Balmoral: Wednesday 12/17 Analysis
Race 6 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Best Bet (55 - 107 / $210.60): SS TOMMY TURNER (5th)
Spot Play: JOYFUL GAME (6th)
Race 1
(4) DIAMOND DESIRE IVY pacer just missed last out after being blocked late and finds a weak field. (7) ARLO GRAM was a game winner showing good late kick last start. Watch to make sure the pacer isn't lagging at the start before using on top. (1a) BLACKJACK RIVNDEL owns only one career win but has been knocking on the door at this level.
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Race 2
(6) A LOCAL BAND has shown slight improvement with a new driver and finds a suspect bunch. (3) AGENT BOOTH is a contender with a smooth trip; fires late. (5) BANDS ALEXIS gets sent out for hot connections but the filly was never put into the race last out. A good drive makes her the horse to beat.
Race 3
In a field full of question marks (2) ONCE A CHEATER beat a better bunch last start and just needs a similar effort. (7) PARTY IN THE PARK raced gamely last out showing a nice burst of speed. (1a) HURRICANE FINALE one part of an entry that is 0 for the last fifty-nine; use underneath.
Race 4
(2) MARZY BEARZY well bred filly has been facing much tougher and drops in for a tag. (8) MEET ME TONIGHT has lacked pop late in her last two but has won at this level consistently most of the year. (6) EARTHLY DESIRE could be the sleeper in the race and will be much closer turning for home.
Race 5
(5) SS TOMMY TURNER was sharp last out and will look to make it two straight for hot connections. (8) WOOP D DO BAZZLE gelding gets sent out for a barn that could be heating up late in the season. (6) JO JO SPUR was empty last out after racing gamely. If the pacer races back to the start prior he's a threat.
Race 6
(7) JOYFUL GAME mare just needs a good setup to have a say late. (5) CHILLY BREEZ filly was out gamed in her last start but has been first or second in five straight. (6) WESTERN BOUDOIR mare beat this same field last out at a price.
Race 7
In a field with few contenders (7) IT'S A BIG SECRET is one of few with upside in the race and showed a nice late kick in his last outing. (2) SPEED RACER gelding has been much better off the layoff despite tiring late in the mile last out. (1) CHIPPER scored the first victory of the year for the barn and should be in the mix with a similar effort.
Race 8
(2) SUN DREAM has won four of five and gets sent out for a new barn that is on a good roll. (1) KITTY O'BRIEN mare has a tough time pacing the turns but can pace up a storm late in the right scenario. (5) MOON BAY DANCER closed good ground late last out and should offer a nice price.
Race 9
In a tough race to gauge (1) SB BETTYS IDEAL could step up in a really weak field at a price. (2) NA ZDROWIE doesn't look the best on paper but has been slightly improved in a new barn and faces softer. (8) SANDCASTLE GIRL would have been a heavy favorite against this group a short time ago but has been very disappointing for two months; command a price.
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