BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, December 5th by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore
We are not amused that our key, the long-striding R Girls a Charmer, and the lickity-split speedster and gimmick choice, Dearest reversed their anticipated roles in last week’s Pick, but in the end though our key was cooked she held on to finish a good second to Dearest, who paid $11 and headed up the $55 BreezeFigs exacta. Later on the same card Hear You Me paid $21 kicking off another BreezeFigs exacta at $96. The previous day, Jan’s Reserve (at $44) and Sallisaw kicked off a $185 BreezeFigs exacta in the King’s Swan at Aqueduct. This was followed by Luckbe Tanya and Glenn Coco’s $34 BreezeFigs exacta at Woodbine, and later at Del Mar, Mama’s Sugar paid $17 to lead three BreezeFigs gimmicks for a buck--$31 quinella, $61 exacta, $102 trifecta. Solo BreezeFigs maiden winners came at Churchill, Del Mar, Gulfstream West, Penn, and both maiden races at Golden Gate on Thursday. Today’s card doesn’t have many first-timers, but ironically most of them are in one race, see below. Good luck!
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreezeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.
Here’s Saturday’s Pick: Gulfstream Park, 2nd Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)
Six BreezeFigs maidens in this race, all of them first time starters, five of them Group 1, most of them with a shot. Two Times Book comes out of EASMAY with the longest stride length (SL) of the bunch, 24.33 feet (almost half a foot longer than average that day) which he achieved on his way to a three-over-Par Group 1 rating. Zulu and Mr Louise posted similar SLs at FTFMAR but Zulu was six-over-Par with a 24.12 foot SL and Mr Louise only one-over-Par with a 24.31 SL—an eighth and a third longer than average that day, respectively, for colts at a furlong. They are very close on paper and probably will be on the board as well. Makes Good Sense came out of OBSMAR with a whopping ten-over-Par Group 1 profile but his SL was only 23.53 feet, almost half-a-foot shorter than average for colts that day at a furlong—and he was not sold (RNA) at 145k. Sharp Azteca and Perfect Curlin both came out of OBSAPR with the former scoring a four-over-Par Group 1 profile with a 24.16 foot SL, two-thirds of a foot longer than average for colts that day at a furlong. The latter posted a two-under-Par Group 3 number with a 21.82 foot SL—a foot-and-two-thirds shorter than average on the same day and distance. There is going to be a fight on the board between Zulu and Mr Louise, and probably at the wire, too, so you might want to key them with Two Times Book and maybe use Sharp Azteca as a saver. Good luck!