BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, June 6th by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore
When the weirdness hits, it doesn’t stop. For the second week in a row, our top Pick sauntered out of the gate and trailed all the way while the other two BreezeFigs horses filled out the trifecta. We will try to escape that pattern this week by looking to the babies to rescue us. Not that the 3-year-old BreezeFigs maidens as a whole were ineffective last week—20 of them won across the country: Belmont (3), Canterbury (2), Charles Town, Churchill (2), Delaware, Gulfstream (3), Indiana, Mountaineer, Parx, Penn, Pimlico, Santa Anita, and Woodbine (2). That’s a heck of a road trip. As for the babies, it was a terrific week. Three of them won, Including Sambamzajammin a $2.60 second-time starter who teamed up with Scatastic, an 18-to-1 first-timer to pay out the first BreezeFigs exacta for the Class of 2015, at $13 modest though it was. Another winner came at Santa Anita and one at Pimlico, so the 2-year-olds are coming along nicely. Today’s card reveals only one baby race, but it’s contentious, see below. Good luck!
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreeeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.
Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Monmouth Park, 8th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 4 ½ Furlongs (Dirt)
First, be warned that there is a slip-up in the record for J B’s Big Red—the distance of his breeze is missing, and it’s being corrected, but it was one furlong. He is one of four BreezeFigs horses in this race, all Group 2 guys at their sales, three of them with below-average stride lengths, and one of them with a humongous stride length who is, unfortunately, stuck on the rail. Still, if he stays in the race, that horse, Percolator, is our choice. He is only going to be a sprinter, and he is pretty big, but his five-over-Par profile at OBSAPR was excellent, and his 25.56 foot stride length was more than two feet longer than average for colts that day at a furlong. Both Buon Gusto and Full Salute come out of OBSMAR where they breeze different distances on the same day. Buon Gusto was one-over-Par with a 23.44 foot SL (almost half a foot shorter than average at one-eighth) and Full Salute was three-over-Par with a 23.52 foot stride length at a quarter of a mile, more than a half foot shorter than average, and he was not sold (RNA) for 120k. That leaves the aforementioned J B’s Big Red, whose one furlong breeze at FTFMAR came on the dirt, like this track, and he was one-over-Par with a 23.82 foot SL, just a bit under average that day at one furlong. We like him a bit better than the two OBSMAR colts, but we really like Percolator best. Let’s hope he gets off to a decent start. Good luck!