BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, August 26, 2017, by Bob Fierro & Jay Kilgore
Last week’s Pick was as much a stinker as we could have dredged up, so we shall move on. There were 17 2-year-old BreezeFigs maidens who came home on top last week, including four who kicked off BreezeFigs exactas. They came at Canterbury, Delaware, Del Mar, Ellis, Gulfstream (three, including a BreezeFigs exacta), Laurel (two, including best-named winner of the week, Can’ttakeitwithyou), Louisiana Downs (two, including a BreezeFigs exacta), Monmouth (two), and Saratoga (four, including two BreezeFigs exactas). The 3-year-olds are chugging to the end of the string, with three of them breaking their maidens as Finger Lakes, Gulfstream and Monmouth. Remember, Labor Day is the last card for 3-year-olds. Saturday has one sneaky play on each card, see below. Good luck!
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreezeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.
Here’s Saturday’s Pix:
2-year-olds:
Saratoga, 1st Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 ½ Furlongs (Dirt)
Might as well go with kicking off the Travers card. This one will have an obvious favorite in Hazit, who comes out of OBSMAR with a four-over-Par Group 1 profile and a 25.19 foot stride length (SL), that was a foot longer than average that day for colts at a furlong. He’s likely to be over bet, but should get the job done. Two other BreezeFigs horses are in here from the same trainer, one of which, Belle Tapisserie, who chalked a two-over-Par Group 2 profile with an average 23.73 foot SL, ran up the track on the turf on Wednesday; don’t expect him back. The other, Escarparela, tossed in an even-Par Group 2 performance at OBSAPR with a 23.27 foot SL, about a half-foot shorter than average for colts at a quarter mile. He may start and if he does might be worth a modest gimmick play.
3-year-olds:
Ellis Park 8th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)
First-timer Changer is worth a gimmick play based on his three-over-Par Group 1 ticket at OBSJUN last year where his 24.67 foot SL was almost a foot longer than average for colts that day at an eighth. He sold for 50k that day after having not sold (RNA) for 47k at OBSMAR where he threw in an awful seven-under-Par Group 4 performance with a half-foot shorter-than-average 23.79 foot SL. Obviously something went wrong there. However, it’s Inca Chief who will draw all the attention here. This one caused a major stir by selling for a million bucks at FTFMAR following an eight-over-Par Group 2 breeze which was motored by an astonishing 27.09 foot SL, more than three feet longer than average for colts that day at n eighth. He had a promising debut at Monmouth in June but was taken from Pletcher and now slips in here. He is obviously not the Second Coming, but watch the board and you might have a BreezeFigs exacta either way if the gods are with you. Good luck!