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BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, January 17th by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore

webmaster|Jan 16, 2015

Update Alert Redux: Please refer to the second paragraph below for news of a major update to BreezeFigs which eliminates a lot of superfluous text from this column.

Last week’s Pick was off slowly and ran into an odds-on tiger, but still managed to run well in a solid debut to complete a miserly $4.90 (for a buck) exacta. Weather conditions played havoc with most of the BreezeFigs cards during the week, but on Thursday there were five maiden winners, pretty solid wind-up for a week in which there were a total of 14 BreezeFigs maidens who got off the schneid, two of which headed BreezeFigs exactas. The winners came at Aqueduct (an exacta), Delta Downs, Fair Grounds (three), Gulfstream (two, including an exacta), Mahoning Valley (which is in Ohio), Oaklawn, Parx, Santa Anita (three) and Turfway. Today’s card has some really interesting first-timers, and we are going to showcase a race with three of them, see below. Good luck!

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreeeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.

Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Oaklawn Park, 9th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)

Three of the four BreezeFigs horses here are making their debuts, and the other, Kinetic, is coming off a short respite after two disappointing starts. He was seven-over-Par Group 1at OBSAPR with a 25.24 foot stride length, a foot and a quarter longer than average for colts that day at an eighth. He is 20-1 in the morning line and looks like a gimmick play at best. The other three all showed decent form in their breezes, headed by Dr Anderson. This one put in a one-over-Par Group 2 profile at OBSMAR with a 23.70 foot SL, almost a half-foot longer than average at one eighth that day—but he was not sold (RNA) for 85k. He came back at EASMAY at a quarter mile and put in an even-Par Group 2 effort with a 25.24 foot SL, which was quite an improvement (obviously liked the dirt more than synthetic) but only sold for 50k. Swagner put up an even-Par Group 2 profile at FTFMAR with a 24.09 foot SL, just a bit over the average for the day, but was not sold at 45k, must have been vet issues. Finally, Rockstar Jim threw in a creditable one-under-Par Group 3 effort at OBSAPR with a 24.21 foot SL at a quarter mile, more than a quarter foot longer than average that day, but was also not sold at 39k. There’s a hot Winchell-Asmussen favorite on the rail with good form but we think if you concentrate on Dr Anderson, with the board telling you what might be appropriate on the others, you could be OK. Good luck!

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