BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, December 17, 2016 by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore
Close but no cigar. Our BreezeFigs exacta Pick at Aqueduct last week looked pretty good at the sixteenth pole when Blue Belt tired and Sicilia Mike came up to pass him—but a non-BreezeFigs 10-to-1 shot got up late to pass them both; still, they filled out a $272 trifecta. On the other coast, however, our stand-alone Pick at Los Alamitos, Adios Cali, stalked the pace and closed inexorably to nail the favorite at the wire to pay six bucks as second choice. Not a bad day, and not a bad week. There were 14 other BreezeFigs maidens who won last week including two others at Los Alamitos (one of which was a BreezeFigs trifecta). The other winners came at Delta Downs (two), Fair Grounds (two), Gulfstream (three, including two exactas), Laurel, Penn National and Turfway (three, including an exacta). Saturday's card might be affected by weather, but we found a nugget at the scene of last week’s jewel, see below. Good luck!
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreezeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.
Here’s Saturday’s Pck:
Los Alamitos, 3rd Race, Maiden Claiming ($40,000), Cal-Breds, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)
Not any potential Oaks winners here, but there are two BreezeFigs fillies who breezed on the same day at BARMAR might be worth a bet. First timer Cinnamon Toast popped a two-over-Par Group 2 number there with a 24.18 foot stride length (SL), just a tad above average for fillies that day at one furlong. However, she did not sell (RNA) at 25k. Barbara Jo went the same distance and got a two-over-Par Group 1 number with a 24.82 foot SL, which was two-thirds of a foot longer than average. However, she was scratched (SCR) before the sale began—thus neither has a 2-year-old sale in its PP’s. Barbara Jo made two starts in May, did not do well at indifferent odds and is now with Baffert—uh, oh, 4-to-1 second choice in the morning line. Cinnamon Toast has no such glamourous connections, and is 20-to-1, but surely like Barbara Jo, is a solid gimmick play. Toss a coin if you want to play either straight. Good luck!