BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, May 23rd by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore
After Unpretentious, our top Pick last week, was scratched, we thought we might have has a gimmick shot with our 47-to-1 second choice, Prepper, but he got fried early and pooped out late and we were left holding tickets. However, there was a ton of good news on the BreezeFigs front as a whole, including the first two 2-year-old winners of the season, Run Like the Boss at Santa Anita and He’s a Tiger at Golden Gate, each of which won their debut odds-on. On the 3-year-old side, there were 19 BreezeFigs horses who broke their maidens last week at 15 tracks: two each at Belmont, Emerald Downs, Finger Lakes and Penn National; and solos at Arlington, Delaware, Gulfstream, Monmouth, Parx, Pimlico, Presque Isle, Santa Anita, Thistledown, Will Rogers and Woodbine. Whew! That covers a lot of territory. This week we go back to the scene of our last crime for something very interesting, see below. Good luck!
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreeeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.
Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Belmont Park, 9th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs, (Turf)
Five BreezeFigs fillies in this one, four making their debuts, and two of those first-timers could be contenders and are from the same barn as the one who was scratched last week. In addition, they are likely to be one of the hunch gimmicks of the year: Okay Momma and Where’s Poppa, owned by separate interests but with the same trainer. Okay Momma did OK at the OBSAPR sale where she turned in an even-par Group 2 profile with a 24.30 foot stride length, more than three-quarters of a foot longer than fillies that day at one eighth, but she was scratched (SCR) after breezing. She came back at OBSJUN and posted a two-over-Par Group 2 profile with an almost identical 24.28 foot SL, which was a foot-and-a-half longer than average that day was sold for 53k, and is at 15-to-1 in the morning line. Her stablemate, Where’s Poppa, a 250k yearling purchase, came out of the pricier OBSMAR sale with a six-over-Par Group 2 profile, but her 23.17 SL was about a quarter foot below average and she wound up scratched. Make of it what you wish. Katama, also making her debut, was three-over-Par Group 2 at OBSJUN with a 23.00 foot SL, just above average that day. Scamper clocked a two-under-Par Group 4 profile at OBSAPR with a 22.43 foot SL, a foot shorter than average that day. Groovy A, who came out of OBSJUN with a one-over-Par Group 2 profile had a 22.67 foot SL, a quarter foot shorter than average that day, and has had three unimpressive starts. We kind of like the Momma-Poppa combination, possibly in tandem with Katama, in whatever way you choose. But the value, and maybe the edge, is with Momma (isn’t it always?). Good luck!