BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, December 1, 2018 by Bob Fierro & Jay Kilgore
Just Say Mo just said no to running at all as our Pick last week embarrassed us, and I am sure her connections. Still, it was a very good week for BreezeFigs maidens with 13 of them crossing the line on top at eight tracks with a number of BreezeFigs gimmicks. Those wins came at Churchill (two, including a BreezeFigs exacta), Del Mar (two, including a BreezeFigs exacta), Laurel (two), Mahoning Valley (two, on the same day), Tampa Bay (BreezeFigs exacta), Turf Paradise, Turfway and Woodbine (two, including a BreezeFigs trifecta). Saturday's card lacks quality in most first-time starters, but we found a potentially nice one, see below. Good luck!
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreezeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.
Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Del Mar, 8th Race, Maiden Special Weight,, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)
Two first-timers among the five BreezeFigs colts here, one of which, Mo Reserve, looks to have a shot despite the fact that he sold for only 30k at BARMAR—well below the usual price for an Uncle Mo. Yet, he’s 6-to-1 in the morning line and that is really in line with his four-over-Par Group 1 profile at that sale where his 25.61 foot stride length (SL) was almost a foot-and-a-quarter longer than average that day for colts at a furlong. Moonoverthebayou comes out of the same sale with a two-over-Par Group 1 profile which included a 24.69 foot SL, a quarter foot longer than average on the same day. He sold for 120k yet is listed at 20-to-1—go figure. The other three here have all started with mixed results based on their BreezeFigs profiles. Mutineer brought 200k at FTFMAR which was a reflection of his eight-over-Par Group 1 profile that featured a just about average SL of 24.59 feet; his debut was not promising. My Mandate has run three times without much to show for his three-over-Par Group 2 effort at BARMAR where his 23.94 foot SL—a half foot shorter than average that day. The role of favorite is likely to fall to Stretford End, a 600k number at FTFMAR where his three-over-Par Group 2 profile featured a 24.01 foot SL, more than half-a-foot shorter than average. He has run two bang-up races and looks like the key here—we’d throw Mo Reserve into the gimmicks and give consideration to Mutineer if the board says yes. Good luck!