fillies at a quarter mile. The other firster, Miss Spot On, posted a five-under-Par Group 4 ticket at FTFMAR with a 22.40 foot SL, more than a foot and a half shorter than average for fillies that day at one furlong. Sorry, not here. Fairybrook showed some life in her second start but she still has to improve, especially since her three-under-Par Group 4 performance at OBSMAR with a 23.58 foot SL (a third of a foot shorter than average) failed to get her sold (RNA) at 42k. She’sagraciouslady looks like she is worth a gimmick shot at the minimum. After that, over to you. Good luck!