BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, November 15th by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore

Sometimes it jumps out on the page, and that’s what happened last week when we saw Two Step Temper was making his debut at Gulfstream West and we let you know what we thought. What we didn’t think was that he would pay only $9.40, but a win is a win even though he was quite green in getting there. There were two BreezeFigs stakes winners on that card and a number of other nice maiden winners during the week all over the place, but we’re having internet issues today so this column will now jump to the bottom where we found another one that jumped out of the page for our Pick this week, see below. Good luck!

Remember to pay attention to two changes we’ve made over the past several years. First, there have been changes in the CLASS EDGE category (at the bottom of the BreezeFigs card) because one sale was eliminated (OBSFEB) and FTFFEB is now in March (FTFMAR), and that moved OBSMAR into a higher class. Also, in the SALE & HIP column: the “HIP” refers to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://static.drf.com/PDFs/breezefigs/BreezeFigs2009Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here http://static.drf.com/PDFs/breezefigs/StrideLengthStudy-1.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.

Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Aqueduct, 6th Race, Maiden Claiming ($75,000), 6 Furlongs (Dirt)
Five BreezeFigs maiden colts entered here, two of which have shown little form (Call Daddy and Astron), one who woke up last out (It’s Perfect Two), another who did well first out (Overthespeedlimit), and a first-time starter whom we like (Jack O Liam). The latter comes out of OBSJUN with a six-over-Par Group 2 profile that featured a 24.68 foot stride length, more than a foot and a half longer than average for colts that day at a quarter mile. Overthespeedlimit came out of the same sale, breezed on the same day but at a furlong, and racked up a four-over-Par Group 2 profile with a 24.79 foot SL, exactly a foot and a half longer than average for colts that day at the distance. These two are your keys. It’s Perfect Too and Astron both came out of OBSAPR with one-under-Par Group 3 profiles and SLs that were slightly below average and well below 24 feet; Call Daddy came out of the same sale with a decent two-over-Par Group 2 profile but a short under 23 foot SL, and has shown nothing so far. As we said, the two with the longest stride lengths are very close all the way and Jack O Liam and Overthespeedlimit have the right numbers for a nice key. Good luck!