BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, May 23, 2020 by Bob Fierro & Jay Kilgore
Our Pick was scratched last week while our potential gimmick play ran up the track. However, there were four BreezeFigs 3-year-old maidens who won last week, two at Gulfstream and one each at Santa Anita and Tampa Bay, and the 2-year-olds are starting to come out, so with more tracks opening up, and three 2-year-old sales scheduled in the next couple of months, things are definitely going to heat up. Today’s card is a bit of this and a bit of that, but we found one where there is a potential sneaky play, see below. Stay safe and good luck!
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreezeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.
Here’s Saturday’s Pick
Santa Anita Park, 1st Race, Maiden Special Weight, 5 ½ Furlongs (Turf)
Exactly the same condition as last week’s Pick, but this one for the colts. And, we have a maybe-in, maybe-out colt in Duplicity, who is the lone AE in the race but with his 11-over-Par Group 1 OBSMAR profile that featured a basically average 24.44 foot stride length (SL) should be favored if he draws in, especially since his debut in March franked his form at the sale. Even if he does get in, however, the first timers in here might be tempting. Vertical Threat tossed in a five-over-Par Group 2 effort at OBSAPR where his 24.23 foot SL was a quarter foot longer than average for colts that day at a furlong. Solo Animo breezed on a different day at the same sale and his four-under-Par Group 3 profile is not that fancy but his 25.39 foot SL, which was more than half-a-foot longer than average at a quarter mile that day, might give you gimmick thoughts. In any case, both first timers look gimmicky, but if Diversity draws in, he’s the key. Good luck!