BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, Jan. 14, 2017 by Bob Fierro & Jay Kilgore
We got snowed out of our Pick at Aqueduct last week, which was a surprise since the forecast was for schmutz. The weather also wreaked havoc at other venues across the country, but the week’s total of BreezeFigs maidens which won was still impressive: 15 of them got their pictures taken. It was a remarkable tour de force for the BreezeFigs kids at Gulfstream, where eight of them won, three of them setting off BreezeFigs exactas and two of them leading the way in BreezeFigs trifectas. The other winners came at Delta Downs (where our previous Pick, Taylor’s Beauty, won), Fair Grounds (two), Parx, Penn National, Santa Anita (exacta) and Tampa Bay. We are playing Saturday's card two ways—with one eye on the weather forecast and the other to see if we can get lucky at Gulfstream, where they promise it will be nice so we’re giving you two Pix that might turn into a parlay, see below. Good luck!
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreezeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.
Here’s Saturday’s Pix:
Gulfstream Park, 4th Race, Maiden Claiming (40-50k), 7 ½ Furlongs (Turf)
We kick off the parlay try with first-timer Kobu, a filly who came out of OBSAPR with a seven-over-Par Group 1 profile that featured a 23.34 foot stride length (SL), just above average for fillies that day at an eighth. She moved well enough for us to think she can handle the weeds. Looking At Thelake had a nice four-over-Par Group 2 profile at OBSJUN where her 23.12 foot SL was about a half-foot below average. She got bombed in her debut at this level at Aqueduct but might find these surroundings friendlier. Mary Sue Weloveyou was an OK one-under-Par Group 4 at OBSMAR with a 23.63 foot SL, just below average—she had a modest effort in her debut, and it was on the turf. We’d key on Kabu here and throw the other two in for gimmicks.
Gulfstream Park, 5th Race, Maiden Claiming (25k), 6 ½ Furlongs (Dirt)
First-timer Sparky’s Sunrise comes out of OBSJUN with an eight-over-Par Group 1 ticket and a 25.07 foot SL, more than a foot longer than average that day at an eighth. He may have had an issue or two in that breeze where he didn’t move all that well, and he was scratched (SCR) before the sale began. Enduring Arch comes out of the same sale with a one-over-Par Group 2 profile that featured a 23.95 foot SL, just below average for colts that day at a quarter mile. He has shown decent form in two starts for a colt that was sold for only $3,700, so he might be OK here. Diamond Mint also went a quarter mile in his breeze at OBSMAR where he chalked up a six-under-Par Group 4 ticket, and his 22.01 foot SL was more than two feet below average. His debut was just as discouraging. You might want to hook the other two in a gimmick and maybe throw them into a parlay with the previous race Pix—could do worse, we imagine. Good luck!