BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, May 10th by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore

Despite the fact that neither of our Pix ran well last Saturday, it was a good week all around for BreezeFigs horses. There were three first-time starters among the eight maiden winners—one each at Arlington, Belmont and Santa Anita (which had three total), plus others at Evangeline, Finger Lakes (two), and Penn National. Those of you who keep BreezeFigs records might have noticed Commanding Curve was a fairly interesting proposition in the Kentucky Derby (25.16 foot stride length, etc.) and cashed in on gimmicks. The 2-year-olds are starting to come out now with some interesting ones on Friday’s cards at Churchill and Santa Anita, but let’s look at Saturday, which has a ton of potential money spinners for you, including one below. Good luck!

Remember to pay attention to two changes we’ve made over the past several years. First, there have been changes in the CLASS EDGE category (at the bottom of the BreezeFigs card) because one sale was eliminated (OBSFEB) and FTFFEB is now in March (FTFMAR), and that moved OBSMAR into a higher class. Also, in the SALE & HIP column: the “HIP” refers to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://static.drf.com/PDFs/breezefigs/BreezeFigs2009Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here http://static.drf.com/PDFs/breezefigs/StrideLengthStudy-1.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.
Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com

Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Belmont Park, 10th Race, Maiden Special Weight, Mile (Turf)
There are five BreezeFigs maidens in this race, one of which is making his debut: Pacific fetched a cool 1.8 million bucks at OBSMAR where his eleven-over-Par (yes) Group 2 profile included a 25.49 foot stride length, 1.84 feet longer than average for colts that day at one eighth. Lord Trondor turned in a solid two-over-Par Group 2 performance at FTFMAR with an impressive 25,42 foot stride length, just about a foot longer than average for colts at a furlong that day, and he did well in his debut at Gulfstream. Both of these are trained by Todd Pletcher, but the morning line looks to give some short shrift to Pacific. The other three are all experienced to a degree with V.E. Day and Dr. Abramson both coming out of OBSMAR with two-under-Par profiles that were not that disappointing. Peaceful Talk came out of EASMAY with a four-under-Par Group 3 profile, but his stride length was a pretty good 24.11 feet. These latter three might by good gimmick bets but the top two are probably your keys here with the nod to Pacific. Good luck!