BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, December 19th by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore
Keying our Pix last week paid off, even though one of those races was a total mess in the stretch. That would be the one at Gulfstream where our preferred key, Gimlet, got hung up nine wide, barreled through the lane strongly but spent too much effort to get up in time and finished fourth. However, the other key, his stablemate Kismet’s Heels, went seven wide but managed to avoid traffic to complete a $168 exacta while Gimlet mopped up with a $184 for 10 cents superfecta. Meanwhile in New Orleans, One Last Cigarette came from out of the clouds but couldn’t catch the front runners, but he completed a $939 trifecta. Nine BreezeFigs maidens won last year, five of them at Aqueduct where there were two BreezeFigs exactas worth $38 and $18 respectively Two more came at Golden Gate (which is moving up in BreezeFigs activity), and the other two at Hawthorne and Los Alamitos. Some good opportunities on today’s card, see below. (Please note: There will be no column next week, Christmas Day). Have a great holiday and good luck!
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreezeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.
Here’s Saturday’s Pick: Gulfstream Park, 8th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 ½ Furlongs (Dirt)
Three OBSAPR graduates in here, two making their first starts, all of whom have a shot based on their BreezeFigs profiles, which they posted on different days—and they are lined up in the three outside posts. Street Gray posted a 10-over-Par Group 1 profile with a 25.23 foot stride length (SL), more than two feet longer than average for colts at one-eighth on the last day of the breeze shows. Gone Local had a three-over-Par Group 2 profile on the first breeze show day with a 25.22 foot SL, which was more than a foot and three-quarters longer than average for colts that day at the same distance. He ran OK in his debut last month but it was in weaker company and he may not be up to this level. In between, Mo Power went a quarter mile and posted a one-under-Par Group 3 profile, but with a very commendable 24.91 foot SL, more than a foot longer than colts that day at the distance. These three are in clever hands, should have clean trips, but Street Gray and Mo Power are the definite keys here with Gone Local a possible gimmick play if the board says so. Good luck!