BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, April 4th by Bob Fierro & Jay Kilgore
Our Pix last week ran in the order we predicted after setting or prompting the pace. Unfortunately, both stopped on a dime as Sailthehighseas finished sixth and Doritoz, seventh. There were only five BreezeFigs maidens who got to the winner’s circle during the week—at Aqueduct, Golden Gate, Parx, Sunland and Tampa Bay. However, the black type results were pretty good: Materiality won the Florida Derby, Stanford and War Story were 2-3 in the Louisiana Derby, Competitive Edge and Mr. Jordan ran 1-2 in the Tamarac at Gulfstream, and Pacific Pink and Celestine scored in listed stakes at Fair Grounds and Gulfstream, respectively. As of now, the Kentucky Derby Top 10 includes four BreezeFigs horses, all pretty top-notch off their BreezeFigs profiles: Dortmund, Carpe Diem, Materiality and Firing Line. Today’s Wood Memorial and Blue Grass have BreezeFigs graduates in them (Carpe Diem is in the Keeneland event), so check the cards as well as today’s more modest Pick, below. Good luck!
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreeeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link.
Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Aqueduct, 3rd Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 ½ Furlongs, (Dirt)
Two BreezeFigs colts in here, both making their debut, as far apart in their BreezeFigs profiles as you can get. Defined posted a Group 1, four-over-Par profile at FTFMAR with a 23.86 foot stride length, and eighth-of-a-foot shorter than average that day for colts at a furlong, and went home (RNA, not sold) on a final bid of 245k. He came back at EASMAY, like FTFMAR on the dirt, and posted another four-over-Par profile, this one a Group 2 at two furlongs, with a considerably improved 24.73 foot SL, which was 1.37 feet longer than average that day for colts at a quarter, and was sold for 425k. One the other hand, So Clutch posted a two-under-Par Group 3 profile at OBSMAR with a 21.93 foot SL, more than a foot-and-a-half shorter than average for colts that day oat a furlong. Looks like you have to go with Defined as your key, and he might be good enough to handle this short field including an experienced likely heavy favorite as well. Happy Passover and Easter! Good luck!