BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, August 10, 2019 by Bob Fierro & Jay Kilgore
Sorry ‘bout that—we skipped last week’s column having become tied up viewing the yearlings on display at the Saratoga Select sale, some of which are likely to come back in the tonier BreezeFigs sales next year. Meanwhile, 40 BreezeFigs maidens won over the past two weeks—17 three-year-olds and 23 two-year-olds, some at tracks you may not be playing but should. The three-year-olds won at Albuquerque, Arizona Downs, Arlington, Canterbury, Delaware, Ellis, Gulfstream, Monmouth (three), Prairie Meadows, Presque Isle, Saratoga (three), Woodbine and Wyoming Downs. The babies broke their schneids at Colonial, Del Mar (four, including two BreezeFigs exactas), Ellis, Evangeline, Gulfstream, Indiana (two), Laurel (four), Monmouth, Parx, Prairie Meadows, Presque Isle, and, of course, Saratoga (five, including a BreezeFigs exacta). That’s almost the whole alphabet by track names. Saturday's cards are chock full of potential but we are going to stick with just one track, one race on each card, see below. Good luck!
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreezeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.
Here’s Saturday’s Pix:
3-Year-Olds:
Saratoga, 2nd Race, Maiden Special Weight (New York-Breds), 6 Furlongs (Dirt)
First-time starter Yankee Division may be some kind of hidden secret because his 30-to-1 morning line does not reflect his very decent one-over-Par Group 2 effort at EASMAY last year where his 25.59 stride length (SL) was more than a foot longer than average for colts that day at a quarter mile. He was not sold (RNA) at 47k so you won’t see a reference to that sale in the PP’s. Seven is Heaven came out of OBSAPR last year with a good one-over-Par Group 2 ticket and a monster 26.20 foot SL, over a foot and three quarters longer than average for colts that day at a furlong. Even though he has thrown in three desultory efforts so far, he’s 8-to-1 in the morning line. We’d watch the board here and maybe throw both of them in a gimmick mix, but we prefer Yankee Division.
2-yar-olds
Saratoga, 7th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)
Morning line has Gozilla as 5-to-2 favorite and this OBSAPR graduate probably should be based on his four-over-Par Group 2 effort there where his 25.24 foot SL was more than a foot and a quarter longer than average that day for colts at a furlong. But, he was RNA’s for 395k and he has the hot connections. Hostile Witness, on the other hand, is 12-to-1 in the morning line and comes out of OBSMAR with a one-over-Par Group 1 profile that featured at 25.19 foot SL, almost a half-foot longer than average that day at a furlong. He only brought 75k but he is definitely gimmick worthy here. Cardiac Kid has had a race here, two turns on the turf where he tired. He comes out of the rejuvenated KEEAPR sale with a three-under-Par Group 3 card that featured at 24.93 foot SL, more than three-quarters of a foot longer than average that day. His switch to a sprint on the dirt may help him but he is not the most graceful mover. If you must key on Gozilla, you might want to back it up with a gimmick toss on Hostile Witness. Good luck!