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Monmouth Park

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, July 5 by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore

webmaster|Jul 05, 2014
Click Here for video

Close-but-no-cigar doesn’t cut it in this game, but at least two of the three better chances in our Pick last week completed an exacta (Louisiana Brown, $79) and trifecta (Hashtag Bourbon, $460)—if, of course, you included them with the non-BreezeFigs winner. Still it was a decent week for BreezeFigs: five 2-year-olds broke their maidens (at Belmont, Santa Anita, Woodbine, and two at Monmouth); and seven 3-year-olds got off the schneid (three at Santa Anita, two at Calder, and solos at Emerald Downs, Monmouth and Pleasanton). Today’s holiday weekend card tips toward the 3-year-olds in our Pick (below)—and it’s a good time to remind you that the 3-year-old cards will be posted every day until Labor Day. Good luck!

Remember to pay attention to two changes we’ve made over the past several years. First, there have been changes in the CLASS EDGE category (at the bottom of the BreezeFigs card) because one sale was eliminated (OBSFEB) and FTFFEB is now in March (FTFMAR), and that moved OBSMAR into a higher class. Also, in the SALE & HIP column: the “HIP” refers to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://static.drf.com/PDFs/breezefigs/BreezeFigs2009Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here http://static.drf.com/PDFs/breezefigs/StrideLengthStudy-1.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.
Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.

Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
3-Year-Olds: Monmouth Park, 6th Race, Maiden Special Weight, Mile (Turf)
They spent a cool quarter million bucks for him at OBSAPR, and it’s taken a year for Summation Time to get to the races—but he is in the right barn for a turf debut and he might be able to pull off an upset here if it stays on the weeds. He probably fetched his price based on his BreezeFigs profile—eight-over-Par Group 1 with a 25.45 foot stride length, almost half-a-foot longer than colts that day at a quarter mile. It’s a situational play at 8-to-1…if the race stays on the grass and if he shows any action on the board, you could improve your situation. Have a good holiday weekend! Good luck!

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