Breezefigs Quick Pix for Saturday, March 7 by Bob Fierro & Jay Kilgore
Last week we advised that All Gold should be your key with the other two BreezeFigs horses (Suckitupbuster and Sunny Afternoon) definite gimmick plays, hoping for “big balloons at the windows.” At the sixteenth pole, we were moaning because Sunny Afternoon was nowhere and Suckitupbuster was looking to quit on the lead while All Gold was blocked and tackled behind a wall of horses. Then out of nowhere All Gold got loose and came surging up the rail to nail Suckitupbuster and post a $70 win mutual and kick off a $302 BreezeFigs exacta. Pass the smelling salts, please. Otherwise weather made it a nasty and quiet week with nine BreezeFigs maidens getting their pictures taken in the winner’s circle: two at Aqueduct and Gulfstream, three at Tampa Bay, and one each at Oaklawn and Santa Anita. This week’s card is really packed with opportunities with one particular race a bit intriguing, see below. Good luck!
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreeeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.
Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Gulfstream Park 8th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 5 ½ Furlongs, (Dirt)
All three BreezeFigs horses in here are making their debuts, and one, Chipit, is listed as the 5-to-2 morning line favorite—for three obvious good reasons. First, he’s by Tapit, second he’s trained by Todd Pletcher, and third he’s been training well. There is a hidden reason as well: He breezed at two sales last year, both on dirt, first at FTFMAR where his even-Par Group 2 featured a 23.61 foot stride length, which was three-eighths of a foot shorter than average for colts that day at a furlong—and he was not sold (RNA) for 345k. He came back to EASMAY and chalked up an identical even-Par Group 2 with a 24.02 foot SL, half-a-foot longer than average that day, and was sold for 300k, go figure. Kiss the Road also turned in an even-Par Group 2 effort at EASMAY where his 24.10 foot SL was longer than Chipit’s on the same day at the same distance. He might be able to get up for a piece of it as might Salsa Dog, whose OBSMAR Group 3 profile which featured a two-under-Par Group 3 profile and a nearly average 23.40 SL on synthetic is respectable. We don’t know if Chipit wants this short a distance, but he should be your key here and keep your eye on the board to see how you might want to play the other two, if at all. Good luck!