BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, January 31st by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore
The stylish victory last week of our top Pick, Khozan, once again demonstrates the fact that stride length counts (25.06 feet for him), and sometimes you can do OK at the windows with such a horse ($5.80 to win was a huge overlay). But what is more interesting is that on last Saturday’s card, eight other BreezeFigs maidens won, four of them with longer-than-average stride lengths, and five of the six other BreezeFigs maiden winners during the whole week could makes the same claim. Saturday’s card featured three winners at Oaklawn, two each at Gulfstream and Penn National, and solos at Santa Anita and Tampa Bay. Oaklawn had another two winners during the week, with Gulfstream, Sam Houston Santa Anita and Tampa Bay coming up with solos. Today’s card is once again loaded with opportunity, including the one below. Good luck!
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreeeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.
Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Santa Anita, 3rd Race, Maiden Special Weight, 5 ½ Furlongs (Dirt)
Three BreezeFigs maidens line up in this dash, two of which make their debuts, one of which was a pricey beast at OBSMAR. That would be Yiannis, whose seven-over-Par Group 2 profile featured a solid 23.92 foot stride length, two-thirds of a foot longer than average for colts that day at one furlong. The other first timer, Commute, came out of the same sale with a four-over-Par Group 1 profile that had him pegged with a 23.27 foot SL, which was a third of a foot shorter than average for colts at an eighth, different day. He was scratched (SCR) from that sale after he breezed, so we shall hold off on picking him on top. Big Hat Charlie also breezed on the same day as Commute, posting a one-under-Par Group 3 profile which featured a 23.57 foot SL—exactly average for that day; he was not sold (RNA) for 190k, and has done nothing in his three starts to date. They’ve pegged Yiannis as the morning line favorite at 2-to-1, and he is the logical key horse in here, and you might want to give Commute a little lick as well. Good luck!