BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, November 29th by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore
Well, it turned out to be a BreezeFigs exacta, just not with our key horse, Desimizar, who did finish fourth to complete a $209 (for a buck) superfecta. Just showed that Lastingfriendships ($17.60 to win) could use her experience to prevail over a game first-timer in Mom’z Laugh whom we pointed out had a good profile and who completed the $98 exacta. Over all, it was another outstanding week for BreezeFigs maidens with 22 of them winning across the country, and one previous winner, Ocho Ocho Ocho scoring in the Delta Downs Jackpot. The maiden winners came at Aqueduct (3, one exacta), Churchill (3), Charles Town, Del Mar (3, one exacta), Fair Grounds (2), Finger Lakes, Golden Gate, Gulfstream West (5, that one exacta), Penn National, and Parx (2, one exacta). Today’s card has 100 individual horses running in maiden, allowance and stakes races across the country. We have found an interesting first-timer to consider in our Pick, see below. Good luck!
Remember to pay attention to two changes we’ve made over the past several years. First, there have been changes in the CLASS EDGE category (at the bottom of the BreezeFigs card) because one sale was eliminated (OBSFEB) and FTFFEB is now in March (FTFMAR), and that moved OBSMAR into a higher class. Also, in the SALE & HIP column: the “HIP” refers to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.
The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://static.drf.com/PDFs/breezefigs/BreezeFigs2009Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.
Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.
If you click here http://static.drf.com/PDFs/breezefigs/StrideLengthStudy-1.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.
Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.
Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Penn National, 7th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 5 ½ Furlongs (Dirt)
Most of the outstanding BreezeFigs numbers on today’s card were put up by horses that have already started, and since our Pick is designed to spot first-timers at decent odds, one stood out like a beacon but not at a major track. Not that Penn National is a bullring any more. There are good opportunities her and today we see Quality Investment, a well-bred 10-over-Par Group 1 colt out of OBSJUN who posted a serious 25.48 foot stride length in his breeze, 2.20 feet longer than the average that day for colts at one eighth, He is listed as a generous 6-to-1 in the morning line while his main BreezeFigs rival, Callmethewildman, is at 5-to-1. The latter was an RNA (not sold) at EASMAY for 75k after a one-under-Par, Group 3 performance that featured a 23..62 foot SL, just about an eighth of a foot longer than average that day. He was not impressive in his first start, and neither has been Rocket Rumors in his two starts, which were pretty much reflections of his two fairly poor BreezeFigs profiles at OBSMAR and OBSJUN where was RNA’d for 95k and 47k, respectively. You might want to key Quality Investment here all the way. Good luck!

