BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, July 20, 2019 by Bob Fierro & Jay Kilgore
Our 3-year-old Pick last week, Irish Orb, hit the side of the gate, propped, and was vanned off. What we said about our sneaky gimmick 2-year-old Pick, Vaya Con Dios,,turned out to be prescient: “…if he’s not rushed too hard early might get himself boxed in a gimmick with Zyramid.” So, he was rushed too hard early to the lead and backed up at the furlong grounds as our actual Pick Zyramid won. The latter was joined by three other Saratoga baby winners during the week, two of which kicked off BreezeFigs trifectas. These four were joined by five other 2-y-o BreezeFigs winners at: Camanere, Del Mar, Monmouth (two, including a BreezeFigs exacta), and Prairie Meadows. Seven BreezeFigs 3-year-olds broke their maidens at Canterbury, Del Mar, Gulfstream (two), Penn National and Saratoga (two, including a BreezeFigs exacta). As of the time of our deadline there were numerous tracks in the East which had not signaled their intentions to race in Saturday's expected heat, so we have chosen split divisions of a race at Woodbine to look at, see below. Good luck!
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreezeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.
Here’s Saturday’s Pix:
2-Year-Olds:
Woodbine, 5th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Turf)
Magnanimous comes in here with the right connections at 3-to-1 in the morning line, but she is also backed by a very good BreezeFigs profile at OBSAPR where her nine-over-Par Group 2 profile featured a 24.15 foot stride length (SL), a bit shorter than average for fillies that day at a furlong. But she moved like a turf horse so we will go with that. Pastel Emily is also in this race and showed that her two-under-Par Group 4 card at OBSMAR was basically honest in her first start. Her 23.93 foot SL in that breeze was a third of a foot shorter than average that day and she needs to move up to menace here.
Woodbine, 7th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Turf)
Merveilleuz is the only BreezeFigs filly in here and her 10-to-1 morning line does not reflect her two-over-Par Group 1 effort at OBSAPR where her 24.31 foot SL was more than a half-foot longer than average that day, a different one than the day Magnanimous from the first division breezed. She might be a very neat gimmick play in this event. Good luck!