BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, April 11th by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore
If you went with Defined, our Pick last week as the key, it worked out OK at $7.50 for an exacta with the winner, who was never in doubt. And if you keep good records you would also have spotted excellent opportunities in stakes that day, with BreezeFigs graduates shining brightly—if not illuminating the tote—from coast-to-coast: Carpe Diem won the Grade 1 Blue Grass and Ocho Ocho Ocho was third; Dortmund (whom we inadvertently left out of our prattle last week), won the Grade I Santa Anita Derby plus R Sassy Lass and Charlie’s Brother took stakes at Tampa Bay in a $26.40 BreezeFigs exacta with Fast Flying Rumor. There were 11 BreezeFigs maidens who got off that wagon during the week, at Aqueduct, Gulfstream (3), Keeneland, Oaklawn (3), Parx and Santa Anita (2). Today’s card is a mumble-jumble of events with a few interesting first-timers, one of which is for your edification, below. Good luck!
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com and click on the tab BreezeFigs at the top of the page. In there you will find a link to a major study of how over 17,000 BreeeFigs horses from the sales 2007 through 2013 have succeeded on the racetrack based on Group and stride length. You can also access that study by clicking this link: www.biodatatrack.com/BreezeFigs-Study.pdf.
Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Keeneland, 8th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 7 Furlongs, (Dirt)
Three BreezeFigs fillies will line up here, one of which, All Day Alice, is making her debut with a good BreezeFigs profile and an interesting spotting. She racked up a fairly impressive seven-over-Par Group 1 profile at EASMAY on the dirt with a slightly above average 23.24 foot stride length for fillies that day at a furlong. But here she is, a New York-Bred in an open maiden at the prize meet in the Spring instead of against sister state-breds in New York. Take that into consideration and if you think they know something, think of using her as a key here because one of the other BreezeFigs fillies, Charlevoix, might actually go off the favorite based on her three starts to date. She racked up a four-over-Par Group 1 profile at KEEAPR last year with a 23.75 foot SL, which was about an eighth of a foot longer than average for fillies that day at a furlong—but that was on synthetic and this is now a dirt track, and all her previous starts have come on Gulfstream’s turf. Go figure. Then there’s Lamia, who chalked up a modest one-over-Par Group 2 rating at FTFMAR on the dirt last year, but her 22.94 foot SL was more than half a foot shorter than average, and she was scratched (SCR) from the sale before scheduled to go in the ring. She is owned by her breeder and has shown nothing in two starts to date, but unless that stride length was affected by whatever reason she might have been scratched, she doesn’t look all that favorable as the other two. Good luck!