BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, October 11th by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore

Even though our top Pick last week, Don’t Hold Me Back, seemed to be out for a first-start education, our second choice, Frammento, did what we expected he might do around two turns—win, and he paid a nice $7.60. But later on that same card at Keeneland came another BreezeFigs maiden winner, Entrantress, teamed up with Zeven for a $19.80 BreezeFigs exacta—one of seven across the country last week among the 23 BreezeFigs horses that broke their maidens. You’ve got to pay attention to this pattern—it is stronger than we have seen over number of years we’ve been posting BreezeFigs, and once again the joy was spread around, chronologically:“holy>

At Santa Anita, Friday the 3rd, Sebastian’s Heart combined with Congrats Seattle for a $66.60 payoff for a dollar..

Next day, in addition to the Keeneland race mentioned above, Miss Always Ready and Consumer Credit combined for a $43.80 exacta at Belmont, while at Delaware, Sing Lady Sing beat Maximus Marcus to the wire for a $68.30 payoff for a dollar. Same day at Gulfstream, big balloons when Charlie’s Brother beat Golden Actor for a $1,001.20 payoff.

On Thursday at Delaware To the Victor and Midnight Party returned $12.10 for a buck, and at Calder (now known as Gulfstream West), Flaming Hot Salsa and Starship Explorer hit if for $102.40.

In addition, there were non-gimmick BreezeFigs maiden winners at Belmont (4), Calder (2), Charles Town, Gulfstream (2), Laurel, Keeneland (2), Santa Anita (2) and Woodbine (2), plus stakes winners at Belmont and Keeeneland. Interesting card today with a possible goodie, see below. Good luck!

Remember to pay attention to two changes we’ve made over the past several years. First, there have been changes in the CLASS EDGE category (at the bottom of the BreezeFigs card) because one sale was eliminated (OBSFEB) and FTFFEB is now in March (FTFMAR), and that moved OBSMAR into a higher class. Also, in the SALE & HIP column: the “HIP” refers to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://static.drf.com/PDFs/breezefigs/BreezeFigs2009Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here http://static.drf.com/PDFs/breezefigs/StrideLengthStudy-1.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com

Here’s Saturday’s Pick:

Belmont Park, 6th Race, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)

Three BreezeFigs first-timers here, all with interesting profiles and chances to upset. Blackwater Charly was scratched out of the FTFMAR sale after posting a very weak six-under-Par Group 4 profile at a quarter mine, with a 23.32 foot stride length that was 1.22 feet shorter than average for colts that day at the distance. He obviously has a problem because he came back as OBSJUN and posted a six-over-Par Group 1 profile with a 24.03 foot SL, which was .63 feet longer than average for colts that day at one eighth—and he was sold for only $50k, which is a drop in the bucket vs. his sire’s average. Wanna punt? On the other hand, Saratoga Wildcat posted a nice four-over-Par Group 2 profile at one eighth at OBSMAR where his 25 foot SL was 1.43 feet longer than average that day. Unlock the Glory didn’t do poorly at OBSAPR where he clocked a one-under-Par Group 3 profile but his 22.80 foot SL was .82 feet shorter than average for colts that day at an eighth. We’ll look for Saratoga Wildcat to be the key here in a race that looks to be very competitive all around, and you may want to mix and match Blackwater Charly. Good luck!