BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, August 17, 2019 by Bob Fierro & Jay Kilgore
We managed to salvage last week’s 2-year-old Pick when key-horse Gozilla romped and paid $3.20, but our first-time gimmick selections in that race just didn’t run. In the 3-year-old Pick our choice basically walked out of the gate and went nowhere from there. Otherwise it was a heck of a week for 2-year-old BreezeFigs maidens—20 others won besides Gozilla and there were BreezeFigs gimmicks galore. There were two other winners at Saratoga besides Gozilla, one of which kicked off a BreezeFigs trifecta. The other winners came at Arlington, Colonial, Del Mar (four), Ellis (one a BreezeFigs superfecta and the other a BreezeFigs exacta), Gulfstream (BreezeFigs exacta), Indiana, Laurel (two, including a BreezeFigs superfecta), Monmouth (three), Presque Isle, Thistledown and Woodbine. In addition the Best Pal Stakes at Del Mar resulted in a BreezeFigs trifecta, one-upping the fillies who produced a BreezeFigs exacta in the previous week’s Sorrento. The 3-year-olds were basically quiet, as they usually are when we get to this stage of the year, with two winners coming at Ellis and another at Gulfstream. As in past years, the 3-year-old cards will end on Labor Day because there really aren’t that many decent bets for first-timers after that. Today we do have a 3-year-old Pick, however, on aa well as a 2-year-old Pick, see below. Good luck!
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreezeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.
Here’s Saturday’s Pix:
3-Year-Olds:
Del Mar, 5th Race, Maiden Special Weight, One Mile (Turf)
Rapport was meant to be a decent one, fetching $750k last year at EASMAY after posting a three-over-Par Group 1 ticket with a 25.07 foot stride length (SL), a half-foot longer than average for colts that day at a furlong. He is meant to like the turf and he is, astoundingly for his connections, 20-to-1 in the morning line. Maybe he can sneak into the gimmick here and approach him that way.
2-yar-olds
Saratoga, 7th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 ½ Furlongs (Dirt)
They will be jumping all over Candy Tycoon in this one based on his connections and his one-over-Par Group 2 profile at OBSAPR would seem to back that up—he posted a 26.28 foot SL which was more than a foot longer than average for colts that day at a quarter mile. But you might want to take a close look at Unprecedented for he also breezed a quarter mile in his sale, posting a whopping 11-over-Par Group 1 ticket at EASMAY where his 25.48 foot SL was more than a foot and a third longer than average—his morning line is a tempting 8-to-1. African Heritage had a nice four-over-Par Group 2 profile at OBSMAR but his SL was only 23.55 feet, well over a foot shorter than average that day for colts at a quarter mile. He also was not sold (RNA) at 95k. American Butterfly franked his 9-under-Par Group 4 OBSAPR form in his desultory debut—his SL if 23.30 was three-quarters of a foot shorter than average for colts at a furlong that day in Ocala and he was also not sold (RNA) at 390k. We like Unprecedented and Candy Tycoon in any which way your gimmicks play out. Good luck!