BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, November 21st by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore
Before we go any further, may we wish all of you a gobbling good time on Thanksgiving. As we indicated in our Pick last week, we weren’t all that enthusiastic about either filly and they ran as we expected, but didn’t hit the board. However, on that same BreezeFigs card there were two maiden winners and two stakes winners who kicked off BreezeFigs exactas, and one of those was also a BreezeFigs trifecta. The exactas came at Aqueduct ($15), Del Mar ($7.50 in the stake), Gulfstream West ($226) and Laurel ($65 exacta, $123 trifecta in the stake). In addition, there was another BreezeFigs double gimmick hit the day before at Churchill ($145 exacta, $462 trifecta). Solo BreezeFigs maiden winners came at Aqueduct (three), Gulfstream and Zia. Today’s card is loaded with first-timers, and we have picked out a particularly nasty race for today’s Pick, see below. Good luck!
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreezeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.
Here’s Saturday’s Pick: Aqueduct, 9th Race, Maiden Special Weight (New York-Breds), 7 Furlongs (Dirt)
Four BreezeFigs maidens in this race, two of them first-timers, both of whom have a shot to win, and the other two not all that bad. Just Afleet posted a seven-over-Par Group 1 profile at EASMAY with 24.18 foot stride length (SL), a quarter foot longer than average for colts that day at a furlong. Later that day, Danebury posted a five-over-Par Group 2 profile with a 25.96 foot SL, two feet longer than average. However, he was not sold (RNA) on a final bid of 95k, which is just part of the story. He was also in the FTFMAR sale where he posed a one-under-Par Group 3 profile, that time with a 25.90 foot SL, again almost two feet longer than average—and he was RNA’d there for 270k. This one has some strange sales history to take into consideration. Zoo Yorker comes out of EASMAY with a seven-over-Par Group 1 profile but on a different day than the above two, when his 24.64 foot SL was .84 feet longer than average. He showed speed in his debut but stopped on a dime. In that race, New York Song finished second, one of his three starts to date, and his one-under-Par Group 3 profile at OBSAPR has basically been borne out through the 22.37 foot SL he posted there, which was more than a foot shorter than average for colts that day at a furlong. We are not jumping up and down over either one of them, but Danebury looks like he might be able to get to the wire ahead of Just Afleet in this one, and they should be gimmick keys here with Zoo Yorker a possible throw-in. Good luck!