Balmoral: Wednesday 9/18 Analysis
Race 7 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Best Bet (48 - 98 / $170.00): TOUR HALL (2nd)
Spot Play: I’M TELLING YOU (3rd)
Race 1
(7) CASINO ROYALE filly raced gamely in her last two efforts and finds another soft field. (8) NIDAROS well bred trotter appears to be picking up his game and would hit the ticket with any improvement. (10) ALLSTAR SURVIVOR is 0 for her career but did close nicely to a game opponent last out.
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Race 2
(2) TOUR HALL made an uncharacteristic break last race but gets the best post and will be tough to beat if he stays trotting. (1a) SAY NO MO filly has some ability and a post with options; use underneath. (3) PHOTO SURPRISE two-year-old gelding has made breaks in two straight starts but has a lot of speed and talent.
Race 3
In an inconsistent and weak field (9) I'M TELLING YOU makes her third start back off a long layoff and could be ready for a big effort. (1) WINGS gets the best post and could score at a huge price if the driver puts him in a decent position. (7) SIX EASY HOTSPUR filly comes off a really nice qualifier wire to wire.
Race 4
(10) WIMPY DOODLE two-year-old has a tough task facing older and is saddled with a bad post, but the gelding flashed some ability early on and could be starting to round into form. (6) IMA FANCY KING gelding showed a big burst racing gamely last out; threat. (7) MEGAFORCE HALL would probably be the horse to beat if you knew he would stay pacing.
Race 5
(5) PRAY WITH ME well bred filly has a lot of gate speed and looks to be in line for a nice trip up front close to the pace. (8) DON'T MISS A TWEET is another well bred filly who looks to have a lot of upside in the race. (3) MUSCLE BABE filly has won two straight, gets a good post, and looks to be improving at the right time.
Race 6
(2) SOUTHWIND SPIRIT well bred trotter is on a roll having faced some of the stiffest competition out there and will probably win by open lengths with a clean trip. (1) HILLUSTRIOUS impeccably bred colt has everything you want when it comes to pedigree and has a lot of promise. (3) HOT TYPE gelding made a miscue last out but might be better on a big track; use underneath.
Race 7
(1) RED LACE SKIVVIES mare came up empty last out off a great trip but was sharp in her prior two. (4) CLEAR CREEK JACKIE mare needed her last two efforts and has raced deceptively well. Watch for a drivers change to boost her chances. (5) LIMA DAYDREAM got the victory from a tough post but it was more of the field coming back to the 4-year-old than anything; command a price.
Race 8
In a field that is always extremely difficult to handicap (4) BESTNOTGETINMYWAY drops back down to the bottom level where he had won two straight and just needs a smooth trip. (8) LARRY'S PLACE is inconsistent and offers low value but has a ton of closing ability. (10) DYLAN ROCKS gelding raced very well last out but is saddled with the worst post.
Race 9
(8) LAZURUS went a good mile off an ideal trip last race and looks to be trotting fastest of all. (7) FANCY LABEL mare has a good record and finds a spot to do some damage; threat. (5) WHIT four-year-old stallion owns all the back class but makes his first start in six months and probably needs one.
Race 10
(7) BEACH'S NICK gelding was the driver's choice and gets sent out for a hot barn. (8) JUST ENOUGH four-year-old is knocking on the door and could use a smooth trip. (6) MILE SAVER has been racing gamely even after being used very aggressively; fires early.
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