Balmoral: Wednesday 10/29 Analysis + Pick Four Ticket
Race 6 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool ($23,792 C/O)
Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:
6,7,9 / 10 / 1,2,4,5 / 1,2,4,8 = $48
Best Bet (44 - 85 / $170.70): RT HABENERO (5th)
Spot Play: VALLEY PHOTO (2nd)
Race 1
In a fairly wide open race (4) DAVE'S BID gets sent out for connections that can't be left off the top spot. (3) CAMWISER is a huge threat at this level and has always done his best work on the big track. (6) YERMANOS set a lifetime mark last out and will hit the ticket with a similar effort.
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Race 2
(8) VALLEY PHOTO well bred mare makes her third lifetime start and will offer a big price in a tough race to gauge. (6) MAYFAIR SOPHIE finds a soft spot and comes into the race off a solid qualifier. (1) BANDS ALEXIS looks like the best on paper and owns one good burst of speed but always falls apart late; use caution.
Race 3
(7) YOUROLDLOV-ELETTER had no shot last out from a tough post. The filly pacer was a convincing winner at this level a few starts ago. (3) SWEET ALYSSA showed good improvement last out pacing a decent mile. (5) PRINCESS JOVENTINA mare tired late but paced a good three quarters of a mile.
Race 4
(6) BLUE GEM just missed last out up in class and now drops down to face an easier bunch. (1) PARKLANE CYRYSTAL finally gets a good starting post and should have a shot late despite being 0 for the year. (4) LIZZABELLE mare loves hitting the board and will be firing early.
Race 5
(4) RT HABENERO was softened up early by design last out. The talented freshman can even the score with a good drive. (5) JAKE QUAIDER could have some things figured out and is the only threat to the top choice. (1) CAPTAIN GREEDY is having a fantastic year but has been unable to trot with the top two; use underneath.
Race 6
(9) JOYFUL GAME mare will look to make it three straight against an easier group than her last few; fires late. (6) STAGE STAR filly needed her last start and has seven wins in twelve outings on the year. (7) VAL'S WAY was an easy winner against less last out; threat.
Race 7
(10) OUR MISS LILY crushed in this class last out and looks tough to beat; fires early. (5) KITTY O'BRIEN pacer has stepped her game up in her last few but needs a good setup to catch the favorite. (2) EASY ON THE CHIPS mare is 0 for twenty-five on the year but could have an excuse with the sloppy track last out.
Race 8
(1) INCREDIBLY SPORTY gelding has been improving with his last few starts and now gets the best post in an evenly matched race. (2) BLUE RIVER just missed last out against the same bunch; threat. (5) SUNSET DREAMER was used hard early but showed good fight late last out getting the victory.
Race 9
(8) BONJOUR MADAM will offer a big price and just needs a fast pace to close into for a shot late. (4) APRIL MAY DUNE will also offer a big price facing easier; driver's choice. (2) CHILLY BREEZ filly needed her last two starts and could be ready for an improved effort.
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