BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, March 31, 2018, by Bob Fierro & Jay Kilgore
First, Happy Easter and Happy Passover! We can take credit for suggesting gimmick plays last week because the three BreezeFigs horses finished 2-4-5 for exacta, super and super high five payoffs, but we will not gloat. In any case, it was another very good week for BreezeFigs maidens with 17 of them winning: Aqueduct (four, including a BreezeFigs exacta), Fair Grounds (two), Gulfstream (four), Parx, Santa Anita (three) and Tampa Bay (three). There are some interesting maiden races sprinkled among today’s stakes rich-cards, and we’ve found a sneaky one to look at, see below. Good luck!
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreezeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.
Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Oaklawn Park, 8th Race, Maiden Spcial Weight, 6Furlongs (Dirt)
Three BreezeFigs maidens are in here, two of them first timers with a decent shot. Freeze Line comes out of EASMAY with a four-over-Par Group 1 profile that featured a just-above-average 24.22 foot stride length (SL) for colts at an eighth. He’s been working steadily but is stuck on the rail. Wicked Gem threw in a perfectly respectable four-over-par Group 1 effort at OBSMAR with a 23.99 foot SL, which was about half-a-foot longer than average for colts that day at an eight. However, he failed to sell (RNA) at 120k, and came back with a less-than-impressive six under-Par Group 3 effort at OBSJUN where his 23.84 foot SL was over half-a-foot shorter than average for colts that day at a furlong. They took the 100k final bid and here he is with a split personality for us to decipher. Basically the same thing happened with Seven Nation Army who posted a three-over-Par Group 2 profile at OBSMAR with a 24.87 foot SL, more than a foot-and-a-half longer than average that day but he was left unsold for 95k. He was wheeled back at OBSJUN where his even-Par Group 1 profile was at three-furlongs, a rare distance, and his SL was a very respectable 24.31 feet, over half-foot longer than average. Still, it’s tough to consider him as anything other than a long shot gimmick play. Freeze Line looks like more of a key in this one with Wicked Gem a possible toss in gimmick play, watch the board. Good luck!