BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, December 10th, 2016 by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore
Sometimes it pays to keep your mouth shut. We didn’t quite like Run Macho Run’s chances in last week’s Pick compared to our two firsters, but when our choice Into Kings scratched, that left Run Macho Run enough space to get out early and hold on as the surprising favorite at $7.40. Our other more fancied Pick, Hard Arch, raced lazily but managed to get up for third to complete a $36 trifecta for a buck. There you go. Meanwhile, 20 other BreezeFigs maidens got off the schneid last week including two on opening day at Los Alamitos. Meet at Jakes hammered home at $154 in his third start the first race; and firster Resilient Humor paid $67 in the fourth to kick off a $241 BreezeFigs exacta with firster Dominating Woman—and another firster, Kenda, was fourth in a $3,534 superfecta. The other winners were at Aqueduct (three), Charles Town (two), Delta Downs, Gulfstream (three, including an exacta), Laurel, Mahoning Valley, Tampa Bay (four, including two exactas, plus two stakes races), Turfway (two), and Woodbine. Busy week and busy Saturday with tons of opportunities which resulted in a bonus selection, see below... Good luck!
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreezeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.
Here’s Saturday’s Pix:
Aqueduct, 2nd Race, Maiden Special Weight, New York-Breds, 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt)
This one has firster, Blue Belt, a shipper from Chicago, coming into a state-bred race for the big money off an even-Par Group 2 effort at OBSAPR at a quarter mile. His 24.54 foot stride length (SL) was about a fifth-of-a-foot longer than average for colts that day at the distance. On the other hand, Sicilia Mike, the favorite, will be making his fourth start having shown that he fits in this company with his two-under-Par Group 4 effort at OBSJUN where he also rumbled a quarter mile and earned a 24.84 foot SL—almost a foot longer than average for colts that day. If Blue Belt arrives on time, it should be a BreezeFigs exacta.
Los Alamitos, 7th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 5 ½ Furlongs (Dirt)
Adios Cali is the only BreezeFigs starter in here and someone knows something because she is favored. She threw in a six-over-Par Group 1 performance at BARMAR with a 25.25 foot SL—more than a foot longer than average for fillies that day at a furlong. Looks like a key. Good luck!