BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, April 28, 2018 by Bob Fierro & Jay Kilgore
Yes, there was no column last week since we were ankle, knee and hip deep in the OBSAPR sale. Our Pix two weeks ago turned out to be a split—Perfect Ice blew away his opponents at Parx for a $30 payoff, while Native Angel showed nothing at Tampa Bay. The juveniles are now coming out a little more often, most of them at Keeneland where the first two winners of the year came home on Thursday, both courtesy of the usual “torrid two’s” barn of Wesley Ward. There were a half-dozen 3-year-old BreezeFigs maidens who won last week and eight the week before. Saturday's card is scattered all over the place, but we have found a race that is worth considering, see below. Good luck!
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreezeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.
Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Santa Anita Park, 8th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 ½ Furlongs (Turf)
This is a wildly wide open race where three fairly moderate BreezeFigs colts meet a bunch of very moderate other maidens. Two of the BreezeFigs colts are first-timers, Belden Avenue and Breakers Isle, who both come out of BARMAR—but with different profiles. Belden Avenue posted a five-over-Par Group 1 profile with a 24.56 foot stride length (SL), about a third-of-a-foot longer than average for colts that day at a furlong—and he sold for a quarter million bucks. Breakers Isle, on the other hand, ranked two-under-Par in Group 4 with a 24.28 foot SL, just about even with the average—and he sold for thirty grand. Then there’s Agent Bond whose only start was an off-the-turfer here in which he pretty much lived up to his four-under-Par Group 4 ticket at OBSAPR where his 22.79 foot SL was more than a foot-and-three-quarters shorter than average for colts that day at a quarter mile—yet he sold for a quarter million as well. We think Belden Avenue has the edge here as a gimmick play, and you might want to key him, while Breakers Isle might be OK as a gimmick toss in. Good luck!