BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, December 14, 2019 by Bob Fierro & Jay Kilgore
It was “toss two coins into the air” time last week and one of our Pix, Trash Talker, came up heads with two BreezeFigs first-timers filling in two of the other three superfecta spots. Can’t be too greedy in a situation like that. Meanwhile, 21 other BreezeFigs juveniles broke their maidens during a very busy week all across the continent. The wins came at Aqueduct (three others besides our Pick, one a BreezeFigs exacta); Delta, Fair Grounds, Golden Gate, Gulfstream (two), Hawthorne, Laurel, Los Alamitos (three, including a BreezeFigs exacta), Penn (three, including a BreezeFigs exacta), Tampa Bay (three, including two BreezeFigs exactas), Turfway and Woodbine. Today’s card is sneaky interesting but we think there is a real shot with a longshot, see below. Good luck!
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreezeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.
Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Tampa Bay, 10th Race, Maiden Special Weight, Mile (Turf)
Two of the three BreezeFigs fillies in here, Leah Chase and Zoysia, have started and but have not quite lived up to their decent Group 3 profiles at OBSAPR—and they are listed at much lower odds than the first timer, Red Venus, who is 15-to-1 but with a much better profile at EASMAY. This filly rolled to a seven-over-Part Group 1 ticket with a 24.67 foot stride length (SL), which was more than a foot longer than average for fillies that day at a furlong. Leah Chase and Zoysia, on the other hand, were both one-under-Par Group 3 finishers with almost identical SLs of 23.67 and 23.76 feet, respectively, both of those SLs about average for the day. We like Red Venus for two other reasons: She was not sold (RNA) for 95k, but she is still owned by her breeder, which means they like her enough to spend the training fees; and her trainer is a promising young guy who has a knack or two with firsters. We’d key her and toss in the other two if the board looks right. Good luck!