BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, March 5th by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore
That was a bizarre, and very fast, Pick last week where our very special choice, Big Red Rocket, got buried while trying to stalk the pacesetter then got caught at the wire and beat out for second by the one we didn’t like. Still, if you’d keyed him in the trifecta you got $23 back for a buck. Meanwhile, eleven other BreezeFigs maidens did their job well enough to win during the week. Two of those came at Santa Anita, where three of them completed a BreezeFigs exacta ($24) and trifecta ($182). Other winners came at Aqueduct, Charles Town, Fair Grounds, Gulfstream (two), Sunland and Tampa Bay (three). The first 2-year-old BreezeFigs sale of 2016 was held by Fasig-Tipton this week at Gulfstream Park and we shall be seeing a number of nifty runners from this sale this Spring and Summer. Meanwhile, we have a bit of a bonus this week for our Pick. see below. Good luck!
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreezeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.
Here’s Saturday’s Pix: Aqueduct, 1st Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt)
Like in last week’s Pick, three of the six maidens in here are BreezeFigs horses, one of which is likely to go off at even money or less. That would be Joy Drive, who was fast at OBSMAR last year where he posted a five-over-Par Group 2 profile, but his 23.86 foot stride length (SL), while decent, was an eighth-of-a-foot shorter than average for colts that day at a furlong. Still, he’s quick, has the right connections, and will benefit from his outside post. On the rail, Fielding Gold will have to stay clear and gather himself up in order to get into striking distance where the 25.74 foot SL he displayed in his one-over-Par Group 2 profile at FTFMAR last year was a foot-and-three-quarters longer than average for colts that day at a furlong. Ussery’s Alley has had two chances to show his four-under-Par Group 3 profile at the same sale where his 22.55 foot SL was a foot-and-a-half shorter than average was a fluke, and he hasn’t done so. You could do worse than keying Joy Drive, and might want to make a little side bet on Fielding Gold as well. Good luck!
BONUS: Aqueduct, 3rd Race, Maiden Special Weight (New York-Breds), 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt)
We picked Picco Uno two weeks ago and the races were frozen out, so this filly comes back here as the lone BreezeFigs entry in the race. She chalked up a two-over-Par Group 2 card at EASMAY on the dirt where her 23.86 foot stride length (SL) was about a third of a foot longer than average for fillies that day at one furlong. That might do here and she is certainly worth a key. Good luck!