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Los Alamitos Race Course

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, July 12 by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore

webmaster|Jul 11, 2014
Click Here for video

Our Pick last week, Summation Time, came from out of the clouds to miss the prize by a nose but would have been a nice key in the gimmicks if you’d played him that way. The week was good, however, for BreezeFigs maidens of 2013 and 2014. Six 3-year-olds won, at Arlington, Belmont, Delaware, Louisiana Downs, Monmouth and Pleasanton. The 2-year-olds, however, lit up the board, especially in Pennsylvania. On the Fourth, Danzatricepaid $5.40 to win at Parx and returned a BreezeFigs exacta of $31.60 with Miss Rockport and a $92.40 trifecta when Kalamity Jane got up for third. On Thursday at Presque Isle, Callisto paid $14.80 to win and with Little G combined for a $39.80 BreezeFigs exacta, and then Addy’s Flower completed a $108.40 BreezeFigs trifecta. Other juvenile BreezeFigs maiden winners popped up at Indiana, Louisiana Downs and Los Alamitos. Today we will focus on the babies, see below. Good luck!

Remember to pay attention to two changes we’ve made over the past several years. First, there have been changes in the CLASS EDGE category (at the bottom of the BreezeFigs card) because one sale was eliminated (OBSFEB) and FTFFEB is now in March (FTFMAR), and that moved OBSMAR into a higher class. Also, in the SALE & HIP column: the “HIP” refers to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://static.drf.com/PDFs/breezefigs/BreezeFigs2009Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here http://static.drf.com/PDFs/breezefigs/StrideLengthStudy-1.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.

Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Los Alamitos Race Course, 5th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 5 ½ Furlongs (Dirt)
One of our past Pix, Rowdy Dylan, he of the 28.32 foot stride length, meets up with two talented first-timers here in Dr.Vicentstein and John’s Success, and an overmatched Litigation Road. Like Rowdy Dylan, Dr. Vincentstein comes out of the BARMAR sale with a four-over-Par Group 1 profile that featured a 24.93 foot SL, about a third of a foot longer than average for colts that day at n eighth. That compared to Rowdy Dylan’s eight-over-Par Group 2 profile with a SL that was 3.74 feet longer than average for colts that day at the same distance. John’s Success showed a solid two-over-Par Group 2 profile at OBSMAR with a 24.45 foot SL, about a half-foot longer than average for colts that day at a quarter mile. But that was on synthetic while BARMAR was on dirt, like this track. Litigation Road was a four-under-Par Group 4 number at OBSAPR and his 23.31 foot SL was more than half a foot shorter than average that day for colts at a quarter. Looks like it could be another BreezeFifgs trifecta. Good luck!

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