BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, February 27th by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore
He wasn’t going to win but our upset key Pick last week, You Had Me At Halo, closed strongly after an eventful trip to complete a $40.80 BreezeFigs exacta with the overwhelming favorite (and our overall key) Caderyn. It was a special day for BreezeFigs maidens as three of the four maiden races in which they appeared at Gulfstream won—and there were five others at that track during the week. There were three at Santa Anita (including a BreezeFigs exacta) and another at Turfway, for a total of 13 BreezeFigs horses that broke their maidens last week. Today’s card is chocked full with opportunities as always, but there’s a special one, see below. Good luck!
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreezeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.
Here’s Saturday’s Pick: Santa Anita, 3rd Race, Maiden Special Weight, 5 ½ Furlongs (Dirt)
Three of the six maidens in here are BreezeFigs horses, two of which are trained by Bob Baffert, one of which is a first-time starter who absolutely deserves to be morning line favorite at 2-to-1. Big Red Rocket was only even-Par in his Group 2 profile at OBSAPR where his 24.28 foot stride length (SL) was .82 feet longer than average for colts that day at a furlong. But he did it very impressively and the only problem here is that they are rolling him out at a distance which might simply be to tighten him up. On the other hand, on the same day at OBSAPR his stablemate Journey by Sea pounded to a 12-over-Par Group 1 profile at a quarter mile, with a 24.55 foot SL that was .89 feet longer than average that day for colts at the distance. He may have the slightly better profile but his chances today, at 3-to-1, lie in the fact that overall he is a sprinter and Big Red Rocket is a two-turn horse. The other one in here, Storm the Shore, had a decent one-over-Par Group 2 profile at OBSMAR with a slightly below average of 23.94 feet for an eighth of a mile, but he’s had two chances already and doesn’t look up to the top two at this point. This could be a key maiden race and there is no question we could be looking at a star here, play accordingly. Good luck!